Waterlogged-Fraction 0x8bf92b…016a86
bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
388
lifetime
Volume
$2.02K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$89
24 positions
First seen
2026-01-08
last 06-09 05:01
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Crypto
35% — —
Politics
33% — —
Sports
16% — —
Other
14% — —
Tech
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
20 active days in 12wk • peak 45 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote? No +10 $7 78¢ $8 +$1 06-03 19:05
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +12 $6 55¢ $6 +$1 06-05 00:51
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +8 $6 78¢ $6 +$0 06-01 02:55
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +7 $6 90¢ $6 +$0 06-03 05:35
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30? No -7 $-4 90¢ $-6 $-2 06-04 18:44
Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +6 $6 97¢ $6 $-0 06-08 18:01
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes -10 $-6 54¢ $-5 +$1 06-07 22:50
Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026? No +9 $6 55¢ $5 $-1 06-03 06:05
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor? Yes +6 $5 90¢ $5 +$0 06-08 02:59
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No -5 $-4 90¢ $-4 $-0 05-30 12:09
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? Yes +5 $4 82¢ $4 +$0 06-05 14:21
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30? Yes +12 $5 32¢ $4 $-1 06-02 07:48
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -5 $-4 72¢ $-4 +$0 06-05 07:32
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? No +5 $3 66¢ $3 +$0 06-01 06:27
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? No +3 $3 89¢ $3 +$0 06-08 07:50
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay No +3 $2 82¢ $2 +$0 06-08 05:53
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? No +5 $2 44¢ $2 +$0 06-09 00:04
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? No +5 $2 42¢ $2 $-0 06-07 16:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +2 $1 70¢ $2 +$1 05-30 12:22
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? No +19 $2 6¢ $1 $-1 06-02 20:34
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 +$0 05-30 12:21
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 +$0 06-05 01:29
Metamask FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +1 $1 68¢ $1 $-0 06-01 04:12
Will the Save Romania Union (USR) be included in the next Romanian government? Yes +5 $1 17¢ $1 $-0 06-05 12:16