Wretched-Outrigger — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.45K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

96.7%

Resolved

Trades

10,439

lifetime

Volume

$112.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-08

last 08-10 19:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Politics

66% 62% +$2,463

Other

21% 64% $-17

Pop-Culture

8% — —

Tech

4% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

78 active days in 12wk • peak 92 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	3,709	$17.3K	16,198	16,017	+181	Yes	+$228	04-29 18:36
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	100	$8.4K	5,398	5,818	-420	open	—	04-07 22:58
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	59	$7.4K	51,234	12,825	+38,409	open	—	04-09 18:51
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	142	$6.5K	56,083	26,274	+29,809	Yes	+$2,110	05-09 07:18
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	369	$6.4K	91,167	73,210	+17,957	open	—	05-12 17:36
Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?	157	$4.9K	4,451	2,025	+2,426	open	—	05-06 05:07
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	468	$3.2K	2,900	3,206	-306	open	—	07-07 18:27
will iran strike israel on march 10	277	$3.1K	217,097	19,969	+197,128	open	—	03-16 19:25
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	132	$3.0K	20,154	12,635	+7,519	open	—	08-10 19:04
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?	288	$2.4K	1,526	3,030	-1,505	open	—	07-29 17:11
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	269	$2.2K	85,040	85,040	+0	open	—	04-24 02:09
Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?	103	$2.1K	1,867	1,509	+358	open	—	04-20 19:42
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	481	$2.0K	148,166	131,443	+16,723	open	—	04-21 13:17
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	20	$2.0K	1,210	1,234	-24	open	—	05-30 15:18
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?	69	$2.0K	4,666	4,566	+100	open	—	04-08 23:58
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	68	$1.9K	3,500	3,683	-183	Yes	+$117	05-09 06:56
yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	16	$1.9K	1,953	150	+1,803	open	—	08-11 10:06
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	20	$1.8K	1,215	915	+300	open	—	04-07 13:15
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	11	$1.2K	739	739	+0	open	—	04-05 22:28
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	12	$1.1K	1,068	1,168	-100	open	—	04-06 12:51
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027?	10	$1.1K	20	1,120	-1,100	open	—	07-15 21:30
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?	23	$1.0K	310	768	-458	open	—	06-27 19:53
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 10 468	27	$953	794	794	+0	open	—	03-08 20:42
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	20	$902	2,264	788	+1,477	open	—	06-21 16:52
north korea missile test by march 31 472	63	$764	1,495	586	+909	open	—	03-14 04:30
will israel take military action in lebanon on march 20 2026	70	$719	50,796	521	+50,275	open	—	03-27 00:09
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	4	$684	400	400	+0	open	—	07-01 09:17
will gpt 6 be released by july 31 2026 20260610221318220	15	$671	362	362	+0	open	—	07-13 07:52
US x Iran ceasefire by May 15?	18	$661	583	671	-88	open	—	04-07 20:22
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	59	$643	28,228	28,876	-647	open	—	04-01 15:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 10:06:10	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x18ae63…
08-11 09:30:27	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xc62a50…
08-10 19:04:57	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	677	8¢	$54	0x620714…
08-10 18:32:12	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x2cefb6…
08-10 18:14:42	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xe8db46…
08-10 18:10:58	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xd7fd02…
08-10 18:00:34	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x3c2f86…
08-10 17:49:36	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xa4a333…
08-10 16:47:37	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	Yes	BUY	1,573	94¢	$1,476	0x5b0ab0…
08-10 16:25:40	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	8¢	$1	0x48f524…
08-10 15:37:09	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	Yes	SELL	150	84¢	$126	0x1825c6…
08-10 15:26:48	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	Yes	BUY	100	83¢	$83	0xa8af89…
08-10 15:26:43	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	Yes	BUY	21	83¢	$17	0x17439a…
08-10 15:26:43	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	Yes	BUY	11	83¢	$9	0x09cf5c…
08-10 15:26:43	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	Yes	BUY	33	83¢	$27	0x056e46…
08-10 15:26:33	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	Yes	BUY	100	84¢	$84	0x6c2479…
08-10 14:03:31	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	8¢	$2	0x91899b…
08-10 12:25:24	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	839	6¢	$50	0x75cfd1…
08-10 11:16:42	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0xa0c675…
08-10 11:15:18	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	8¢	$1	0x6f86f3…
08-10 10:53:22	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	79	8¢	$6	0x3070a6…
08-10 10:11:06	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	8¢	$0	0xe462a6…
08-10 09:58:45	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0xd5ab7f…
08-10 09:57:15	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	79	8¢	$6	0xdceee4…
08-10 09:46:37	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0x46dd20…
08-10 09:44:52	will nigel farage up his vote share in clacton 20260707171746907	No	SELL	25	4¢	$1	0xf69391…
08-10 09:04:16	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	113	8¢	$9	0x8e9473…
08-10 08:43:15	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	8¢	$0	0x406039…
08-10 07:27:16	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	100	70¢	$70	0x2beea5…
08-09 22:01:09	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	8¢	$0	0xbbf9ae…
08-09 20:45:09	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0x8b2306…
08-09 20:36:49	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0xcadfe4…
08-09 20:30:43	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	8¢	$1	0x75eb99…
