Will Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30?
open
Total volume
$9,204
$3 in 24h
Trades
119
Unique wallets
44
Liquidity
$5,064
Latest YES mid
2¢
Latest NO mid
98¢
End date
2026-06-30
First seen
2026-06-03
last 07-02 01:22
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-0.0¢
(top1%: 2% YES on $5.3K
vs crowd: 2% YES on $8.2K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 6 | $102 | $5.8K | $5.7K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 10 | $19 | $2.2K | $2.2K |
| 🐟 Fish | 11 | $38 | $40 | $2 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 17 | $3 | $49 | $47 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 7 | $102 | $5.2K | $5.1K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | $20 | $258 | $239 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $1 | $57 | $56 |
| Median | 2 | — | — | +— |
| Below median | 2 | $1 | $7 | $6 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| unranked | 18 | $37 | $2.6K | $2.5K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | +7,742 | $24 | $46 | 12 | 07-02 01:22 |
| Key-Sovereignty 0xf0d5…c665 | No | +3,060 | $3,057 | $3,057 | 1 | 07-02 01:22 |
| Sardonic-Patty 0xe7bd…ebce | No | +2,526 | $2,505 | $2,505 | 2 | 06-27 21:43 |
| Wobbly-Chain 0xcc79…1c2a | No | +2,000 | $1,996 | $1,996 | 1 | 06-30 08:41 |
| Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | +227 | $224 | $224 | 1 | 06-18 13:40 |
| Rundown-Schoolhouse 0x6abe…d6a5 | No | +102 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-17 14:57 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +79 | $2 | $2 | 5 | 06-23 12:03 |
| Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | +63 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 06-25 14:49 |
| (anonymous) 0xfd74…47c5 | Yes | +41 | $1 | $2 | 25 | 07-01 15:04 |
| Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | +40 | $37 | $76 | 5 | 06-17 14:57 |
| Glum-Kitty 0x30d1…4525 | No | +35 | $35 | $35 | 2 | 06-23 01:02 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +35 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-25 15:01 |
| Long-Pimple 0xad70…50bd | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-22 18:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x3ec5…c370 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-22 03:22 |
| Unhappy-Garage 0xb986…4b60 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-13 14:15 |
| Keen-Loneliness 0x966b…2ee6 | No | +8 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-03 00:08 |
| Shrill-Maelstrom 0xea40…86b9 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-23 00:54 |
| Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-25 14:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x2f77…4b79 | No | +4 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 06-23 01:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | +3 | $0 | $0 | 5 | 06-30 03:18 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-02 01:22:31 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 3,000 | 0¢ | $3 | 0xb4ec40… |
| 07-02 01:22:31 | (anonymous) 0xb609…85f8 | No | SELL | 60 | 100¢ | $60 | 0xb4ec40… |
| 07-02 01:22:31 | Key-Sovereignty 0xf0d5…c665 | No | BUY | 3,060 | 100¢ | $3,057 | 0xb4ec40… |
| 07-01 15:04:16 | (anonymous) 0xfd74…47c5 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x27610d… |
| 07-01 15:04:16 | Self-Assured-Grocery 0x77b5…45df | No | SELL | 4 | 98¢ | $3 | 0x27610d… |
| 07-01 15:03:01 | (anonymous) 0xfd74…47c5 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xfd7be4… |
| 07-01 15:03:01 | Lavish-Mambo 0x8094…3bc4 | No | SELL | 4 | 98¢ | $3 | 0xfd7be4… |
| 07-01 15:01:22 | Cute-Hydrocarbon 0x460a…9e42 | No | SELL | 4 | 98¢ | $3 | 0x888578… |
| 07-01 15:01:22 | (anonymous) 0xfd74…47c5 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x888578… |
| 07-01 14:58:17 | (anonymous) 0xfd74…47c5 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xd54345… |
| 07-01 14:58:17 | Frightening-Stencil 0xd663…c21b | No | SELL | 4 | 98¢ | $3 | 0xd54345… |
| 06-30 08:41:37 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 2,000 | 0¢ | $4 | 0xd29edd… |
| 06-30 08:41:37 | Wobbly-Chain 0xcc79…1c2a | No | BUY | 2,000 | 100¢ | $1,996 | 0xd29edd… |
| 06-30 03:18:13 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3637ba… |
| 06-30 03:18:13 | Troubled-Anesthesiologist 0xc94e…55dc | No | SELL | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0x3637ba… |
