Realized P&L
-$15
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
522
lifetime
Volume
$1.99K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$79
23 positions
First seen
2026-01-20
last 06-10 00:22
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
62% 0% $-14
Other
24% 0% $-1
Sports
12%
Tech
2%
Crypto
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
38 active days in 12wk • peak 48 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes -16 $-11 71¢ $-11 +$0 06-07 19:49
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? No +9 $6 74¢ $6 +$1 06-06 11:45
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? Yes +8 $6 82¢ $6 +$0 06-05 20:56
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? No +7 $6 88¢ $6 +$0 06-09 10:21
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? No +43 $10 14¢ $6 $-4 06-05 18:32
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? Yes +9 $6 60¢ $6 $-0 06-05 22:59
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +10 $5 55¢ $5 +$1 06-04 23:39
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +6 $4 74¢ $5 +$0 06-04 04:23
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? Yes +13 $4 28¢ $4 $-0 06-04 03:59
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +5 $3 72¢ $4 +$0 06-04 20:27
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June? No +5 $4 64¢ $3 $-1 06-08 07:52
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? No +4 $3 72¢ $3 $-0 06-04 23:08
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay No +3 $2 82¢ $2 +$0 06-08 05:54
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? No +5 $2 43¢ $2 +$0 06-09 00:04
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +2 $2 90¢ $2 +$0 06-03 05:34
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes -10 $-1 12¢ $-1 $-0 06-08 13:18
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? No +19 $2 $1 $-1 06-02 20:34
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? No +2 $0 66¢ $1 +$1 06-10 05:22
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? No +3 $1 40¢ $1 +$0 06-06 00:26
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 +$0 06-05 01:33
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -1 $-1 99¢ $-1 $-0 06-09 12:54
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +1 $1 78¢ $1 $-0 06-03 22:42
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? Yes +53 $1 $0 $-1 06-06 21:22