08-09 18:57:16	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	8¢	$0	0x75d4aa…
08-09 17:48:28	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	8¢	$0	0x7b3591…
08-09 17:30:52	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0xcbf62c…
08-09 13:07:21	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0xe61722…
08-09 12:55:37	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	106	8¢	$8	0x77bbd7…
08-09 12:52:31	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0xda1bca…
08-09 12:42:55	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xe7b9ad…
08-09 12:27:39	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	6¢	$0	0x8f430a…
08-09 12:23:09	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0xe6d7c3…
08-09 11:50:01	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	6¢	$0	0xee982d…
08-09 07:34:12	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	75	6¢	$4	0x25fdd8…
08-09 06:12:36	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x115864…
08-09 03:50:55	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0xba2dae…
08-09 03:09:52	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	8¢	$1	0x0df698…
08-09 02:09:49	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x099e9a…
08-09 00:47:19	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	8¢	$2	0xd27dc0…
08-09 00:36:06	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	6¢	$1	0x996575…
08-09 00:10:43	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	8¢	$2	0xb54ee3…
08-08 23:15:36	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	6¢	$1	0x088b83…
08-08 23:10:24	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	8¢	$2	0xc45454…
08-08 23:04:27	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	6¢	$1	0x39ebb8…
08-08 21:57:21	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0xa9273a…
08-08 21:36:49	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	8¢	$0	0x18c021…
08-08 19:22:00	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xffdf8f…
08-08 18:36:42	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	8¢	$1	0x112bfb…
08-08 18:36:36	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	6¢	$1	0x3aea62…
08-08 18:36:13	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0xfbabde…
08-08 18:36:06	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x8334aa…
08-08 17:28:34	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0x3c42e6…
08-08 16:56:51	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	8¢	$1	0x9211c7…
08-08 14:03:21	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	8¢	$1	0x0723f4…
08-08 13:34:21	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	376	6¢	$23	0x518ac1…
08-08 13:28:31	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xe7ba50…
08-08 12:59:58	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	8¢	$1	0xf6f902…
08-08 11:32:42	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	6¢	$0	0x16d50e…
08-08 11:04:57	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	8¢	$2	0xef3ffd…
08-08 09:22:36	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0x893cb0…
08-08 05:51:54	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	34	8¢	$3	0x47545b…
08-08 05:51:37	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	8¢	$2	0xdff0e2…
08-08 03:04:16	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	6¢	$12	0x5faceb…
08-07 21:07:21	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	8¢	$16	0x2ab87f…
08-07 21:07:19	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,293	7¢	$90	0x49d2d7…
08-07 19:01:31	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	293	6¢	$18	0x4f2b3f…
08-06 21:47:42	will nigel farage up his vote share in clacton 20260707171746907	No	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x4de5f4…
08-05 02:01:26	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	200	24¢	$48	0xf71261…
08-04 19:41:32	will nigel farage up his vote share in clacton 20260707171746907	No	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xd99f43…
08-04 13:49:00	will nigel farage up his vote share in clacton 20260707171746907	No	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x7831c5…
08-04 13:27:45	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	200	35¢	$70	0x0e88aa…
08-04 10:09:48	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	200	39¢	$78	0x2835bf…
08-04 09:12:41	will nigel farage up his vote share in clacton 20260707171746907	No	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x24c698…
08-04 08:25:48	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	No	SELL	30	10¢	$3	0x838ee9…
08-04 07:18:53	will nigel farage up his vote share in clacton 20260707171746907	No	SELL	8	2¢	$0	0xf6a348…
08-04 06:51:20	will nigel farage up his vote share in clacton 20260707171746907	No	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x901a6e…
08-04 01:10:53	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	200	39¢	$78	0xb1f45b…
08-04 00:45:47	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	200	43¢	$86	0x4230c6…
08-03 17:55:23	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	No	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x59efa6…
08-03 14:29:05	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	200	43¢	$86	0x896273…
08-03 13:14:30	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	No	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x943e06…
08-02 21:36:48	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,021	7¢	$71	0x4d87e1…
08-02 18:39:42	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	200	43¢	$86	0x81b317…
08-02 18:28:42	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	979	7¢	$69	0xdac13b…
08-02 10:44:54	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	200	43¢	$86	0xac2b23…
08-01 21:21:53	will nigel farage up his vote share in clacton 20260707171746907	No	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xb0f495…
08-01 20:59:36	will donald trump publicly insult marjorie taylor greene by july 31 2026 20260626210612718	No	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x4361a7…
08-01 15:04:29	will nigel farage up his vote share in clacton 20260707171746907	No	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xc3bb51…
08-01 14:29:23	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,369	9¢	$123	0x963cbb…
08-01 11:07:47	will nigel farage up his vote share in clacton 20260707171746907	No	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xd447b1…