Realized P&L
-$44
Unrealized P&L
-$16
Hit rate
54.7%
Resolved
23
Trades
4,373
lifetime
Volume
$76.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$17
Open exposure
$386
21 positions
First seen
2026-01-12
last 06-09 23:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 12 days
Categories
Other
42% 46% $-28
Crypto
24% 100% +$20
Politics
23% 33% $-37
Sports
11%
Pop-Culture
1%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
69 active days in 12wk • peak 69 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026? No -40 $-36 96¢ $-39 $-3 05-27 22:50
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30? No -37 $-36 100¢ $-37 $-1 05-27 22:50
Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by June 30? No -37 $-36 99¢ $-37 $-0 05-27 22:50
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +34 $15 100¢ $34 +$19 06-07 18:32
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting? No +34 $33 99¢ $34 +$0 05-28 12:57
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +34 $33 98¢ $33 +$1 06-08 01:22
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026? No +34 $31 90¢ $31 +$0 06-02 12:53
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +34 $30 90¢ $30 +$1 05-30 22:42
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No +35 $23 76¢ $27 +$3 06-08 21:07
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? No +34 $27 75¢ $26 $-1 06-05 20:01
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +35 $13 38¢ $13 +$0 06-06 16:45
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? Yes +34 $15 38¢ $13 $-2 06-01 08:08
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? Yes +34 $16 34¢ $11 $-4 05-30 17:43
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No +34 $14 20¢ $7 $-7 06-02 13:05
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes +34 $16 20¢ $7 $-9 05-28 18:44
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30? Yes +34 $9 10¢ $3 $-6 06-03 16:49
Will Donald Trump visit Turkey in 2026? No +34 $3 $2 $-1 06-03 20:12
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +25 $3 $1 $-2 05-30 05:39
Will OPEC crude oil production be above 19 million barrels per day in May? Yes +35 $4 $1 $-3 06-05 15:22
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? Yes +3 $1 24¢ $1 +$0 06-06 12:45
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? Yes +5 $2 $0 $-2 06-05 07:05