Realized P&L
-$72
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
51.6%
Resolved
176
Trades
1,299
lifetime
Volume
$5.76K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$115
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-08
last 06-29 20:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 15 days
Categories
Sports
31% 43% $-14
Other
31% 49% $-57
Crypto
20%
Politics
17%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
56 active days in 12wk • peak 92 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? No +8 $6 100¢ $8 +$2 06-05 19:57
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No -8 $-8 100¢ $-8 +$0 06-14 11:44
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +12 $5 59¢ $7 +$2 06-19 15:37
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -8 $-6 84¢ $-7 $-1 06-05 14:35
US recession by end of 2026? No -8 $-6 88¢ $-7 $-1 06-03 08:11
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +8 $6 84¢ $6 +$1 06-16 08:43
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? No +11 $6 57¢ $6 +$0 06-08 00:54
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? Yes +17 $6 32¢ $6 $-0 06-17 13:06
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? No +12 $5 44¢ $5 +$1 06-27 10:34
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -5 $-4 99¢ $-5 $-1 06-16 17:24
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30? No -5 $-3 99¢ $-5 $-2 06-04 23:35
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? No +6 $3 69¢ $4 +$1 06-10 22:23
Will the Democratic Union of Hungarians in Romania (UDMR) be included in the next Romanian government? No +7 $3 56¢ $4 +$1 06-10 20:11
Metamask FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +5 $4 80¢ $4 +$0 06-23 17:02
Will Russia capture Prymorske by September 30, 2026? No +4 $4 92¢ $4 +$0 06-19 12:48
Trump goes to space in 2026? No -3 $-3 98¢ $-3 $-0 06-05 10:12
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? No +3 $3 85¢ $3 $-0 06-08 08:22
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +3 $3 100¢ $3 $-1 06-18 13:10
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? OpenAI +23 $6 11¢ $2 $-4 06-07 10:34
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +4 $2 65¢ $2 +$0 06-24 10:40
Will the Social Democratic Party (PSD) be included in the next Romanian government? No +5 $2 43¢ $2 +$0 06-20 02:34
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? No +2 $2 86¢ $2 +$0 06-02 14:05
Will the National Liberal Party (PNL) be included in the next Romanian government? Yes +5 $5 31¢ $2 $-4 06-07 22:42
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +2 $1 76¢ $1 +$0 06-02 22:20
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +10 $2 15¢ $1 $-0 06-29 20:10
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 06-22 19:13
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +2 $1 56¢ $1 +$0 06-04 20:02
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 06-05 02:03
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? No +1 $1 84¢ $1 +$0 06-13 02:36
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +1 $1 75¢ $1 +$0 06-04 20:02