Wretched-Outrigger 0x96e8e4…2dd240 Create alert
whale bot 2L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (30d)
+$156
Unrealized P&L
-$1.78K
Hit rate
96.5%
Resolved (30d)
18
Trades (30d)
604
42,966 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$3.08K
$196.6K lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$1.34K
29 positions
First seen
2026-03-08
last 11-11 05:16
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 132 days
Categories
Politics
54% 46% +$1,191
Other
36% 47% -$3,390
Pop-Culture
5% 62% +$848
Tech
5% 80% +$352
Crypto
0% 38% +$21
Sports
0% 11% -$114
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 679 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? No +6,000 $1,315 8¢ $510 -$805 11-09 00:01
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? Yes +3,660 $438 8¢ $293 -$146 11-09 12:20
Will the US economy be overheating at the end of 2026? Yes +130 -$18 73¢ $95 +$114 10-25 19:11
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 No +1,140 $168 7¢ $80 -$89 11-10 23:01
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +100 $43 78¢ $78 +$34 11-02 05:55
Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be between $5.50T and $6.00T at the end of 2026? No +50 $39 91¢ $45 +$6 11-02 14:31
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026? Yes +550 $179 6¢ $31 -$148 11-01 13:14
Will Trump veto a bill by February 1, 2027? Yes +50 $20 52¢ $26 +$6 11-06 11:54
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +100 $33 23¢ $23 -$10 10-11 23:24
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? Yes +100 $12 20¢ $21 +$8 10-27 07:56
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -12,896 -$153 0¢ $-19 +$134 10-23 17:27
US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026? Yes +280 $25 6¢ $18 -$6 11-11 05:16
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +194 -$5 9¢ $18 +$23 11-08 14:48
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +800 $950 2¢ $15 -$935 09-24 05:27
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Yes +100 -$31 10¢ $10 +$41 11-10 13:44
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027? No +10 $8 99¢ $10 +$2 06-14 23:53
Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? No +40 $21 24¢ $10 -$11 09-06 13:36
Will Rihanna release an album in 2026? Yes -152 $20 6¢ $-8 -$28 10-15 11:28
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +50 $26 16¢ $8 -$18 08-18 01:17
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? Yes +3,856 $55 0¢ $6 -$49 11-03 16:25
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -4,740 -$136 0¢ $-5 +$131 09-24 22:20
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? Yes +80 $11 5¢ $4 -$7 10-16 12:08
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? Yes +50 $6 5¢ $2 -$4 10-12 09:57
Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes +100 $17 2¢ $2 -$15 09-07 15:09
Will Trump and Putin not meet? Yes +13 $6 6¢ $1 -$5 09-06 17:45
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.49ºC in October 2026? No +5 $4 5¢ $0 -$3 10-16 19:39
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027? Yes +10 $2 1¢ $0 -$2 06-15 05:03
Will global temperature increase by between 1.45ºC and 1.49ºC in October 2026? Yes +2 $0 4¢ $0 +$0 10-29 12:22
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -0 -$4 0¢ $-0 +$4 09-19 15:47