Troubled-Anesthesiologist — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$17

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

22.2%

Resolved

258

Trades

828

lifetime

Volume

$3.52K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-14

last 07-02 08:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 64 days

Categories

Other

50% 42% -$39

Sports

24% 56% +$70

Crypto

14% 0% $0

Politics

11% 40% -$8

Tech

2% 45% -$7

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-02).

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	+167	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	06-17 10:59
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	+30	$3	0¢	$0	-$3	06-03 06:14
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	+0	$1	5¢	$0	-$1	06-28 21:28
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	No	+0	-$1	96¢	$0	+$1	06-30 03:17

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will ethereum reach 4400 in january 2026	2	$460	231	231	+0	No	$0	01-23 05:14
Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$460	231	231	+0	No	$0	01-26 07:39
will silver si hit high 185 by end of february 694 754	2	$440	220	220	+0	No	$0	02-24 05:52
elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 580plus	2	$420	213	213	+0	No	$0	01-14 02:56
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?	69	$118	149	149	+0	No	-$2	06-06 14:30
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	20	$54	55	55	+0	No	+$1	06-20 23:15
nba nyk cle 2026 02 24	1	$35	57	0	+57	Cavaliers	+$22	02-24 05:47
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	10	$34	27	27	+0	No	+$1	06-11 14:20
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?	13	$28	18	18	+0	open	—	06-21 12:18
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?	7	$24	16	16	+0	open	—	06-29 03:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	6	$24	16	16	+0	No	+$0	06-03 04:39
will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	6	$24	15	15	+0	Yes	$0	06-30 03:17
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	6	$20	22	22	+0	Yes	-$2	06-13 02:10
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	11	$19	33	33	+0	Yes	$0	06-05 06:46
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	9	$18	88	88	+0	open	—	06-03 15:50
Will Silver (SI) settle at $70-$80 in June?	12	$17	32	32	+0	No	-$1	06-16 17:40
cbb geows utahv 2026 03 18	1	$17	36	0	+36	George Washington Revolutionaries	+$20	03-18 03:04
us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	7	$16	18	18	+0	Yes	-$1	06-13 02:10
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	5	$16	24	24	+0	open	—	06-10 01:53
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	6	$15	12	12	+0	Yes	$0	06-11 22:42
will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 19 20260622183223871 165	4	$15	37	37	+0	No	-$2	07-02 08:29
Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	5	$15	11	11	+0	No	-$1	06-03 10:00
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?	6	$14	12	12	+0	open	—	06-16 11:54
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?	4	$14	14	14	+0	open	—	06-30 03:17
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	3	$14	9	9	+0	No	+$2	06-30 03:17
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	5	$14	52	52	+0	open	—	07-02 08:29
will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	4	$14	11	11	+0	No	+$4	06-28 04:51
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	4	$13	8	8	+0	No	+$2	06-30 03:17
will spain reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120763	6	$13	12	12	+0	Yes	-$1	06-20 02:50
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	4	$13	19	19	+0	Yes	$0	06-20 02:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 08:30:26	will mgm resorts be acquired before 2027	No	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0xa1cf18…
07-02 08:29:17	Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x0aa4ae…
07-02 08:29:16	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	Yes	SELL	3	43¢	$1	0x49da6f…
07-02 08:29:14	Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?	Yes	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x7aa4ac…
07-02 08:29:13	will papertrade launch a token by june 30 2027	Yes	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0xf3b35f…
07-02 08:29:11	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	8	39¢	$3	0x670052…
07-02 08:29:10	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	56¢	$6	0xc12b15…
07-02 08:29:10	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes	SELL	8	67¢	$5	0x6623f3…
07-02 08:29:08	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	Yes	SELL	15	25¢	$4	0xd531bb…
07-02 08:29:07	flavio bolsonaro charged or arrested by september 30 20260609144215531	Yes	SELL	15	11¢	$2	0x6ec410…
07-02 08:29:05	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	30	7¢	$2	0xcc0930…
07-02 08:29:04	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 19 20260622183223871 165	Yes	SELL	37	18¢	$7	0x932d1b…
07-02 08:29:02	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	52	15¢	$8	0x0e5ec7…
07-02 08:29:01	Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	87	2¢	$2	0x2db8c3…
06-30 03:18:53	Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xfd4ff8…
06-30 03:18:52	will spy reach 800 in june 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xfd900d…
06-30 03:18:50	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x526e9c…
06-30 03:18:49	russia x ukraine ceasefire by june 30 2026 631	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xddd9ff…
06-30 03:18:47	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x3a735f…
06-30 03:18:46	will wti reach 150 in june 2026 555	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x994791…
06-30 03:18:46	Will Waymo launch in Denver by June 30 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x5583cc…
06-30 03:18:44	ex cuba leader raul castro in us custody by june 30	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xcd63e1…
06-30 03:18:43	will donald trump publicly insult jd vance by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd19ffe…
06-30 03:18:41	Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xd302a3…
06-30 03:18:40	will nvda dip to 176 in june 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xcbe96e…
06-30 03:18:38	will meta reach 700 in june 2026	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x470592…
06-30 03:18:37	will wti reach 140 in june 2026 374	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x201ebc…
06-30 03:18:35	will benjamin netanyahu sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950076	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x5aa5b0…
06-30 03:18:35	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x511c8a…
06-30 03:18:34	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x31ee26…
06-30 03:18:32	will xauusd reach 5000 in june 2026	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xd304f2…
06-30 03:18:31	Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb11e1f…
