Finished-Wind 0xd44e97…5f67e2
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$3.49K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.22K
Hit rate
39.0%
Resolved
5
Trades
4,788
lifetime
Volume
$1.86M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$388
Open exposure
$64.1K
26 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 08:03
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
79% 40% $-3,489
Other
21% — —
Sports
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 209 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +9,024 $6,086 75¢ $6.8K +$682 06-15 14:58
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? No -6,563 $-6,418 100¢ $-6556 $-139 06-13 04:00
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No -6,190 $-1,811 100¢ $-6175 $-4,364 06-18 20:01
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +8,003 $3,831 57¢ $4.6K +$731 06-05 02:58
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? No +3,778 $3,664 100¢ $3.8K +$108 06-18 00:25
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -4,358 $-3,791 86¢ $-3726 +$65 06-24 17:36
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No +4,105 $3,530 89¢ $3.7K +$123 06-28 15:24
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No -3,500 $-3,420 100¢ $-3496 $-76 06-14 07:04
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No -3,000 $-2,951 100¢ $-2997 $-46 06-13 08:14
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No -3,000 $-2,760 100¢ $-2994 $-234 05-31 09:42
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +4,000 $2,670 74¢ $3.0K +$310 06-04 22:43
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +2,889 $2,300 100¢ $2.9K +$581 05-29 19:48
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? No -2,639 $-2,610 100¢ $-2636 $-26 06-13 19:45
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay No +2,887 $2,358 86¢ $2.5K +$110 06-08 07:44
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026? No +1,834 $1,798 100¢ $1.8K +$31 06-12 11:07
Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026? No -1,680 $-1,639 100¢ $-1676 $-37 06-13 08:15
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? No +1,337 $1,298 93¢ $1.2K $-53 06-20 12:12
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No +1,219 $988 86¢ $1.0K +$54 06-08 07:43
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? No -873 $-751 89¢ $-777 $-26 06-13 08:13
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +1,521 $397 50¢ $753 +$356 06-27 07:02
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? No -488 $-477 100¢ $-487 $-10 06-13 12:41
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? No -430 $-425 100¢ $-429 $-4 06-19 01:44
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30? No -147 $-146 100¢ $-146 $-0 06-29 20:52
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? No +65 $56 85¢ $55 $-1 06-08 07:43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +351 $-642 0¢ $2 +$644 06-26 11:38
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? No -1 $-1 94¢ $-1 $-0 06-13 08:14