Realized P&L
+$13.6K
Unrealized P&L
+$709
Hit rate
83.1%
Resolved
592
Trades
4,492
lifetime
Volume
$257.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$57
Open exposure
$23.1K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-29 19:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 152 days
Categories
Politics
57% 82% +$10,754
Other
43% 76% +$2,886
Sports
0% 100% +$6
Crypto
0% 100% +$0
Tech
0% 50% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? No +4,453 $4,014 99¢ $4.4K +$406 06-01 08:25
russia x ukraine ceasefire by october 31 2026 No +2,308 $2,063 100¢ $2.3K +$242 10-01 18:12
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +2,322 $2,104 98¢ $2.3K +$175 06-15 20:13
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +1,824 $1,666 96¢ $1.7K +$76 09-25 09:57
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No +2,242 $1,323 72¢ $1.6K +$280 10-29 03:57
Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31? No +1,137 $964 94¢ $1.1K +$99 09-14 01:34
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1,220 $909 82¢ $1.0K +$97 10-24 16:05
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +1,410 $931 68¢ $966 +$34 10-11 14:31
Blue wave in 2026? Yes +1,040 $582 88¢ $910 +$328 10-26 06:55
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +3,100 $382 28¢ $852 +$470 10-02 16:37
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +881 $507 70¢ $621 +$114 10-27 16:39
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +850 $337 72¢ $608 +$271 05-29 09:04
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 No +536 $341 94¢ $507 +$166 09-24 14:24
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +700 $277 72¢ $500 +$223 05-31 01:10
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? No +439 $289 88¢ $386 +$97 09-08 22:44
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +450 $317 80¢ $360 +$44 10-14 04:54
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? No +389 $342 88¢ $342 +$1 10-29 07:12
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +320 $301 95¢ $305 +$5 10-29 17:16
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? No +650 $264 44¢ $289 +$25 09-30 19:32
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +264 $215 96¢ $252 +$37 07-23 15:34
Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31? Yes +245 $103 100¢ $244 +$141 09-25 12:10
will russia capture kupiansk vuzlovyi by december 31 547 Yes +2,229 $1,016 11¢ $234 -$782 09-04 09:38
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes -336 -$272 68¢ $-230 +$42 09-22 01:07
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +227 $185 100¢ $226 +$41 10-09 09:27
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? No +200 $188 96¢ $192 +$4 10-10 09:30
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +240 $136 70¢ $169 +$34 05-19 05:35
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? Yes +3,824 $2,057 4¢ $134 -$1,923 09-29 08:42
Will Trump launch a coin by December 31? No +138 $116 93¢ $129 +$13 09-19 11:27
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +482 $184 24¢ $113 -$70 09-23 13:08
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026? Yes +601 $90 18¢ $111 +$21 10-17 15:12