Pale-Retouching 0xf64a28…b2f145
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Realized P&L
-$22
Unrealized P&L
+$5
Hit rate
48.4%
Resolved
168
Trades
913
lifetime
Volume
$4.36K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$83
26 positions
First seen
2026-01-08
last 06-10 05:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 15 days
Categories
Sports
42% 40% $-24
Other
35% 49% +$2
Politics
22% — —
Tech
1% — —
Crypto
0% 0% $-0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
39 active days in 12wk • peak 78 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +12 $6 55¢ $6 +$0 06-04 23:04
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +8 $6 74¢ $6 +$0 06-04 08:12
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -8 $-6 72¢ $-6 +$0 06-05 14:42
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +7 $6 82¢ $6 +$0 06-05 02:14
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? Yes +9 $7 60¢ $6 $-1 06-06 12:50
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes -10 $-6 54¢ $-5 +$1 06-07 23:46
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +6 $5 90¢ $5 +$0 05-28 17:19
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor? Yes +6 $5 90¢ $5 +$0 06-06 02:20
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? No +5 $4 80¢ $4 +$0 06-09 13:03
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June? Yes +5 $3 79¢ $4 +$1 06-04 19:16
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? No +5 $3 78¢ $4 +$1 05-28 04:24
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? Yes +13 $4 28¢ $4 $-0 06-04 04:23
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? No +5 $3 62¢ $3 $-0 06-08 09:27
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? No +4 $3 66¢ $2 $-0 05-28 13:22
Will the Democratic Union of Hungarians in Romania (UDMR) be included in the next Romanian government? No +5 $2 47¢ $2 $-0 06-10 00:35
Fed rate hike in 2026? No -5 $-3 46¢ $-2 +$1 05-28 07:12
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? No +5 $2 44¢ $2 +$0 06-09 00:04
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? No +3 $2 78¢ $2 $-0 06-10 02:53
Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4? Yes +19 $2 10¢ $2 $-1 06-05 08:36
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? No +19 $2 6¢ $1 $-1 06-02 21:38
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +10 $1 12¢ $1 +$0 05-29 13:38
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 +$0 05-29 11:44
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes -19 $-1 5¢ $-1 +$0 05-28 16:22
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 +$0 06-05 02:14
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? Yes +47 $7 0¢ $0 $-7 06-06 07:41
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? No +9 $-9 0¢ $0 +$9 06-07 21:01