Realized P&L
+$12
Unrealized P&L
+$0
Hit rate
61.4%
Resolved
10
Trades
415
lifetime
Volume
$54.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$132
Open exposure
$64
21 positions
First seen
2026-01-12
last 06-09 00:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Sports
66% 60% +$12
Other
34%
Politics
1%
Tech
0%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
28 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? No +9 $6 74¢ $6 +$1 06-04 22:52
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -8 $-6 72¢ $-6 +$0 06-05 09:10
Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +6 $6 97¢ $6 +$0 06-07 20:07
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? Yes +9 $7 60¢ $6 $-1 06-05 21:19
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No -8 $-9 76¢ $-6 +$3 06-08 12:35
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No -5 $-4 90¢ $-5 $-0 05-30 12:09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -5 $-4 90¢ $-5 $-1 06-02 16:04
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? No +5 $4 80¢ $4 +$0 06-06 13:39
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +5 $3 72¢ $4 +$0 06-04 20:31
Trump goes to space in 2026? No -3 $-3 96¢ $-3 $-0 06-05 09:50
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? No +3 $3 89¢ $3 +$0 06-08 07:50
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? No +15 $6 13¢ $2 $-4 06-02 14:43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -20 $-5 10¢ $-2 +$3 06-02 05:13
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? No -1 $-1 94¢ $-1 $-0 06-02 08:56
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes -19 $-1 $-1 +$0 05-30 12:09
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 +$0 06-05 01:26
Metamask FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +1 $1 68¢ $1 $-0 06-01 04:12
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? No +1 $1 71¢ $1 $-0 06-04 23:04
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +1 $1 78¢ $1 $-0 06-03 22:37
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? Yes +40 $1 $1 $-0 05-31 12:05
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? Yes +53 $1 $0 $-1 06-06 21:24