Realized P&L (30d)
-$5
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
1.6%
Resolved (30d)
4
Trades (30d)
14
14 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$16
$16 lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$7
7 positions
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-08 04:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
73% 0% $-3
Politics
15% 100% +$0
Sports
12% 0% $-2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +5 $3 54¢ $3 $-0 05-07 12:15
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +5 $1 24¢ $1 $-0 05-06 17:54
Romanian PM Bolojan out by May 31? Yes +3 $1 32¢ $1 $-0 05-07 23:06
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15? No +1 $1 74¢ $1 $-0 05-08 04:42
Will Mobia Medical's market cap be between $500M and $700M at market close on IPO day? No +2 $1 36¢ $1 $-0 05-06 17:45
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31? Yes -2 $-0 14¢ $-0 +$0 05-07 14:01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? Yes +0 $-0 $0 +$0 05-07 12:51