Realized P&L (90d)
+$9.98K
Unrealized P&L
+$38.1K
Hit rate
84.5%
Resolved (90d)
32
Trades (90d)
1,761
7,629 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$297.6K
$2.53M lifetime
Avg / trade
$332
Open exposure
$177.3K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-29 17:31
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 106 days
Categories
Politics
79% 68% +$77,838
Other
21% 64% +$21,233
Sports
0% 100% +$231
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 429 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026 No +35,003 $26,096 90¢ $31.3K +$5,232 09-04 23:05
will russia capture all of kupiansk by december 31 391 No +19,261 $17,169 96¢ $18.5K +$1,331 09-27 07:25
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No +16,385 $14,084 95¢ $15.6K +$1,498 08-25 22:18
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +17,311 $8,105 88¢ $15.3K +$7,216 08-26 20:34
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? Yes +14,839 $12,317 93¢ $13.8K +$1,520 10-09 21:48
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -16,103 -$15,358 79¢ $-12722 +$2,636 10-29 17:31
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No +10,087 $8,853 93¢ $9.4K +$528 09-06 00:00
Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31? No +17,835 $7,805 51¢ $9.1K +$1,291 10-23 06:31
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026? No +8,551 $6,844 81¢ $6.9K +$82 10-26 06:43
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? No +6,965 $6,282 96¢ $6.7K +$398 08-22 18:20
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +5,795 $2,474 86¢ $5.0K +$2,539 09-04 21:43
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? No +4,678 $1,727 92¢ $4.3K +$2,553 10-19 07:00
Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026? No +3,660 $3,198 96¢ $3.5K +$307 09-06 11:13
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? No +4,829 $2,917 68¢ $3.3K +$343 10-29 17:25
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +2,730 -$120 99¢ $2.7K +$2,823 10-17 15:08
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? No +3,967 $2,425 66¢ $2.6K +$213 10-22 07:54
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31? No +3,630 -$542 71¢ $2.6K +$3,120 10-27 01:55
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? No +3,243 $2,342 76¢ $2.5K +$122 10-21 17:24
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +2,336 -$1,190 92¢ $2.1K +$3,328 10-15 15:00
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +3,422 $1,258 51¢ $1.7K +$487 10-13 06:23
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? No -1,715 -$1,553 93¢ $-1594 -$41 06-13 08:13
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? No +1,476 $1,316 95¢ $1.4K +$92 09-29 01:10
trump meets with putin by december 31 No +7,507 $3,611 16¢ $1.2K -$2,372 09-25 17:18
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +1,212 $484 96¢ $1.2K +$685 10-16 04:41
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? No +1,000 -$148 68¢ $685 +$833 10-06 07:50
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? No +800 $579 76¢ $608 +$29 10-23 13:27
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +883 $463 61¢ $535 +$72 09-29 18:38
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30? No +515 $385 78¢ $404 +$19 10-22 21:32
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? No -1 -$1 94¢ $-1 $0 06-13 08:14
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026? No +0 -$1,248 82¢ $0 +$1,248 10-26 04:15