Realized P&L
+$572
Unrealized P&L
+$214
Hit rate
92.6%
Resolved
8
Trades
3,512
lifetime
Volume
$194.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$55
Open exposure
$2.84K
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-20 17:09
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
62% 100% +$601
Other
38% 60% $-29
Sports
0%
Crypto
0%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
75 active days in 12wk • peak 144 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,103 $980 87¢ $956 $-24 06-30 14:19
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes +911 $434 68¢ $619 +$185 07-20 10:10
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No +600 $567 98¢ $586 +$19 06-24 14:47
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? No +300 $266 95¢ $284 +$17 06-01 08:25
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Brazil" before 2027? No -200 $-180 93¢ $-186 $-6 06-01 20:49
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -100 $-75 74¢ $-74 +$2 07-16 01:05
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +60 $23 55¢ $33 +$10 06-14 16:26
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +30 $27 92¢ $27 +$1 06-20 05:11
Will Trump launch a coin by December 31? No +30 $25 89¢ $27 +$2 07-15 23:14
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027? No +17 $13 78¢ $13 +$1 07-20 17:09
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Taiwan" before 2027? No +14 $7 88¢ $12 +$5 06-19 19:37
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Vietnam" before 2027? No -11 $-10 86¢ $-9 +$0 07-08 00:51
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +10 $4 32¢ $3 $-1 06-06 16:44
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? No +4 $3 79¢ $3 +$1 06-09 04:27
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027? No -3 $-2 88¢ $-2 +$0 06-24 16:37
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Japan" before 2027? No -1 $-1 90¢ $-1 +$0 06-01 19:48