Wretched-Outrigger 0x96e8e4…2dd240
whale bot cold 2L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$1.20K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.32K
Hit rate
63.1%
Resolved
467
Trades
42,797
lifetime
Volume
$195.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$1.50K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-08
last 10-27 01:28
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 126 days
Categories
Politics
54% 46% +$1,177
Other
36% 46% -$3,403
Pop-Culture
5% 58% +$787
Tech
5% 79% +$329
Crypto
0% 38% +$21
Sports
0% 11% -$114
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 820 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? No +5,100 $1,243 12¢ $586 -$657 10-26 13:46
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? Yes +2,269 $339 11¢ $250 -$89 10-26 13:35
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 No +747 $134 19¢ $142 +$8 10-26 11:13
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026? Yes +500 $172 20¢ $103 -$69 10-26 06:13
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? Yes +130 $24 40¢ $51 +$27 10-27 02:39
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -33,852 -$283 0¢ $-51 +$233 09-22 13:41
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +60 $43 72¢ $43 +$0 10-13 06:41
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +60 $41 68¢ $41 $0 10-16 00:41
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +800 $950 4¢ $32 -$917 09-24 05:27
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +100 $33 26¢ $26 -$6 10-11 23:24
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +319 $10 8¢ $26 +$16 10-21 06:02
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -13,187 -$83 0¢ $-20 +$64 09-22 13:40
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? No +30 $15 62¢ $19 +$4 10-25 23:39
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? Yes +80 $11 19¢ $15 +$4 10-16 12:08
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +50 $26 28¢ $14 -$12 08-18 01:17
Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? No +40 $21 26¢ $11 -$10 09-06 13:36
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027? No +10 $8 97¢ $10 +$2 06-14 23:53
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Yes +400 $1 2¢ $9 +$9 10-22 15:37
Will 4 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Yes +5,000 -$32 0¢ $7 +$40 10-22 17:23
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? Yes +2,864 $53 0¢ $7 -$46 10-26 08:47
Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower? Yes +3,595 $25 0¢ $5 -$20 10-15 14:22
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -4,740 -$136 0¢ $-5 +$131 09-24 22:20
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record? Yes +3,066 $18 0¢ $5 -$13 10-22 19:10
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? Yes +50 $6 9¢ $4 -$2 10-12 09:57
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy) Yes +100 $27 4¢ $4 -$22 09-26 23:11
Will 5 or more Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Yes +4,195 -$36 0¢ $4 +$40 10-20 20:40
Will Trump and Putin not meet? Yes +13 $6 18¢ $2 -$3 09-06 17:45
Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes +100 $17 2¢ $2 -$15 09-07 15:09
Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record? Yes +844 $0 0¢ $1 +$1 10-23 06:13
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? Yes +20 $10 3¢ $1 -$9 09-09 04:41