Wretched-Outrigger 0x96e8e4…2dd240 Create alert
whale bot 2L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (7d)
+$106
Unrealized P&L
-$1.37K
Hit rate
95.1%
Resolved (7d)
10
Trades (7d)
115
42,937 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$450
$196.5K lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$1.48K
29 positions
First seen
2026-03-08
last 11-06 13:02
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 132 days
Categories
Politics
54% 46% +$1,191
Other
36% 47% -$3,390
Pop-Culture
5% 62% +$848
Tech
5% 80% +$352
Crypto
0% 38% +$21
Sports
0% 11% -$114
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 679 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? No +5,700 $1,289 10¢ $570 -$719 11-06 13:02
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? Yes +3,125 $409 10¢ $297 -$112 11-06 13:02
Will the US economy be overheating at the end of 2026? Yes +130 -$18 87¢ $113 +$131 10-25 19:11
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 No +940 $153 12¢ $113 -$41 11-04 08:23
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +100 $43 62¢ $62 +$19 11-02 05:55
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -33,852 -$283 0¢ $-51 +$233 09-22 13:41
Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be between $5.50T and $6.00T at the end of 2026? No +50 $39 94¢ $47 +$8 11-02 14:31
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026? Yes +550 $179 8¢ $41 -$138 11-01 13:14
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? Yes +100 $12 28¢ $28 +$15 10-27 07:56
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +100 $33 21¢ $21 -$12 10-11 23:24
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +164 -$8 13¢ $21 +$29 11-06 03:56
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +800 $950 3¢ $20 -$929 09-24 05:27
Will Trump veto a bill by February 1, 2027? Yes +50 $20 40¢ $20 +$0 11-06 11:54
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -12,896 -$153 0¢ $-19 +$134 10-23 17:27
Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? No +40 $21 26¢ $10 -$11 09-06 13:36
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027? No +10 $8 98¢ $10 +$2 06-14 23:53
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +50 $26 19¢ $10 -$16 08-18 01:17
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -4,740 -$136 0¢ $-7 +$129 09-24 22:20
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? Yes +3,856 $55 0¢ $6 -$49 11-03 16:25
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record? Yes +2,952 $18 0¢ $4 -$13 11-05 10:13
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? Yes +50 $6 6¢ $3 -$3 10-12 09:57
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? Yes +80 $11 3¢ $3 -$8 10-16 12:08
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Yes +400 $1 1¢ $2 +$2 10-22 15:37
Will Trump and Putin not meet? Yes +13 $6 12¢ $2 -$4 09-06 17:45
Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes +100 $17 2¢ $2 -$15 09-07 15:09
Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record? Yes +734 $0 0¢ $1 +$1 11-04 05:13
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.49ºC in October 2026? No +5 $4 12¢ $1 -$3 10-16 19:39
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027? Yes +10 $2 2¢ $0 -$2 06-15 05:03
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -0 -$4 0¢ $-0 +$4 09-19 15:47