Realized P&L
+$12
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
61.4%
Resolved
10
Trades
683
lifetime
Volume
$55.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$81
Open exposure
$60
18 positions
First seen
2026-01-12
last 06-30 09:17
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Sports
65% 60% +$12
Other
34%
Politics
1%
Tech
0%
Crypto
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
47 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? No -20 $-8 43¢ $-9 $-1 06-30 09:16
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? No -8 $-7 100¢ $-8 $-1 06-11 20:22
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No -8 $-9 100¢ $-8 +$1 06-08 12:35
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -8 $-6 84¢ $-7 $-1 06-05 09:10
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No -5 $-4 100¢ $-5 $-1 05-30 12:09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -5 $-4 100¢ $-5 $-1 06-02 16:04
Will the National Liberal Party (PNL) be included in the next Romanian government? Yes +10 $5 38¢ $4 $-1 06-27 00:12
Trump goes to space in 2026? No -3 $-3 97¢ $-3 $-0 06-05 09:50
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? Yes +10 $4 32¢ $3 $-0 06-13 06:06
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes +9 $2 34¢ $3 +$1 06-20 07:33
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? No -1 $-1 89¢ $-1 $-0 06-02 08:56
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? No -4 $-0 27¢ $-1 $-1 06-30 09:16
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -1 $-1 92¢ $-1 $-0 06-16 11:18
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.25% or lower before 2027? No +1 $1 95¢ $1 $-0 06-26 08:28
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes -19 $-1 $-1 +$0 05-30 12:09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -20 $-3 $-0 +$3 06-27 04:51
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? Yes +40 $1 $0 $-1 05-31 12:05
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? Yes +53 $1 $0 $-1 06-06 21:24