Nifty-Burn — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$66

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

31.4%

Resolved

763

Trades

2,069

lifetime

Volume

$7.46K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 08-05 04:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 110 days

Categories

Other

36% 49% -$74

Sports

26% 44% -$32

Politics

20% 49% +$80

Crypto

16% 20% +$93

Tech

1% 58% -$1

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-05).

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will hubert hurkacz win the 2026 australian open	2	$432	217	217	+0	No	$0	01-21 06:13
Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$420	210	210	+0	No	$0	01-26 01:25
Will Brentford win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$410	205	205	+0	No	$0	01-08 02:26
will ethereum reach 4600 in january 2026	2	$400	200	200	+0	No	$0	01-28 03:34
Will Wolves win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$390	195	195	+0	No	$0	01-30 02:41
will bitcoin dip to 45k in january 2026	2	$390	195	195	+0	No	$0	01-19 06:20
will solana dip to 20 in february 2026	2	$360	181	181	+0	No	$0	02-05 02:15
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	2	$86	114	114	+0	No	+$84	05-24 03:26
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	6	$54	96	96	+0	No	+$46	05-23 10:46
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	17	$53	42	37	+5	Yes	-$2	06-08 15:37
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	27	$50	141	134	+7	Yes	-$2	06-15 06:29
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	15	$40	40	40	+0	No	-$3	06-21 04:28
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	14	$39	78	63	+15	No	-$7	06-04 21:00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	17	$36	91	91	+0	No	-$2	05-29 15:26
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	13	$36	33	33	+0	open	—	07-01 03:26
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-03?	4	$35	30	30	+0	No	+$24	05-03 18:39
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	11	$33	32	32	+0	No	-$3	06-19 20:19
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	9	$30	21	21	+0	No	$0	05-23 18:27
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	9	$28	18	18	+0	No	+$2	06-14 11:44
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	10	$27	19	19	+0	No	-$4	05-30 12:02
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?	8	$27	25	25	+0	Yes	-$1	06-06 00:27
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5	5	$26	55	55	+0	Over	+$18	05-07 04:07
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	5	$26	22	22	+0	No	+$18	05-15 17:29
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-02?	3	$26	20	20	+0	No	+$14	05-02 19:06
will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	8	$23	20	20	+0	Yes	+$5	06-17 08:37
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	6	$23	15	15	+0	Yes	+$0	05-23 08:52
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	5	$23	15	15	+0	No	+$3	05-24 03:26
iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	10	$22	23	23	+0	No	-$1	06-22 04:01
will trump agree to iranian oil sanction relief by june 30	8	$22	25	18	+8	Yes	+$1	06-08 02:14
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	7	$22	20	12	+8	Yes	-$5	06-07 06:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-05 04:22:11	itf ann trongch 2026 08 05	Suk Ann	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xee7f99…
07-11 03:40:34	npb chi ori 2026 07 12	Orix Buffaloes	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0xcc27d2…
07-11 03:38:40	Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	90	1¢	$1	0x63aa7b…
07-11 03:38:07	Will the Democrats win the Nebraska governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0x34ad54…
07-11 03:37:55	Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x6b05f7…
07-11 03:37:37	Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	71	2¢	$1	0x137c38…
07-11 03:37:17	Will the National Liberal Party (PNL) be included in the next Romanian government?	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x1393c9…
07-11 03:37:05	Will the Social Democratic Party (PSD) be included in the next Romanian government?	No	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0x4079c9…
07-11 03:36:53	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x42aaf6…
07-11 03:36:26	Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	7	63¢	$4	0xe1eb62…
07-11 03:36:08	Will the Democratic Union of Hungarians in Romania (UDMR) be included in the next Romanian government?	No	SELL	7	40¢	$3	0xe5936c…
07-11 03:35:55	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	SELL	15	38¢	$6	0x04c879…
07-11 03:35:35	confirmed us screwworm case beyond texas by august 30 20260609151517551	No	SELL	10	46¢	$5	0xf71591…
07-11 03:35:10	Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?	Yes	SELL	8	83¢	$6	0xc9bf17…
07-03 05:10:16	gpt 5pt6 released by july 6 2026	Yes	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0x769fa9…
07-03 05:10:16	Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?	No	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x4bc4ed…
07-03 05:10:11	will russia capture kupiansk by september 30 2026	No	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0xb61104…
07-03 05:10:11	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	59¢	$1	0x39dc77…
07-03 05:10:10	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x98260e…
07-03 05:10:10	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.25% or lower before 2027?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x503529…
07-03 05:10:08	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x7b0e71…
07-01 03:43:17	Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	16¢	$2	0xa26c3b…
07-01 03:43:16	Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	SELL	31	4¢	$1	0x0db049…
07-01 03:38:52	will abbas araghchi attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260622201044260	No	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0xaf0aa1…
07-01 03:38:50	Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xc909dc…
07-01 03:38:49	Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?	No	SELL	3	70¢	$2	0xcecaf1…
07-01 03:38:49	will russia capture kupiansk by september 30 2026	No	SELL	2	86¢	$2	0x05cab3…
07-01 03:38:47	Metamask FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	4	78¢	$3	0xdf9f73…
07-01 03:38:47	Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0x2a6d78…
07-01 03:38:46	Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?	No	SELL	12	39¢	$5	0x179161…
07-01 03:27:16	will keir starmer be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533201	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x597ddf…
07-01 03:27:14	Will Russia invade another country in 2026?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x7a96e4…
07-01 03:27:14	will neymar score 3 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611145108555	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x25c00b…
