Realized P&L
+$572
Unrealized P&L
+$129
Hit rate
92.6%
Resolved
8
Trades
2,739
lifetime
Volume
$151.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$55
Open exposure
$4.73K
19 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-10 00:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
68% 100% +$601
Other
32% 60% $-29
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
71 active days in 12wk • peak 64 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes +1,612 $1,062 69¢ $1.1K +$51 06-09 20:56
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by June 30, 2026? No +833 $796 98¢ $815 +$19 06-08 09:03
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30? No +539 $509 95¢ $511 +$2 06-08 07:06
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30? No +500 $481 98¢ $492 +$11 06-07 13:32
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? No +365 $324 88¢ $323 $-1 06-10 00:47
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? No +300 $266 95¢ $286 +$20 06-01 08:25
100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30? No +278 $275 99¢ $277 +$2 06-08 11:25
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? No +186 $178 98¢ $182 +$4 05-28 11:23
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Brazil" before 2027? No -200 $-180 88¢ $-175 +$5 06-01 20:49
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +200 $160 82¢ $164 +$4 06-08 08:15
Fetterman leaves the Democrats by June 30? No +162 $158 98¢ $158 $-0 06-09 03:15
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by June 30? No -114 $-111 96¢ $-110 +$1 06-03 07:48
Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by June 30? No +110 $95 90¢ $100 +$4 06-08 04:46
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Taiwan" before 2027? No +13 $7 80¢ $10 +$4 05-31 18:18
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $3 50¢ $5 +$2 06-09 21:33
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +10 $4 38¢ $4 +$0 06-06 16:44
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? No +4 $3 76¢ $3 +$0 06-09 04:27
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? Yes +9 $2 22¢ $2 $-0 06-06 12:44
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Japan" before 2027? No -1 $-1 86¢ $-1 +$0 06-01 19:48