Realized P&L
-$44
Unrealized P&L
-$8
Hit rate
54.7%
Resolved
23
Trades
4,669
lifetime
Volume
$80.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$17
Open exposure
$538
23 positions
First seen
2026-01-12
last 07-07 11:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 12 days
Categories
Other
43% 46% $-28
Politics
23% 33% $-37
Crypto
23% 100% +$20
Sports
11%
Pop-Culture
1%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
53 active days in 12wk • peak 77 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026? No -40 $-36 93¢ $-37 $-2 05-27 22:50
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? No -40 $-37 92¢ $-37 $-0 07-07 11:38
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.25% or lower before 2027? No -36 $-34 98¢ $-35 $-1 07-07 11:34
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026 No -39 $-32 90¢ $-35 $-3 07-07 11:33
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.0% or lower before 2027? No -36 $-34 97¢ $-35 $-1 07-07 11:34
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? No -37 $-36 94¢ $-35 +$1 07-07 11:33
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? No -36 $-34 96¢ $-35 $-1 07-07 11:34
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026? No -36 $-34 96¢ $-35 $-1 07-07 11:34
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027? No -36 $-34 96¢ $-34 $-0 07-07 11:34
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31? No -37 $-29 92¢ $-34 $-5 06-18 00:54
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? No -35 $-33 95¢ $-33 +$0 07-07 11:34
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes -37 $-35 90¢ $-33 +$2 07-07 11:34
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No -37 $-33 86¢ $-32 +$1 07-07 11:33
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? No -34 $-26 78¢ $-27 $-1 07-07 11:35
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +34 $13 46¢ $16 +$3 06-19 07:19
Fed rate hike in 2026? No -37 $-19 40¢ $-15 +$4 07-07 11:34
Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026? No -10 $-10 98¢ $-10 $-0 07-07 11:38
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? No -36 $-4 26¢ $-9 $-5 07-07 11:34
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes -37 $-5 12¢ $-5 +$1 07-07 11:33
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes -6 $-4 54¢ $-3 +$1 07-07 11:38
Bank of England rate hike in 2026? Yes -5 $-1 29¢ $-1 $-1 07-07 11:36
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? Yes -10 $-1 12¢ $-1 $-0 07-07 11:39
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -1 $-1 92¢ $-1 $-0 07-07 11:36