Realized P&L
-$13
Unrealized P&L
-$0
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
8
Trades
4,342
lifetime
Volume
$17.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$87
23 positions
First seen
2026-01-28
last 06-10 00:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
45% 0% $-8
Other
36% 0% $-5
Sports
9% 0% $-0
Crypto
5%
Tech
4%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
60 active days in 12wk • peak 56 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -12 $-7 62¢ $-7 $-0 06-06 12:49
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +10 $4 70¢ $7 +$3 05-29 01:56
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote? No +8 $6 80¢ $7 +$1 06-03 20:56
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +12 $6 55¢ $7 +$1 06-05 04:02
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? Yes +8 $6 82¢ $6 +$0 06-05 18:59
Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +6 $6 97¢ $6 +$0 06-08 12:55
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +6 $5 90¢ $5 +$0 05-28 16:56
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? No +38 $10 13¢ $5 $-5 06-05 13:26
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +6 $4 74¢ $5 +$0 06-04 04:18
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? Yes +7 $6 60¢ $4 $-1 05-29 09:31
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? No +5 $4 80¢ $4 +$0 06-09 12:45
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? No +5 $3 76¢ $4 +$1 06-03 10:06
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +5 $4 72¢ $4 +$0 06-05 04:02
Trump goes to space in 2026? No -3 $-3 96¢ $-3 $-0 06-05 09:44
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? No +3 $3 89¢ $3 +$0 06-08 07:50
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +3 $3 90¢ $3 +$0 05-29 18:34
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? Yes +9 $2 22¢ $2 $-0 06-10 02:13
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June? Yes +2 $1 79¢ $2 +$0 06-08 13:43
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor? Yes +1 $1 90¢ $1 +$0 06-05 16:06
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 05-28 07:26
Metamask FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +1 $1 68¢ $1 $-0 06-01 04:14
Fed rate hike in 2026? No -1 $-1 46¢ $-1 +$0 05-28 06:38
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? Yes +53 $1 $0 $-1 06-06 21:19