Rewarding-Alto — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$44

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.7%

Resolved

Trades

4,669

lifetime

Volume

$80.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-12

last 07-07 11:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Other

43% 46% $-28

Politics

23% 33% $-37

Crypto

23% 100% +$20

Sports

11% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 77 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
xrp up or down january 18 5pm et	100	$1.8K	1,960	1,875	+85	open	—	01-18 23:02
bitcoin up or down january 18 2pm et	50	$1.1K	1,129	1,129	+0	open	—	01-18 19:55
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	4	$992	505	505	-0	open	—	03-01 03:04
solana up or down january 18 5pm et	50	$967	1,028	943	+85	open	—	01-18 23:02
ethereum up or down january 18 5pm et	45	$882	826	826	+0	open	—	01-18 22:53
bitcoin up or down january 18 5pm et	40	$761	758	673	+85	open	—	01-18 23:02
bitcoin up or down january 18 11am et	81	$700	691	667	+24	open	—	01-18 16:59
xrp up or down january 18 6pm et	40	$548	401	401	+0	open	—	01-19 00:20
solana up or down january 18 6pm et	47	$535	479	479	+0	open	—	01-19 00:20
bitcoin up or down january 18 1pm et	20	$509	492	492	+0	open	—	01-18 18:47
will trump talk to emmanuel macron in january	8	$430	281	201	+80	open	—	01-29 13:26
ethereum up or down january 20 5pm et	7	$427	222	222	+0	open	—	01-20 22:44
bitcoin up or down january 18 3pm et	11	$355	277	340	-63	open	—	01-18 20:56
xrp up or down january 18 4pm et	10	$343	294	294	+0	open	—	01-18 21:54
bitcoin up or down january 18 4pm et	10	$338	289	289	+0	open	—	01-18 21:56
ethereum up or down january 18 6pm et	28	$338	313	313	+0	open	—	01-18 23:27
solana up or down january 18 4pm et	11	$331	342	342	+0	open	—	01-18 21:55
bitcoin up or down january 18 6pm et	28	$307	323	323	+0	open	—	01-18 23:35
ethereum up or down january 18 4pm et	8	$303	236	236	+0	open	—	01-18 21:54
btc updown 15m 1768748400	15	$292	259	255	+3	open	—	01-18 15:09
ethereum up or down january 19 12am et	32	$275	194	194	+0	open	—	01-19 05:42
will khamenei leave iran by march 31 224 161 138 998	6	$246	171	131	+40	open	—	02-23 19:40
btc updown 15m 1768747500	4	$234	121	121	+0	open	—	01-18 14:59
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	8	$229	280	80	+200	open	—	02-01 19:41
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	15	$190	370	0	+370	open	—	02-26 16:12
xrp up or down january 20 5pm et	6	$187	142	142	+0	open	—	01-20 22:37
will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	8	$181	170	120	+50	open	—	02-03 00:07
us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	9	$166	180	80	+100	open	—	02-03 20:23
bitcoin up or down january 18 12pm et	26	$158	158	158	+0	open	—	01-18 17:41
will russia capture all of pokrovsk by february 28	5	$152	160	50	+110	open	—	02-25 19:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-07 11:40:01	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0xa7c865…
07-07 11:39:31	lecornu out as french pm by july 31 2026 20260626155340321	Yes	SELL	23	0¢	$0	0x43548b…
07-07 11:39:11	Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0xa8e6f0…
07-07 11:38:40	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	62¢	$4	0x27be2f…
07-07 11:38:34	Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?	Yes	SELL	34	23¢	$8	0xc6a97f…
07-07 11:38:23	Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0xe2d20c…
07-07 11:38:20	Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	40	92¢	$37	0x33237f…
07-07 11:36:56	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x12da31…
07-07 11:36:50	russia x ukraine ceasefire by october 31 2026	No	SELL	2	86¢	$2	0x422e12…
07-07 11:36:49	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	SELL	3	59¢	$2	0x122044…
07-07 11:36:46	Bank of England rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0x2421e7…
07-07 11:36:44	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Taiwan" before 2027?	No	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0xf2814f…
07-07 11:36:41	us agrees to give ukraine security guarantee by december 31	Yes	SELL	6	13¢	$1	0x8621e2…
07-07 11:36:40	will russia capture kupiansk by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	7	11¢	$1	0xd118db…
