Vigilant-School 0x3cff61…f76fbd
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
+$11
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
5,669
lifetime
Volume
$31.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$249
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-03
last 07-21 06:11
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
58% — —
Politics
35% — —
Crypto
4% — —
Tech
3% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
46 active days in 12wk • peak 594 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay No -20 $-17 88¢ $-18 $-1 06-27 09:06
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +20 $13 86¢ $17 +$4 06-23 03:42
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? No +11 $10 95¢ $10 +$0 06-18 00:31
US military draft authorized in 2026? No +10 $9 95¢ $10 +$1 06-23 04:30
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? No +10 $9 97¢ $10 +$1 06-23 16:36
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No -10 $-10 97¢ $-10 +$0 06-16 21:56
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? No -10 $-9 96¢ $-10 $-0 06-23 17:49
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? No -10 $-10 95¢ $-10 +$0 07-02 19:27
Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026? No +10 $9 95¢ $10 +$0 06-15 11:11
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December? No +10 $9 94¢ $9 +$0 06-23 17:43
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026? No +10 $9 94¢ $9 +$0 06-10 05:29
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? No -10 $-10 94¢ $-9 +$0 06-24 19:17
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No -10 $-10 93¢ $-9 +$0 06-23 11:28
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31? No -10 $-10 93¢ $-9 +$0 07-11 10:54
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? No +9 $9 96¢ $9 +$0 06-14 14:07
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? No -10 $-9 85¢ $-9 +$0 06-24 18:22
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? No +10 $7 83¢ $8 +$2 06-12 21:34
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? No -10 $-9 80¢ $-8 +$1 06-28 03:03
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026? No -8 $-8 98¢ $-8 +$0 06-07 02:34
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +10 $6 77¢ $8 +$2 06-25 00:08
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? No -7 $-6 93¢ $-6 $-0 06-22 15:48
Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 $-0 06-23 07:17
Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 $-0 06-17 11:18
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026? No -5 $-5 98¢ $-5 +$0 06-07 06:40
Will Bernie endorse Antonio Delgado for NY-Gov by Nov 2 2026 ET? No -5 $-5 98¢ $-5 $-0 06-23 05:23
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No -5 $-5 96¢ $-5 +$0 06-12 09:16
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 06-19 22:15
Deel IPO before 2027? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 06-21 23:06
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 95¢ $5 +$0 06-21 10:11
ByteDance IPO before 2027? No +5 $5 93¢ $5 $-0 06-22 09:33