Realized P&L
+$99.3K
Unrealized P&L
+$40.9K
Hit rate
72.7%
Resolved
302
Trades
7,678
lifetime
Volume
$2.56M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$333
Open exposure
$190.3K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-28 11:30
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 106 days
Categories
Politics
78% 68% +$77,838
Other
21% 64% +$21,233
Sports
0% 100% +$231
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 429 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No +35,003 $26,096 86¢ $30.3K +$4,182 09-04 23:05
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31? No +19,261 $17,169 96¢ $18.5K +$1,331 09-27 07:25
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No +16,385 $14,084 96¢ $15.7K +$1,604 08-25 22:18
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +17,311 $8,105 88¢ $15.1K +$7,042 08-26 20:34
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? Yes +14,839 $12,317 93¢ $13.8K +$1,483 10-09 21:48
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -16,703 -$15,826 80¢ $-13363 +$2,463 10-21 19:42
russia x ukraine ceasefire by october 31 2026 No +11,155 $6,566 99¢ $11.1K +$4,506 10-28 11:30
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No +10,087 $8,853 94¢ $9.5K +$629 09-06 00:00
Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31? No +17,835 $7,805 52¢ $9.4K +$1,559 10-23 06:31
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026? No +8,551 $6,844 80¢ $6.9K +$40 10-26 06:43
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? No +6,965 $6,282 96¢ $6.7K +$425 08-22 18:20
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? No +7,077 $4,310 68¢ $4.8K +$538 10-21 18:24
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +5,795 $2,474 84¢ $4.8K +$2,365 09-04 21:43
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? No +4,678 $1,727 92¢ $4.3K +$2,600 10-19 07:00
Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026? No +3,660 $3,198 96¢ $3.5K +$307 09-06 11:13
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +2,730 -$120 99¢ $2.7K +$2,810 10-17 15:08
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? No +3,967 $2,425 64¢ $2.6K +$134 10-22 07:54
next us iran senior diplomatic meeting by november 30 2026 No +3,243 $2,342 78¢ $2.5K +$171 10-21 17:24
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31? No +3,630 -$542 69¢ $2.5K +$3,047 10-27 01:55
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +3,422 $1,258 66¢ $2.3K +$1,000 10-13 06:23
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +2,336 -$1,190 92¢ $2.2K +$3,351 10-15 15:00
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? No -1,715 -$1,553 96¢ $-1646 -$93 06-13 08:13
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? No +1,476 $1,316 97¢ $1.4K +$115 09-29 01:10
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? No +7,507 $3,611 16¢ $1.2K -$2,410 09-25 17:18
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +1,212 $484 98¢ $1.2K +$703 10-16 04:41
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? No +1,000 -$148 74¢ $740 +$888 10-06 07:50
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? No +800 $579 76¢ $612 +$33 10-23 13:27
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +883 $463 65¢ $572 +$109 09-29 18:38
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30? No +515 $385 77¢ $397 +$11 10-22 21:32
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? No -1 -$1 96¢ $-1 $0 06-13 08:14