Realized P&L
-$12
Unrealized P&L
-$8
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
836
lifetime
Volume
$2.58K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$90
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-20
last 07-01 15:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
59% 0% $-11
Other
26% 0% $-1
Sports
9%
Tech
6%
Crypto
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
39 active days in 12wk • peak 52 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -17 $-14 86¢ $-15 $-1 06-13 14:04
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -16 $-14 90¢ $-14 $-0 07-01 15:18
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes -16 $-11 84¢ $-13 $-2 06-07 19:51
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No -16 $-13 84¢ $-13 $-1 07-01 15:18
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -12 $-11 94¢ $-11 $-0 07-01 15:18
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No -10 $-9 92¢ $-9 $-0 07-01 15:18
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -6 $-5 94¢ $-6 $-0 06-14 06:34
Trump out as President before 2027? No -6 $-5 92¢ $-5 $-0 07-01 15:18
Fed rate hike in 2026? No -4 $-1 46¢ $-2 $-1 06-26 16:21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +43 $4 $0 $-4 06-25 17:54