07-01 03:27:13	Consensys IPO closing market cap above $1B?	No	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x48e33e…
07-01 03:27:11	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	No	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0xc1a3d0…
07-01 03:27:11	will russia capture bilytske by december 31 2026 252	No	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x37e47a…
07-01 03:27:11	will pete hegseth sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950070	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0aa476…
07-01 03:27:10	will shehbaz sharif attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204725	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xdcc76d…
07-01 03:27:10	will sheikh tamim bin hamad al thani sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950079	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x36b506…
07-01 03:27:08	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0xc1230b…
07-01 03:27:08	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0x1b082f…
07-01 03:27:07	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xf77e2b…
07-01 03:27:05	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x4ca917…
07-01 03:27:05	russia ukraine peace talks by september 30 2026 20260609012542188	No	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x1aa422…
07-01 03:27:04	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	14¢	$1	0x60a438…
07-01 03:27:02	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	8	22¢	$2	0xd0fb56…
07-01 03:27:01	US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?	No	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0xc38786…
07-01 03:27:01	Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	4	64¢	$2	0x563905…
07-01 03:26:59	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	OpenAI	SELL	23	10¢	$2	0x0d4f4c…
07-01 03:26:58	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0xbfad0b…
07-01 03:26:58	Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?	No	SELL	3	84¢	$3	0xb837ad…
07-01 03:26:56	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	8	38¢	$3	0xa64f85…
07-01 03:26:56	Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	SELL	27	11¢	$3	0x21ac52…
07-01 03:26:55	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	4	95¢	$3	0x9ed537…
07-01 03:26:53	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	36	10¢	$4	0x6c021e…
07-01 03:26:53	dua lipa pregnant in 2026 20260623142042483	No	SELL	5	70¢	$3	0x62ae5e…
07-01 03:26:52	Will Russia capture Prymorske by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	4	89¢	$4	0x69e9b0…
07-01 03:26:52	nothing ever happens july 20260626174334834	Nothing	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0x4651cd…
07-01 03:26:50	will benjamin netanyahu sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950076	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x655fcc…
07-01 03:26:49	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	9	43¢	$4	0xfd81c1…
07-01 03:26:49	Metamask FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0xeba16c…
07-01 03:26:49	Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?	Yes	SELL	13	30¢	$4	0xc22222…
07-01 03:26:47	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	7	55¢	$4	0x7ef101…
07-01 03:26:47	will russia capture all of kupiansk by december 31 391	No	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0x7c83eb…
07-01 03:26:46	trump meets with putin by september 30	No	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0x9d12aa…
07-01 03:26:44	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	66¢	$4	0x1647fc…
07-01 03:26:44	Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?	No	SELL	6	69¢	$4	0x01518f…
07-01 03:26:43	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	39	12¢	$5	0xf78708…
07-01 03:26:43	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	13	37¢	$5	0xb04b35…
07-01 03:26:41	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	22	23¢	$5	0x1335b4…
07-01 03:26:40	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	22	23¢	$5	0x7df280…
07-01 03:26:40	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	12	42¢	$5	0x72c8f6…
07-01 03:26:38	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	10	56¢	$6	0xc55652…
07-01 03:26:38	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	Yes	SELL	17	32¢	$6	0x4698e2…
07-01 03:26:37	Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	8	75¢	$6	0xaab029…
07-01 03:26:35	Will the Democratic Party win the TX-23 House seat?	Yes	SELL	23	26¢	$6	0x624d5a…
07-01 03:26:35	Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	No	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0x3a3498…
07-01 03:26:34	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	SELL	8	83¢	$6	0xd5582e…
07-01 03:26:32	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	Yes	SELL	24	26¢	$6	0xe609a4…
07-01 03:26:32	Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	SELL	10	66¢	$7	0x8bc8bf…
07-01 03:26:31	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	12	57¢	$7	0xf19f83…
07-01 03:26:31	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	82¢	$7	0x101ae1…
07-01 03:26:29	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	Yes	SELL	11	61¢	$7	0x74b062…
07-01 03:26:28	Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?	No	SELL	8	68¢	$5	0xb47990…
07-01 03:26:28	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	21	33¢	$7	0x4f6350…
07-01 03:26:26	will declan rice score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	SELL	13	59¢	$7	0xdcdd52…
07-01 03:26:26	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt75t by december 31 328	No	SELL	15	50¢	$7	0xd156d5…
07-01 03:26:26	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	9	85¢	$8	0x2a46ea…
07-01 03:26:25	will neymar jr score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	SELL	10	76¢	$8	0xecb050…
07-01 03:26:23	Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?	No	SELL	25	31¢	$8	0x3f7f6b…
06-29 20:10:35	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0xc61c7c…
06-29 20:10:34	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x86be9f…
06-29 20:10:32	Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?	No	SELL	3	82¢	$2	0x7fbcc6…
06-29 20:10:13	Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	No	SELL	2	35¢	$1	0xcfc7ac…
06-29 11:05:32	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x8f75c5…
06-29 11:05:29	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	7	17¢	$1	0x51792e…
06-29 11:05:14	Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	No	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x2184a4…
06-29 11:05:04	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0x13ff98…
06-29 08:22:35	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0x3caf66…
06-29 03:13:07	iran successfully targets shipping on july 2 20260625225210243	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xae9c20…