Vigilant-Cornflakes — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

25.6%

Resolved

234

Trades

728

lifetime

Volume

$3.48K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-14

last 07-02 08:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 67 days

Categories

Sports

44% 45% +$53

Other

34% 46% -$20

Tech

12% 48% -$11

Politics

10% 42% -$2

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-02).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will myles garrett win the 202526 nfl mvp award	2	$400	200	200	+0	No	$0	01-21 06:12
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 100 119	2	$400	200	200	+0	No	$0	01-14 02:56
Will Marseille win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$324	163	163	+0	No	$0	01-26 07:39
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	2	$320	161	161	+0	Yes	$0	02-24 05:52
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$300	150	150	+0	No	$0	01-30 02:34
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?	69	$115	162	162	+0	No	-$2	06-05 03:58
nba nop det 2026 03 26	1	$66	100	0	+100	Pistons	+$34	03-26 06:13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	14	$46	37	37	+0	No	+$1	06-26 15:40
will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	10	$37	24	24	+0	Yes	+$1	06-30 03:19
nba dal bkn 2026 02 24	1	$31	56	0	+56	Mavericks	+$25	02-24 05:48
nhl nyi phi 2026 01 26	1	$30	59	0	+59	Islanders	-$30	01-26 07:36
nba tor orl 2026 01 30	1	$22	42	0	+42	Magic	+$20	01-30 02:33
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?	3	$21	15	15	+0	Yes	+$9	06-12 04:01
nba atl mem 2026 01 21	1	$20	35	0	+35	Hawks	-$20	01-21 06:10
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?	3	$19	25	25	+0	Yes	+$9	06-06 14:30
nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	8	$18	24	12	+12	Yes	+$0	06-08 10:28
nba det cha 2026 04 10	1	$18	45	0	+45	Pistons	+$27	04-10 11:25
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	4	$17	13	13	+0	Yes	+$7	06-16 10:37
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,100 (LOW) in June?	5	$17	10	10	+0	No	+$2	06-30 03:19
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	6	$17	36	36	+0	Yes	+$4	06-04 04:07
Will Silver (SI) settle at $70-$80 in June?	10	$17	31	31	+0	No	-$1	06-16 10:37
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	4	$15	24	24	+0	No	+$4	06-10 01:53
will xauusd reach 4700 in june 2026	8	$15	36	36	+0	No	-$1	06-11 22:13
Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 1.75T and 2.00T?	11	$15	44	44	+0	Yes	-$4	06-04 14:16
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026?	5	$15	15	15	+0	No	+$6	06-28 23:34
nhl tor utah 2026 01 13	1	$15	24	0	+24	Utah	+$10	01-14 02:55
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	3	$14	10	10	+0	No	+$3	06-30 03:19
will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	4	$14	11	11	+0	No	+$4	06-28 04:10
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	3	$14	8	8	+0	No	+$2	06-30 03:19
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	5	$14	20	20	+0	Yes	$0	06-20 02:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 08:29:31	Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xdb9f14…
07-02 08:29:29	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0xadf303…
07-02 08:29:28	will papertrade launch a token by june 30 2027	Yes	SELL	8	88¢	$7	0xa6cdb1…
07-02 08:29:26	Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?	Yes	SELL	9	60¢	$5	0x7683a6…
07-02 08:29:25	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	56¢	$5	0x0bb479…
07-02 08:29:23	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	Yes	SELL	15	25¢	$4	0x9d9d37…
07-02 08:29:23	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	43¢	$6	0x63fe50…
07-02 08:29:22	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	30	7¢	$2	0x947df0…
07-02 08:29:20	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	50	15¢	$7	0x3aa40c…
06-30 03:20:08	Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xadad72…
06-30 03:20:07	russia x ukraine ceasefire by june 30 2026 631	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x57e0c9…
06-30 03:20:05	Will Waymo launch in Denver by June 30 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x38d4a3…
06-30 03:20:04	ex cuba leader raul castro in us custody by june 30	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x12fad8…
06-30 03:20:02	will msft reach 480 in june 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x254d0d…
06-30 03:20:01	Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xb0f0af…
06-30 03:20:01	will donald trump publicly insult jd vance by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x6b3996…
06-30 03:19:59	will nvda dip to 176 in june 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x0fd26a…
06-30 03:19:58	will meta reach 700 in june 2026	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x0c679b…
06-30 03:19:56	will benjamin netanyahu sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950076	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x239dc6…
06-30 03:19:55	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x6fe95d…
06-30 03:19:53	Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x8019b0…
06-30 03:19:53	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x2c2bdc…
06-30 03:19:50	will donald trump publicly insult pope leo xiv by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x12fffc…
06-30 03:19:50	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x06a7f2…
06-30 03:19:49	Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0xdc4ef2…
06-30 03:19:47	will trump speak to yoon suk yeol in june	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xb73be9…
06-30 03:19:46	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x918480…
06-30 03:19:46	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x405243…
06-30 03:19:44	will russia capture mala tokmachka by june 30 2026	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x192656…
06-30 03:19:43	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.25% or lower before 2027?	No	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x856f0e…
06-30 03:19:41	Will Russia invade another country in 2026?	No	SELL	3	92¢	$3	0x960533…
06-30 03:19:40	Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xac91a7…
06-30 03:19:38	NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xa5a247…
06-30 03:19:37	will trump speak to maria corina machado in june	No	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0x2f9aa2…
