Realized P&L
-$33
Unrealized P&L
-$3
Hit rate
48.9%
Resolved
153
Trades
1,198
lifetime
Volume
$5.32K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$37
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-08
last 07-01 03:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 15 days
Categories
Sports
46% 40% $-23
Other
30% 48% $-10
Politics
15%
Crypto
7%
Tech
2%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
59 active days in 12wk • peak 77 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No -8 $-6 100¢ $-8 $-3 06-08 14:03
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -8 $-6 84¢ $-7 $-1 06-05 14:29
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No -7 $-6 84¢ $-6 $-0 07-01 03:27
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes -10 $-4 34¢ $-3 +$1 07-01 03:27
Trump goes to space in 2026? No -3 $-3 98¢ $-3 $-0 06-05 15:03
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -5 $-3 58¢ $-3 +$0 06-06 14:27
Fed rate hike in 2026? No -5 $-2 46¢ $-2 $-0 06-27 01:40
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? No -2 $-1 76¢ $-1 $-0 07-01 03:27
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -1 $-1 89¢ $-1 +$0 06-10 16:27
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.25% or lower before 2027? No +1 $1 95¢ $1 $-0 06-26 09:35
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? No +1 $1 53¢ $1 $-0 07-01 03:27
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? No +0 $-0 80¢ $0 +$0 05-29 19:03