| 06-30 03:12:04 | Ashamed-Dishwasher 0x28fc…4e92 | No | SELL | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0x21ade5… |
| 06-30 03:12:04 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x21ade5… |
| 06-30 03:10:55 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x67ccbf… |
| 06-30 03:10:55 | Granular-Carter 0x787d…cba8 | No | SELL | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0x67ccbf… |
| 06-28 11:24:08 | (anonymous) 0xb1fc…51ac | No | SELL | 47 | 100¢ | $47 | 0xfc025b… |
| 06-28 11:24:08 | (anonymous) 0xfd74…47c5 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfc025b… |
| 06-28 11:24:08 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfc025b… |
| 06-27 21:43:25 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $3 | 0x5401f6… |
| 06-27 21:43:25 | Sardonic-Patty 0xe7bd…ebce | No | BUY | 1,000 | 100¢ | $997 | 0x5401f6… |
| 06-25 15:01:49 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 35 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbc8909… |
| 06-25 15:01:49 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 35 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbc8909… |
| 06-25 14:49:25 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6e5e3a… |
| 06-25 14:49:25 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6e5e3a… |
| 06-25 14:01:07 | (anonymous) 0xfd74…47c5 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x513e31… |
| 06-25 14:01:07 | Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x513e31… |
| 06-23 12:03:28 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x780b9f… |
| 06-23 12:03:28 | Sardonic-Patty 0xe7bd…ebce | No | BUY | 1,526 | 99¢ | $1,508 | 0x780b9f… |
| 06-23 12:03:28 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x780b9f… |
| 06-23 12:03:28 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 1¢ | $10 | 0x780b9f… |
| 06-23 06:02:53 | (anonymous) 0xfd74…47c5 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xd1af55… |
| 06-23 06:02:53 | Rural-Sight 0xe450…91b9 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xd1af55… |
| 06-23 03:35:05 | Self-Assured-Grocery 0x77b5…45df | No | BUY | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x8214e6… |
| 06-23 03:35:05 | (anonymous) 0xfd74…47c5 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x8214e6… |
| 06-23 03:34:08 | (anonymous) 0xfd74…47c5 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x273d8d… |
| 06-23 03:34:08 | Granular-Carter 0x787d…cba8 | No | BUY | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x273d8d… |
| 06-23 03:24:46 | Troubled-Anesthesiologist 0xc94e…55dc | No | BUY | 4 | 98¢ | $3 | 0x910020… |
| 06-23 03:24:46 | (anonymous) 0xfd74…47c5 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x910020… |
| 06-23 03:04:44 | (anonymous) 0xfd74…47c5 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xed93fc… |
| 06-23 03:04:44 | Lavish-Mambo 0x8094…3bc4 | No | BUY | 4 | 98¢ | $3 | 0xed93fc… |
| 06-23 02:37:10 | Cute-Hydrocarbon 0x460a…9e42 | No | BUY | 4 | 98¢ | $3 | 0x2c9ec5… |
| 06-23 02:37:10 | (anonymous) 0xfd74…47c5 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x2c9ec5… |
| 06-23 01:51:34 | (anonymous) 0xfd74…47c5 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xcab5bc… |
| 06-23 01:51:34 | Ashamed-Dishwasher 0x28fc…4e92 | No | BUY | 4 | 98¢ | $3 | 0xcab5bc… |
| 06-23 01:44:29 | (anonymous) 0xfd74…47c5 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x13a84c… |
| 06-23 01:44:29 | Frightening-Stencil 0xd663…c21b | No | BUY | 4 | 98¢ | $3 | 0x13a84c… |
| 06-23 01:15:04 | (anonymous) 0xfd74…47c5 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x53c20d… |
| 06-23 01:15:04 | Self-Assured-Grocery 0x77b5…45df | No | BUY | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x53c20d… |
| 06-23 01:02:55 | Glum-Kitty 0x30d1…4525 | No | BUY | 16 | 98¢ | $16 | 0x9f1ac8… |
| 06-23 01:02:55 | (anonymous) 0xfd74…47c5 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x9f1ac8… |
| 06-23 01:02:55 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xf31379… |
| 06-23 01:02:55 | (anonymous) 0x2f77…4b79 | No | BUY | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0xf31379… |
| 06-23 00:58:32 | (anonymous) 0xfd74…47c5 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xf54d17… |
| 06-23 00:58:32 | Granular-Carter 0x787d…cba8 | No | BUY | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0xf54d17… |