06-30 03:19:35	Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by June 30?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xcf1edd…
06-30 03:19:35	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0xa8308f…
06-30 03:19:34	will congress override any veto in 2026 20260624150337322	No	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0xee3feb…
06-30 03:19:29	will hyperliquid reach 84 in june	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xb8446e…
06-30 03:19:28	israel x hezbollah diplomatic meeting by june 30 2026	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x4e8417…
06-30 03:19:26	will nvda reach 256 in june 2026	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x32ded5…
06-30 03:19:25	will wti reach 110 in june 2026 658 257 353	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x2168e3…
06-30 03:19:22	New pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	7	90¢	$6	0xb910e0…
06-30 03:19:22	will wti crude oil wti hit high 115 in june	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xb0cdea…
06-30 03:19:20	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	SELL	7	80¢	$6	0xde3567…
06-30 03:19:19	Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?	No	SELL	8	86¢	$7	0x9bd828…
06-30 03:19:16	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	8	59¢	$5	0xff1d43…
06-30 03:19:16	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xe9f629…
06-30 03:19:14	Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	No	SELL	8	75¢	$6	0xed28f1…
06-30 03:19:13	will sui reach 1pt80 before 2027	No	SELL	9	56¢	$5	0x46968c…
06-30 03:19:11	Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	10	56¢	$6	0x97e756…
06-30 03:19:10	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	10	85¢	$8	0x979e07…
06-30 03:19:07	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,100 (LOW) in June?	No	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0xc56ab4…
06-30 03:19:07	will mgm resorts be acquired before 2027	No	SELL	10	19¢	$2	0x2ec5c8…
06-30 03:19:04	Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?	No	SELL	13	57¢	$7	0x6af2d2…
06-30 03:19:01	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	30	17¢	$5	0x8d9803…
06-29 18:04:52	us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	4	28¢	$1	0x6bed7b…
06-29 18:04:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0xad71bc…
06-29 14:40:55	us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0x3f4597…
06-29 03:59:32	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	Yes	SELL	1	7¢	$0	0x21ef86…
06-28 23:34:25	Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026?	No	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0xfbfc5b…
06-28 23:34:25	Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $70-$77 in June?	Yes	SELL	5	50¢	$3	0x829bbc…
06-28 23:34:23	Will Silver (SI) settle at $50-$60 in June?	Yes	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0xc05d74…
06-28 23:34:23	Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0x2d00f5…
06-28 23:34:23	iran successfully targets shipping on july 3 20260625225210244	Yes	SELL	9	6¢	$1	0x1b6f7c…
06-28 23:34:20	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	30	3¢	$1	0x1afe2d…
06-28 20:51:59	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	SELL	1	31¢	$0	0x8788d7…
06-28 20:50:40	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	SELL	9	31¢	$3	0xc3d95e…
06-28 20:48:10	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	Yes	SELL	19	10¢	$2	0xac2880…
06-28 18:02:50	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x188c94…
06-28 15:16:35	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	Yes	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0x095db7…
06-28 15:16:32	Will Phantom launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	2¢	$1	0x02f510…
06-28 15:16:29	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0xee4a1d…
06-28 15:16:25	iran successfully targets shipping on july 3 20260625225210244	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x0ad893…
06-28 15:16:22	us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x23d68f…
06-28 12:26:22	will spy dip to 710 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0x7765e9…
06-28 12:00:02	Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xe35531…
06-28 09:40:07	iran successfully targets shipping on july 4 20260625225210245	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x649cb3…
06-28 09:39:44	will spy dip to 710 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x0fe817…
06-28 09:39:35	us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x3503a6…
06-28 07:05:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x972550…
06-28 06:55:32	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xbe6ef2…
06-28 06:55:20	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x8ce8e5…
06-28 05:29:05	Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xaf9fc5…
06-28 04:25:56	Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x81f1e5…
06-28 04:10:56	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0xb71eb6…
06-28 04:09:59	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x14678b…
06-28 01:26:50	Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?	Yes	BUY	95	1¢	$1	0x6f9969…
06-28 01:26:34	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	10	82¢	$8	0x82cbcc…
06-27 20:06:08	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x0791ca…
06-27 20:05:40	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0x332378…
06-27 17:48:38	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x4f123d…
06-27 17:48:35	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x3c5ba7…
06-27 17:43:29	Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026?	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0xaf5d94…
06-27 17:22:34	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	4	91¢	$3	0xb732dd…
06-27 14:35:37	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	SELL	2	8¢	$0	0x931bf9…
06-27 11:50:46	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	SELL	15	8¢	$1	0xf7ad92…
06-27 11:50:38	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xf87922…
06-27 05:39:28	Will Silver (SI) settle at $50-$60 in June?	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x09be16…
06-26 15:40:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x6a57d8…
06-26 13:02:14	will congress override any veto in 2026 20260624150337322	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x090c85…