Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$9
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
490
lifetime
Volume
$2.86K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$24
23 positions
First seen
2026-01-14
last 06-30 03:18
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
50%
Sports
22%
Crypto
17%
Politics
9%
Tech
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
31 active days in 12wk • peak 51 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes +8 $6 77¢ $6 +$1 06-11 22:13
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? Yes +15 $5 34¢ $5 $-0 06-17 13:05
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -5 $-3 70¢ $-3 $-0 06-30 03:17
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30? No -2 $-2 100¢ $-2 $-0 06-11 13:50
Bill Clinton divorce by June 30? Yes +500 $1 $2 +$0 06-21 01:53
Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 06-16 11:13
Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026? Yes +165 $1 $1 $-0 06-26 05:24
Iran leadership change by June 30? Yes +500 $1 $1 $-0 06-27 12:23
Will the federal gas tax be suspended by June 30, 2026? Yes +67 $1 $1 $-0 06-16 15:08
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30? Yes +500 $1 $0 $-0 06-26 08:06
Jimmy Lai released by June 30? Yes +200 $1 $0 $-1 06-22 06:51
DOJ reopens Powell investigation by June 30? Yes +100 $1 $0 $-1 06-21 01:53
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? Yes +250 $1 $0 $-1 06-17 09:49
Will Andy Burnham be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election? No +26 $0 $0 +$0 06-30 03:17
Will Hibachi launch a token by June 30, 2026? Yes +134 $1 $0 $-1 06-21 12:18
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? Yes +125 $1 $0 $-1 06-20 15:57
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? No +111 $1 $0 $-1 06-21 07:07
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? Yes +79 $1 $0 $-1 06-22 09:26
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? Yes +25 $0 $0 $-0 06-21 20:33
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? Yes +43 $1 $0 $-1 06-07 03:56
Will Silver (SI) settle over $65 on the final trading day of June 2026? Yes +10 $2 $0 $-2 06-23 18:54
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +0 $-1 55¢ $0 +$1 06-30 03:17
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30? Yes +5 $0 $0 $-0 06-01 07:20