| 06-23 00:54:22 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x24d82a… |
| 06-23 00:54:22 | Shrill-Maelstrom 0xea40…86b9 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x24d82a… |
| 06-23 00:54:14 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x813be4… |
| 06-23 00:54:14 | (anonymous) 0x2f77…4b79 | No | BUY | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x813be4… |
| 06-23 00:54:13 | Glum-Kitty 0x30d1…4525 | No | BUY | 19 | 98¢ | $18 | 0x29c68e… |
| 06-23 00:54:13 | (anonymous) 0xfd74…47c5 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x29c68e… |
| 06-22 18:49:49 | Long-Pimple 0xad70…50bd | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x406212… |
| 06-22 18:49:49 | (anonymous) 0xfd74…47c5 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x406212… |
| 06-22 03:22:23 | (anonymous) 0x3ec5…c370 | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0xc9032d… |
| 06-22 03:22:23 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xc9032d… |
| 06-18 13:40:50 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 2¢ | $2 | 0xa41124… |
| 06-18 13:40:50 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | BUY | 100 | 2¢ | $2 | 0xa41124… |
| 06-18 13:40:50 | (anonymous) 0xfd74…47c5 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xa41124… |
| 06-18 13:40:50 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xa41124… |
| 06-18 13:40:50 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | BUY | 227 | 98¢ | $224 | 0xa41124… |
| 06-17 14:57:14 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 53 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x2708b1… |
| 06-17 14:57:14 | Rundown-Schoolhouse 0x6abe…d6a5 | No | BUY | 102 | 98¢ | $100 | 0x2708b1… |
| 06-17 14:57:14 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x2708b1… |
| 06-17 14:57:14 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x2708b1… |
| 06-17 14:57:14 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | BUY | 16 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x2708b1… |
| 06-17 14:57:14 | (anonymous) 0xfd74…47c5 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x2708b1… |
| 06-15 13:58:40 | (anonymous) 0xa3c2…df3d | Yes | SELL | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x7934ca… |
| 06-15 13:58:40 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | SELL | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x7934ca… |
| 06-15 13:57:28 | Vigilant-School 0x3cff…6fbd | No | SELL | 15 | 97¢ | $15 | 0x69e8f9… |
| 06-15 13:57:28 | (anonymous) 0xa3c2…df3d | Yes | SELL | 15 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x69e8f9… |
| 06-15 13:53:37 | Vigilant-School 0x3cff…6fbd | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xf7028c… |
| 06-15 13:53:37 | (anonymous) 0xa3c2…df3d | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xf7028c… |
| 06-14 22:36:37 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | SELL | 29 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xc67fd6… |
| 06-14 22:36:37 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | SELL | 384 | 4¢ | $14 | 0xc67fd6… |
| 06-14 22:36:37 | (anonymous) 0x9266…7562 | No | SELL | 588 | 96¢ | $566 | 0xc67fd6… |
| 06-14 22:36:37 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xc67fd6… |
| 06-14 22:36:37 | Stable-Patch 0x3a30…99ec | Yes | SELL | 25 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xc67fd6… |
| 06-14 22:36:37 | Vigilant-School 0x3cff…6fbd | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0xc67fd6… |
| 06-14 22:36:37 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | SELL | 100 | 4¢ | $4 | 0xc67fd6… |
| 06-13 14:26:55 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x45c500… |
| 06-13 14:26:55 | (anonymous) 0xfd74…47c5 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x45c500… |
| 06-13 14:15:36 | Unhappy-Garage 0xb986…4b60 | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0xfb090f… |
| 06-13 14:15:36 | (anonymous) 0xfd74…47c5 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xfb090f… |
| 06-11 09:17:36 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x7a6476… |
| 06-11 09:17:36 | Robust-Fox 0xdc17…c4ab | Yes | SELL | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x7a6476… |
| 06-07 20:00:39 | True-Parallelogram 0xe54b…aa14 | No | SELL | 100 | 97¢ | $97 | 0x4e1388… |
| 06-07 20:00:39 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | BUY | 30 | 97¢ | $29 | 0x4e1388… |