Vigilant-School 0x3cff61…f76fbd
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
+$10
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
5,635
lifetime
Volume
$30.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$257
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-03
last 07-03 10:39
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
58% — —
Politics
35% — —
Crypto
4% — —
Tech
3% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
30 active days in 12wk • peak 594 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay No -20 $-17 86¢ $-17 $-0 06-27 09:06
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +20 $13 84¢ $17 +$3 06-23 03:42
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? No +11 $10 94¢ $10 +$0 06-18 00:31
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? No +10 $9 98¢ $10 +$1 06-23 16:36
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No -10 $-10 96¢ $-10 +$0 06-16 21:56
US military draft authorized in 2026? No +10 $9 93¢ $10 +$0 06-23 04:30
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? No -10 $-10 96¢ $-10 +$0 07-02 19:27
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? No -10 $-9 95¢ $-9 $-0 06-23 17:49
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? No -10 $-10 94¢ $-9 +$0 06-24 19:17
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026? No +10 $9 94¢ $9 +$0 06-10 05:29
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No -10 $-10 94¢ $-9 +$0 06-23 11:28
Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026? No +10 $9 94¢ $9 +$0 06-15 11:11
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? No +9 $9 98¢ $9 +$0 06-14 14:07
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +10 $6 92¢ $9 +$3 06-25 00:08
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December? No +10 $9 92¢ $9 $-0 06-23 17:43
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? No -10 $-9 89¢ $-9 $-0 06-28 03:03
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? No -10 $-9 88¢ $-9 $-0 06-24 18:22
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? No +10 $7 84¢ $8 +$2 06-12 21:34
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? No +9 $8 84¢ $8 +$0 06-15 18:27
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026? No -8 $-8 98¢ $-8 +$0 06-07 02:34
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? No +10 $8 77¢ $8 $-0 06-15 19:18
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027? No +8 $7 94¢ $7 +$0 06-19 15:37
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? No +10 $8 64¢ $6 $-2 06-13 21:55
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? No -7 $-6 87¢ $-6 +$0 06-22 15:48
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +7 $6 84¢ $6 $-0 06-20 22:18
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 06-26 11:36
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 92¢ $5 +$0 06-19 09:51
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026? No -5 $-5 98¢ $-5 +$0 06-07 06:40
Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 $-0 06-17 11:18
Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 $-0 06-23 07:17