Realized P&L
-$22
Unrealized P&L
+$4
Hit rate
48.4%
Resolved
168
Trades
1,212
lifetime
Volume
$4.97K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$33
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-08
last 07-01 05:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 15 days
Categories
Sports
37% 40% $-24
Other
36% 49% +$2
Politics
24%
Tech
2%
Crypto
0% 0% $-0
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
59 active days in 12wk • peak 78 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -8 $-6 84¢ $-7 $-1 06-05 14:42
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes -10 $-6 55¢ $-5 +$1 06-07 23:46
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -5 $-4 99¢ $-5 $-1 06-16 18:28
Will the Democratic Union of Hungarians in Romania (UDMR) be included in the next Romanian government? No +7 $3 56¢ $4 +$1 06-10 20:25
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? No -5 $-3 70¢ $-3 $-0 07-01 03:29
Fed rate hike in 2026? No -5 $-2 45¢ $-2 +$0 06-26 19:59
Will the Social Democratic Party (PSD) be included in the next Romanian government? No +5 $2 43¢ $2 +$0 06-20 02:32
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -1 $-1 90¢ $-1 +$0 06-10 18:08
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.25% or lower before 2027? No +1 $1 95¢ $1 $-0 06-26 11:59
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? No -1 $-1 78¢ $-1 +$0 06-15 22:03
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes -19 $-1 $-1 +$0 05-28 16:22
Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4? Yes -25 $3 $-0 $-3 07-01 03:43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -10 $-6 $-0 +$6 06-26 19:58