Realized P&L
+$12
Unrealized P&L
+$3
Hit rate
54.0%
Resolved
7
Trades
704
lifetime
Volume
$43.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$62
Open exposure
$53
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-12
last 06-30 09:15
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Sports
66% 57% +$12
Other
30%
Politics
2%
Crypto
1%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
46 active days in 12wk • peak 44 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? No -10 $-8 100¢ $-10 $-1 06-11 20:48
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No -7 $-6 100¢ $-7 $-1 05-30 12:09
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? No -8 $-6 78¢ $-6 $-0 06-16 10:36
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes -10 $-6 55¢ $-5 +$1 06-07 22:54
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes +15 $4 34¢ $5 +$1 06-20 07:33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +5 $4 99¢ $5 +$1 06-02 12:14
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? Yes +5 $4 90¢ $5 +$1 06-05 14:26
U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31? Yes +5 $4 85¢ $4 +$1 06-17 14:46
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? Yes +10 $4 32¢ $3 $-0 06-13 04:35
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -1 $-1 92¢ $-1 $-0 06-16 11:18
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.25% or lower before 2027? No +1 $1 95¢ $1 $-0 06-26 08:27
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes -19 $-1 $-1 +$0 05-30 12:09
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? Yes +40 $1 $0 $-1 05-31 12:03
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes -14 $-1 $-0 +$1 06-10 01:54
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +0 $-2 60¢ $0 +$2 06-29 01:20