07-07 11:36:37	russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026	No	SELL	8	79¢	$6	0xd810b3…
07-07 11:36:35	will the next uk election be called by december 31 2026	No	SELL	8	83¢	$7	0x0caa89…
07-07 11:36:34	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	8	69¢	$6	0xc239ad…
07-07 11:36:29	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	SELL	9	2¢	$0	0x637249…
07-07 11:36:28	will neuralinks valuation hit high 55 by july 31 20260629184735355	Yes	SELL	10	16¢	$2	0xafe3dd…
07-07 11:36:25	will steve witkoff attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204726	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x30f309…
07-07 11:36:19	will russia enter stinky by july 31	Yes	SELL	11	17¢	$2	0x11f412…
07-07 11:36:16	will russia capture all of bilytske by december 31	Yes	SELL	15	26¢	$4	0x74ceff…
07-07 11:36:13	Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	38¢	$7	0x4d8586…
07-07 11:36:10	ukraine agrees not to join nato by august 31 20260619004335094	No	SELL	18	95¢	$17	0xbe8ee5…
07-07 11:36:08	will ukraine re enter uspenivka by december 31	Yes	SELL	23	26¢	$6	0xe8d960…
07-07 11:36:04	U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?	Yes	SELL	25	93¢	$23	0xc223ad…
07-07 11:36:02	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	No	SELL	25	31¢	$8	0xb26c0c…
07-07 11:36:01	will lambdas valuation hit high 12pt5b by december 31	No	SELL	27	67¢	$18	0xc38c0a…
07-07 11:35:58	trump meets with putin by december 31	No	SELL	30	70¢	$21	0x58c1fe…
07-07 11:35:56	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?	No	SELL	34	77¢	$26	0x99b610…
07-07 11:35:55	will russia enter ternuvate again by july 31	Yes	SELL	34	10¢	$3	0x1a23ef…
07-07 11:35:47	Will Russia invade another country in 2026?	No	SELL	34	90¢	$31	0x8eb54a…
07-07 11:35:46	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	34	33¢	$11	0x44e0a3…
07-07 11:35:44	NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?	No	SELL	34	83¢	$28	0xfbb13f…
07-07 11:35:37	will russia capture borova by december 31 2026	No	SELL	34	82¢	$28	0x29dde0…
07-07 11:35:32	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	SELL	34	56¢	$19	0x2e8a10…
07-07 11:35:29	will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by july 31 2026	No	SELL	34	97¢	$33	0x2589d2…
07-07 11:35:28	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	SELL	35	71¢	$25	0xfd1eb0…
07-07 11:35:26	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	35	33¢	$12	0x330a7f…
07-07 11:35:22	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	SELL	35	92¢	$32	0x6c0354…
07-07 11:35:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0x6faa7a…
07-07 11:35:14	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	SELL	35	89¢	$31	0x860d78…
07-07 11:35:08	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	SELL	35	92¢	$32	0x573b44…
07-07 11:35:07	Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	35	65¢	$23	0x5c9075…
07-07 11:35:04	will russia capture all of chasiv yar by december 31	Yes	SELL	35	59¢	$21	0xec06f2…
07-07 11:35:02	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	No	SELL	35	91¢	$32	0xd01a41…
07-07 11:34:59	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	SELL	35	75¢	$26	0xc36c78…
07-07 11:34:58	Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	35	96¢	$33	0xe963ee…
07-07 11:34:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	35	7¢	$2	0x1c64d3…
07-07 11:34:52	will russia enter orikhiv by september 30	Yes	SELL	35	19¢	$7	0x07492b…
07-07 11:34:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	36	1¢	$0	0x270275…
07-07 11:34:40	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.0% or lower before 2027?	No	SELL	36	94¢	$34	0xa1802c…
07-07 11:34:38	will databricks valuation hit high 180b by december 31	Yes	SELL	36	36¢	$13	0x597ea4…
07-07 11:34:34	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	Yes	SELL	36	2¢	$1	0xa5c2bd…
07-07 11:34:32	Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	36	94¢	$34	0xd0300d…
07-07 11:34:31	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	No	SELL	36	12¢	$4	0x28b4bb…
07-07 11:34:28	will russia enter moskovka by july 31	Yes	SELL	36	9¢	$3	0x665fa3…
07-07 11:34:26	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586	Yes	SELL	36	6¢	$2	0xa95fb9…
07-07 11:34:23	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30 944	No	SELL	36	74¢	$27	0x146e78…
