Realized P&L
+$3
Unrealized P&L
+$2
Hit rate
46.4%
Resolved
8
Trades
450
lifetime
Volume
$52.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$116
Open exposure
$53
18 positions
First seen
2026-01-12
last 06-11 23:16
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Sports
85% 50% +$3
Other
13%
Politics
1%
Crypto
1%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
27 active days in 12wk • peak 54 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? No -10 $-8 91¢ $-9 $-0 06-11 20:48
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? Yes +9 $6 78¢ $7 +$1 06-11 23:02
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30? No -7 $-4 86¢ $-6 $-2 05-31 12:25
Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026? No +9 $6 54¢ $5 $-1 06-03 06:00
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? No +6 $3 76¢ $5 +$2 06-11 13:42
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes -10 $-6 42¢ $-4 +$2 06-07 22:45
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +5 $3 67¢ $3 $-0 06-05 06:59
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? No +5 $3 66¢ $3 +$0 06-01 06:29
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? No +3 $2 82¢ $2 +$0 06-10 02:26
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +2 $1 56¢ $1 +$0 05-30 12:15
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? No -1 $-1 94¢ $-1 $-0 06-02 08:59
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No +1 $1 85¢ $1 +$0 06-05 10:51
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +1 $1 88¢ $1 +$0 05-30 12:14
Trump goes to space in 2026? No -1 $-1 97¢ $-1 $-0 06-05 09:59
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor? Yes +1 $1 88¢ $1 $-0 06-08 01:18
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? No +1 $1 84¢ $1 $-0 06-05 01:37
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? Yes +17 $1 $1 $-0 06-10 09:57
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? No +15 $1 $1 $-1 06-10 02:26