Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$143
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
242
lifetime
Volume
$63.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$260
Open exposure
$60.2K
11 positions
First seen
2026-07-11
last 07-15 12:25
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
93%
Politics
7%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
5 active days in 12wk • peak 148 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +10,446 $9,819 94¢ $9.8K $-52 07-14 12:39
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +10,000 $9,630 96¢ $9.6K $-5 07-15 11:53
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No +10,000 $9,655 96¢ $9.6K $-30 07-13 16:04
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +10,000 $9,500 95¢ $9.5K +$15 07-11 17:29
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No +6,535 $6,140 93¢ $6.1K $-49 07-15 14:51
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? No +5,446 $4,956 92¢ $5.0K +$27 07-15 11:42
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +5,000 $4,650 92¢ $4.6K $-25 07-12 12:59
Trump out as President before 2027? No +5,000 $4,650 92¢ $4.6K $-25 07-12 11:20
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027? No +516 $493 96¢ $493 $-0 07-15 14:30
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027? No +500 $476 95¢ $474 $-2 07-14 16:46
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.25% or lower before 2027? No +367 $350 96¢ $353 +$3 07-14 17:14