Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
65
lifetime
Volume
$236
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$64
9 positions
First seen
2026-05-24
last 06-13 14:32
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
54%
Other
46%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
16 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? No +25 $24 97¢ $24 $-0 06-13 23:17
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? No +10 $10 98¢ $10 +$0 05-28 11:23
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +12 $9 52¢ $6 $-3 06-13 07:25
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30? No +5 $5 97¢ $5 +$0 06-08 06:03
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Japan" before 2027? No -5 $-4 88¢ $-4 $-1 06-01 19:49
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Taiwan" before 2027? No -5 $-4 83¢ $-4 $-0 05-30 19:20
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by June 30? No -4 $-4 95¢ $-4 $-0 05-30 08:30
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? No +5 $4 75¢ $4 $-0 06-09 17:40
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $3 52¢ $3 +$0 06-09 21:33