Realized P&L
-$33
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
48.9%
Resolved
153
Trades
964
lifetime
Volume
$4.87K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$59
22 positions
First seen
2026-01-08
last 06-10 02:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 15 days
Categories
Sports
50% 40% $-23
Other
30% 48% $-10
Politics
12%
Crypto
8%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
40 active days in 12wk • peak 77 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No -8 $-6 76¢ $-6 $-1 06-08 14:03
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -8 $-6 72¢ $-6 +$0 06-05 14:29
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +10 $5 55¢ $5 +$0 06-04 23:30
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor? Yes +6 $5 90¢ $5 +$0 06-05 16:15
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? Yes +8 $6 60¢ $5 $-1 06-02 00:37
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30? Yes +13 $5 32¢ $4 $-1 06-03 14:02
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June? Yes +5 $3 79¢ $4 +$1 05-31 16:32
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +5 $3 72¢ $4 +$0 06-04 21:55
Trump goes to space in 2026? No -3 $-3 96¢ $-3 $-0 06-05 15:03
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -5 $-3 62¢ $-3 +$0 06-06 14:27
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? No +4 $3 66¢ $3 +$0 06-07 18:08
Fed rate hike in 2026? No -5 $-3 46¢ $-2 +$1 05-28 07:11
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? No +19 $2 $1 $-1 06-02 21:55
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +10 $1 12¢ $1 +$0 05-29 22:08
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No +1 $1 80¢ $1 +$0 06-06 17:04
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 +$0 05-29 11:14
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 +$0 06-05 01:31
Iran leadership change by June 30? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 06-03 12:07
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +2 $1 62¢ $1 $-0 06-03 21:49
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? Yes +36 $1 $1 $-0 05-31 12:52
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? Yes +53 $1 $0 $-1 06-06 21:25
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? No +0 $-0 54¢ $0 +$0 05-29 19:03