06-30 03:18:31	will trump speak to maria corina machado in june	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x558856…
06-30 03:18:29	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,900 (LOW) in June?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe9a3f9…
06-30 03:18:28	Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x6a9354…
06-30 03:18:26	will nvda reach 256 in june 2026	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x8e07f7…
06-30 03:18:25	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0xd08ced…
06-30 03:18:23	will trump speak to yoon suk yeol in june	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x997b58…
06-30 03:18:23	will wti reach 110 in june 2026 658 257 353	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x164488…
06-30 03:18:22	will russia capture mala tokmachka by june 30 2026	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xd011dc…
06-30 03:18:20	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.25% or lower before 2027?	No	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x7699a8…
06-30 03:18:19	Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x8f9a7e…
06-30 03:18:17	Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xf9cdea…
06-30 03:18:16	NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xd2fc99…
06-30 03:18:16	Will Russia invade another country in 2026?	No	SELL	3	92¢	$3	0xc5af90…
06-30 03:18:13	Will Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x3637ba…
06-30 03:18:11	will lebanon be a party to the us x iran memorandum of understanding 20260611230522908	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xd25884…
06-30 03:18:11	Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xd20a0d…
06-30 03:18:10	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x0a3d07…
06-30 03:18:08	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0xa1823c…
06-30 03:18:07	Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?	No	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0x973d80…
06-30 03:18:05	Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by June 30?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xfdcbbf…
06-30 03:18:02	will sui reach 1pt80 before 2027	No	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0xa07e19…
06-30 03:18:01	will hyperliquid reach 84 in june	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xde21ee…
06-30 03:17:59	israel x hezbollah diplomatic meeting by june 30 2026	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xe43d88…
06-30 03:17:59	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	6	94¢	$6	0xd32420…
06-30 03:17:58	New pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	7	90¢	$6	0x7d52ef…
06-30 03:17:56	will xagusd reach 78 in june 2026	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x110cc7…
06-30 03:17:55	Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?	No	SELL	7	86¢	$6	0xd2fa74…
06-30 03:17:53	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	SELL	7	80¢	$6	0x9f6f08…
06-30 03:17:50	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x5036ae…
06-30 03:17:49	Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	8	69¢	$6	0x7ace5a…
06-30 03:17:46	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	73¢	$6	0xf14cb2…
06-30 03:17:46	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	8	59¢	$5	0x99fb0e…
06-30 03:17:44	Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	No	SELL	8	75¢	$6	0xca40e9…
06-30 03:17:41	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	9	85¢	$8	0xa81e6d…
06-30 03:17:38	Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	10	56¢	$6	0x46c80c…
06-30 03:17:37	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	12	55¢	$7	0x9724bb…
06-30 03:17:35	Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?	No	SELL	14	57¢	$8	0x8b7a8a…
06-30 03:17:32	will pltr reach 114 in july 2026	No	SELL	25	8¢	$2	0x3825a9…
06-30 03:17:31	Will Andy Burnham be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	No	SELL	65	1¢	$1	0xc5bf97…
06-29 18:04:55	us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	4	28¢	$1	0x3f1e32…
06-29 14:40:58	us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	10	28¢	$3	0x694fd9…
06-29 03:59:31	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?	No	SELL	3	76¢	$2	0xcf8ec5…
06-29 01:22:02	iran successfully targets shipping on july 6 20260625225210247	Yes	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0xc4be95…
06-29 01:22:02	iran successfully targets shipping on july 2 20260625225210243	Yes	SELL	18	5¢	$1	0x3df1f8…
06-29 01:22:02	iran successfully targets shipping on july 3 20260625225210244	Yes	SELL	9	6¢	$1	0x05f7ff…
06-29 00:02:25	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0x60c6de…
06-28 21:28:13	Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0x19f374…
06-28 21:28:05	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x1aa0aa…
06-28 21:28:02	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x9c3d44…
06-28 21:27:59	iran successfully targets shipping on july 6 20260625225210247	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x6f9dfd…
06-28 21:27:37	iran successfully targets shipping on july 2 20260625225210243	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x46c0ac…
06-28 21:27:23	iran successfully targets shipping on july 4 20260625225210245	Yes	BUY	7	9¢	$1	0x2092f7…
06-28 18:43:01	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?	No	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0x59e497…
06-28 18:42:50	iran successfully targets shipping on june 29 20260625225210240	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x11de8b…
06-28 18:41:58	Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in July 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x1e3668…
06-28 18:41:49	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	129	1¢	$1	0x21fa98…
06-28 15:57:07	iran successfully targets shipping on june 29 20260625225210240	Yes	SELL	10	14¢	$1	0x48ba20…
06-28 15:56:22	iran successfully targets shipping on july 7 20260625225210248	Yes	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0xc85d8a…
06-28 15:56:01	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	Yes	BUY	122	1¢	$1	0x0b5891…
06-28 15:55:56	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x958475…
06-28 15:55:56	us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x8657e7…
06-28 13:21:04	Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0xc2543b…
06-28 13:06:23	iran successfully targets shipping on june 29 20260625225210240	Yes	BUY	15	14¢	$2	0x52df0c…
06-28 13:06:22	Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x6b7ada…
06-28 13:06:11	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x5c8b0b…
06-28 13:05:49	iran successfully targets shipping on july 3 20260625225210244	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xcd061b…
06-28 13:05:35	iran successfully targets shipping on july 7 20260625225210248	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x972810…
06-28 10:18:55	us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x8b9d5e…