Realized P&L
-$3.49K
Unrealized P&L
+$6.13K
Hit rate
39.0%
Resolved
5
Trades
5,121
lifetime
Volume
$1.98M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$386
Open exposure
$49.1K
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-20 23:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
80% 40% $-3,489
Other
20%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 104 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -23,505 $-19,534 74¢ $-17276 +$2,258 07-19 16:11
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +9,024 $6,086 83¢ $7.5K +$1,404 06-15 14:58
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No +6,016 $5,259 88¢ $5.3K +$65 07-19 23:07
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +8,003 $3,831 64¢ $5.2K +$1,332 06-05 02:58
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No +4,390 $3,772 86¢ $3.8K $-19 07-20 09:55
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +4,000 $2,670 78¢ $3.1K +$470 06-04 22:43
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay No +2,887 $2,358 88¢ $2.6K +$197 06-08 07:44
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +4,133 $1,669 52¢ $2.2K +$500 07-20 16:21
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? No +1,337 $1,298 94¢ $1.3K $-35 06-20 12:12
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? No -873 $-751 92¢ $-799 $-48 06-13 08:13
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? No +177 $156 91¢ $161 +$5 07-18 18:54
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? No -1 $-1 96¢ $-1 $-0 06-13 08:14