Realized P&L
-$50
Unrealized P&L
+$7
Hit rate
46.7%
Resolved
85
Trades
899
lifetime
Volume
$4.76K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$81
25 positions
First seen
2026-01-08
last 06-30 19:24
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Politics
41%
Sports
41% 42% $-13
Other
18% 48% $-37
Tech
1%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
53 active days in 12wk • peak 83 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? No +9 $6 100¢ $8 +$3 05-30 04:28
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? No +14 $6 56¢ $8 +$2 06-04 16:59
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +9 $6 75¢ $6 +$0 06-05 17:17
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? Yes +17 $6 32¢ $5 $-0 06-20 11:52
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +6 $5 84¢ $5 +$0 06-16 06:21
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No +6 $5 80¢ $5 +$0 06-27 09:46
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30? No -5 $-3 99¢ $-5 $-2 05-28 08:28
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +6 $4 74¢ $5 +$0 06-04 05:01
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +6 $4 76¢ $4 +$0 06-02 22:15
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +5 $4 88¢ $4 +$1 05-29 16:15
Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +5 $4 78¢ $4 +$0 06-22 11:02
Trump goes to space in 2026? No -3 $-3 98¢ $-3 $-0 06-05 10:06
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes +9 $2 34¢ $3 +$1 06-21 11:25
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +28 $3 10¢ $3 $-0 06-13 03:25
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -3 $-2 88¢ $-2 +$0 06-10 16:26
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +10 $2 15¢ $1 $-0 06-29 19:21
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 06-17 09:24
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 06-05 01:57
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? No +1 $1 84¢ $1 +$0 06-13 02:30
Consensys IPO closing market cap above $1B? No +1 $1 80¢ $1 +$0 06-24 09:52
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.25% or lower before 2027? No +1 $1 95¢ $1 $-0 06-26 09:37
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes -19 $-1 $-1 +$0 05-28 16:05
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? Yes +59 $1 $0 $-1 06-21 19:17
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? Yes +15 $0 $0 $-0 05-31 12:16
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +0 $-2 $0 +$2 06-11 19:30