Realized P&L
+$2.45K
Unrealized P&L
+$268
Hit rate
96.7%
Resolved
22
Trades
10,144
lifetime
Volume
$108.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$2.43K
13 positions
First seen
2026-03-08
last 07-21 06:30
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Politics
67% 62% +$2,463
Other
20% 64% $-17
Pop-Culture
8%
Tech
4%
Crypto
0%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
79 active days in 12wk • peak 219 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027? No -700 $-669 98¢ $-688 $-19 07-15 21:30
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes +5,929 $567 11¢ $622 +$56 07-21 06:30
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 No +1,759 $450 34¢ $589 +$140 06-21 16:52
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027? No -150 $-144 98¢ $-147 $-3 07-15 21:31
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI? Yes -249 $-144 50¢ $-126 +$18 07-15 07:31
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? Yes +143 $24 50¢ $72 +$48 07-07 18:27
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI? Yes +132 $65 50¢ $67 +$2 07-08 11:44
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0% or lower before 2027? No -60 $-57 98¢ $-59 $-1 07-08 01:44
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? No -100 $-44 24¢ $-24 +$20 07-10 08:51
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? No -160 $-27 12¢ $-20 +$7 07-20 06:22
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.0% or lower before 2027? No -10 $-10 97¢ $-10 +$0 07-02 12:26
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027? No +10 $8 84¢ $8 +$1 06-14 23:53
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027? Yes +10 $2 16¢ $2 $-0 06-15 05:03