Realized P&L
-$19
Unrealized P&L
-$6
Hit rate
0.5%
Resolved
14
Trades
3,427
lifetime
Volume
$13.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$38
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-26
last 06-10 06:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Other
39% 20% $-5
Politics
39% 0% $-11
Sports
11% 0% $-3
Tech
7%
Crypto
4%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
63 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote? No +8 $6 76¢ $6 +$0 06-03 20:58
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? Yes +10 $7 60¢ $6 $-1 06-05 21:25
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +6 $5 90¢ $5 +$0 06-03 05:37
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? No +5 $3 62¢ $3 $-0 06-10 06:39
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? No +3 $3 89¢ $3 +$0 06-08 07:52
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +3 $3 90¢ $3 +$0 05-28 16:25
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +4 $3 63¢ $2 $-0 06-02 21:28
Fed rate hike in 2026? No -5 $-3 46¢ $-2 +$1 05-28 06:40
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? No +15 $6 13¢ $2 $-4 06-02 16:28
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? No +19 $2 $1 $-1 06-02 20:33
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +10 $1 12¢ $1 +$0 05-29 13:39
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 05-28 07:29
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? Yes +53 $1 $0 $-1 06-06 21:21
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes -10 $1 $-0 $-1 06-09 22:58