Realized P&L
+$572
Unrealized P&L
+$351
Hit rate
92.6%
Resolved
8
Trades
3,162
lifetime
Volume
$178.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$56
Open exposure
$13.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 18:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
65% 100% +$601
Other
35% 60% $-29
Sports
0%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
71 active days in 12wk • peak 144 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? No +2,037 $1,974 100¢ $2.0K +$61 06-15 17:58
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes +2,480 $1,742 74¢ $1.8K +$105 06-30 16:29
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30? No +1,499 $1,432 99¢ $1.5K +$47 06-30 03:11
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026? No +1,025 $1,007 100¢ $1.0K +$15 06-24 07:17
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30? No +976 $937 100¢ $971 +$34 06-18 11:55
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,103 $980 86¢ $948 $-31 06-30 14:19
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by June 30, 2026? No +902 $863 99¢ $896 +$33 06-24 20:44
100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30? No +678 $670 100¢ $678 +$8 06-14 21:32
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No +600 $567 96¢ $576 +$9 06-24 14:47
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +400 $472 100¢ $399 $-73 06-23 04:23
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +354 $294 100¢ $353 +$59 06-17 13:29
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30? No +299 $283 99¢ $296 +$13 06-20 02:36
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? No +300 $266 95¢ $286 +$19 06-01 08:25
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Brazil" before 2027? No -200 $-180 94¢ $-188 $-8 06-01 20:49
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? No +186 $178 100¢ $185 +$7 05-28 11:23
Will any U.S. House member enter Iran by June 30? No +181 $179 100¢ $181 +$2 06-17 08:09
Fetterman leaves the Democrats by June 30? No +162 $158 100¢ $161 +$3 06-09 03:15
Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by June 30? No +110 $95 100¢ $110 +$15 06-08 04:46
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by June 30? No +108 $108 99¢ $107 $-1 06-25 03:29
SAVE America Act becomes law by June 30, 2026? No +100 $98 99¢ $99 +$2 06-11 16:15
Will the Housing for the 21st Century Act become law this year? Yes +73 $66 99¢ $72 +$6 06-24 14:29
No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30? No +60 $59 100¢ $60 +$1 06-22 08:39
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30? No +56 $54 99¢ $55 +$2 06-24 23:25
Will Russia capture Prymorske by June 30, 2026? No +50 $50 99¢ $50 +$0 06-16 11:43
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +60 $23 64¢ $38 +$16 06-14 16:26
Will Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30? No +35 $35 100¢ $35 +$1 06-23 01:02
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +30 $27 92¢ $27 +$1 06-20 05:11
Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026? No +25 $25 99¢ $25 +$0 06-29 10:53
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? No +20 $19 97¢ $19 +$1 06-30 05:24
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Taiwan" before 2027? No +14 $7 86¢ $12 +$5 06-19 19:37