Realized P&L
-$13
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
8
Trades
4,677
lifetime
Volume
$18.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$34
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-28
last 07-02 04:22
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
46% 0% $-8
Other
35% 0% $-5
Sports
9% 0% $-0
Crypto
5%
Tech
5%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
59 active days in 12wk • peak 37 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -10 $-9 94¢ $-9 $-0 07-01 10:21
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -12 $-8 62¢ $-8 +$1 06-28 02:15
Trump goes to space in 2026? No -3 $-3 98¢ $-3 $-0 06-05 09:44
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No -3 $-3 92¢ $-3 +$0 07-01 10:21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -3 $-2 70¢ $-2 +$0 06-13 14:04
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No -2 $-2 92¢ $-2 $-0 07-01 10:21
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? No -2 $-2 76¢ $-2 $-0 07-01 10:21
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -2 $-1 84¢ $-1 $-0 07-01 10:21
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? No -1 $-1 91¢ $-1 $-0 07-01 10:21
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? Yes -5 $-1 20¢ $-1 $-0 07-02 04:14
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +1 $0 90¢ $1 +$0 06-10 15:55
Fed rate hike in 2026? No -1 $-1 54¢ $-1 +$0 05-28 06:38
Will Texas use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No -13 $-0 $-0 $-0 07-02 04:21