07-07 11:34:22	will trump meet with benjamin netanyahu in july 2026 20260626153701914	Yes	SELL	36	78¢	$28	0xc37fa6…
07-07 11:34:20	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.25% or lower before 2027?	No	SELL	36	94¢	$34	0x635873…
07-07 11:34:14	Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?	No	SELL	36	94¢	$34	0x4ee6d4…
07-07 11:34:10	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027?	No	SELL	36	95¢	$34	0x7ef5db…
07-07 11:34:08	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf sign a us x iran deal by july 31	Yes	SELL	36	13¢	$5	0xece558…
07-07 11:34:05	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	37	52¢	$19	0xba11ae…
07-07 11:34:04	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	37	94¢	$35	0x98ee9c…
07-07 11:34:01	will andurils valuation hit low 85 by july 31 20260629184730576	Yes	SELL	37	10¢	$4	0xbeb6d8…
07-07 11:33:58	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	Yes	SELL	37	35¢	$13	0x399240…
07-07 11:33:56	will krakens valuation hit low 9 by july 31 20260629184742677	Yes	SELL	37	16¢	$6	0x58b779…
07-07 11:33:50	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	37	52¢	$19	0x13e8ef…
07-07 11:33:47	will russia capture kupiansk vuzlovyi by december 31 547	No	SELL	37	47¢	$17	0x7de02e…
07-07 11:33:44	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	SELL	37	14¢	$5	0x459cd5…
07-07 11:33:43	Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?	No	SELL	37	97¢	$36	0x27b896…
07-07 11:33:40	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	37	45¢	$17	0xf38368…
07-07 11:33:38	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	No	SELL	37	90¢	$33	0x2662df…
07-07 11:33:35	Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026	No	SELL	39	83¢	$32	0x2fc225…
07-07 11:33:34	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0x55d8e4…
07-04 08:14:04	lol blg t1 2026 07 04 game3	T1	BUY	33	44¢	$15	0xb9c973…
07-04 08:11:19	will trump speak to vladimir putin in july 20260626154217428	No	BUY	33	44¢	$15	0xb66532…
07-04 07:32:01	lol blg t1 2026 07 04 game2	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	33	48¢	$16	0x66f9dc…
07-04 06:49:55	lol blg t1 2026 07 04 game1	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	33	82¢	$27	0x018cf7…
07-04 06:20:44	lol blg t1 2026 07 04 game1	T1	BUY	33	54¢	$18	0x7ed2db…
07-04 04:27:44	lol ly fur 2026 07 03 game2	FURIA Esports	BUY	34	44¢	$15	0x3e17b6…
07-04 01:51:25	cs2 presti vsters 2026 07 04	Prestige Academy	BUY	34	38¢	$13	0xf78452…
07-04 00:20:40	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	BUY	34	83¢	$28	0x8aedd0…
07-04 00:17:49	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	34	40¢	$14	0x0e3d54…
07-03 23:11:43	cs2 alkaa bk 2026 07 03 total games 2pt5	Under	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0x7c8613…
07-03 23:11:31	cs2 alkaa bk 2026 07 03 total games 2pt5	Under	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0xef3708…
07-03 22:10:44	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 corners team home 5pt5	Under	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x70bce6…
07-03 20:38:04	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	No	BUY	25	27¢	$7	0x36ff75…
07-03 20:30:19	crict20blast not lan 2026 07 03	Lancashire	BUY	34	39¢	$13	0x506888…
07-03 20:21:13	cs2 reda alkaa 2026 07 03	ALKA	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0xe203f2…
07-03 20:15:43	cs2 reda alkaa 2026 07 03 game2	ALKA	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x2740ca…
07-03 20:15:41	cs2 reda alkaa 2026 07 03 game2	ALKA	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x2b2807…
07-03 20:15:40	cs2 reda alkaa 2026 07 03 game2	ALKA	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x0f5246…
07-03 20:15:40	cs2 reda alkaa 2026 07 03 game2	ALKA	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x00099b…
07-03 20:15:38	cs2 reda alkaa 2026 07 03 game2	ALKA	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x2ed541…
07-03 20:15:38	cs2 reda alkaa 2026 07 03 game2	ALKA	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x069f42…
07-03 20:15:37	cs2 reda alkaa 2026 07 03 game2	ALKA	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x8f63e6…
07-03 19:37:13	will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by july 31 2026	No	BUY	34	96¢	$33	0xf12559…