Likely-Mobster — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$91

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

143

lifetime

Volume

$72.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$503

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-08

last 06-25 12:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 100% +$91

Other

0% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No		-7	$-7	96¢	$-7	$-0	06-03 04:53
Fed abolished before 2027?	No		-2	$-2	98¢	$-2	$-0	06-25 12:52

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 62k on march 22	11	$13.0K	6,528	6,523	+5	open	—	03-21 03:20
bitcoin above 64k on march 21	11	$9.0K	4,540	4,538	+2	open	—	03-20 09:10
bitcoin above 64k on march 23	15	$7.9K	4,003	4,003	+0	open	—	03-21 02:48
bitcoin above 64k on march 22	8	$7.5K	3,780	3,775	+5	open	—	03-21 04:19
bitcoin above 64k on march 24	4	$7.5K	3,835	3,830	+5	open	—	03-21 05:51
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10?	22	$6.4K	3,186	3,186	+0	Yes	+$6	05-10 12:25
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 10?	14	$6.2K	3,144	3,144	+0	Yes	+$28	05-10 14:57
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 9?	17	$6.1K	2,590	3,509	-919	No	+$12	05-09 12:25
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 13?	2	$5.0K	2,500	2,500	+0	No	+$15	05-13 10:48
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 13?	8	$3.2K	3,252	0	+3,252	Yes	+$30	05-13 14:01
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	3	$13	11	3	+8	open	—	04-22 17:31
bitcoin above 62k on april 6	2	$12	6	6	+0	open	—	04-05 12:10
will there be at least 1400 measles cases in the us by march 31 2026	2	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	03-05 22:19
will elon musks net worth be at least 700b on february 28	2	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	02-28 08:11
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	1	$7	0	7	-7	open	—	06-03 04:53
ethereum above 1800 on march 29	1	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	03-26 17:28
will trump deport 250000 500000 people	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	02-19 12:15
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	04-17 13:14
will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on march 12	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	03-12 13:15
will sinners win best picture at the 98th academy awards	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	03-02 14:34
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-06 12:56
will bitcoin dip to 63k on april 2	1	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	04-02 14:00
will ethereum dip to 1900 on march 29	1	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	03-29 17:14
will the us next strike iran on february 27 2026 et	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	02-27 17:33
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 15	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	02-15 17:55
will ethereum reach 2300 march 9 15	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	03-15 23:52
will the total number of tsa passengers for february 2 8 be greater than 14000000	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	02-09 02:54
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	03-07 19:41
us confirms havana syndromecausing device by march 31	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	03-19 12:02
bitcoin above 74k on march 26	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	03-26 02:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-25 12:52:40	Fed abolished before 2027?	No	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x17d68e…
06-03 04:53:29	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	7	94¢	$7	0xf5860b…
05-13 14:01:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	296	99¢	$292	0x950a07…
05-13 14:00:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	296	99¢	$292	0x271b77…
05-13 13:41:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	149	99¢	$147	0x2c9eba…
05-13 13:41:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	851	99¢	$844	0xc9881b…
05-13 13:08:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	660	99¢	$656	0x6a8ef3…
05-13 13:07:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	844	99¢	$837	0xf3604c…
05-13 13:07:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xbd69c9…
05-13 13:07:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	106	99¢	$105	0xb53f7b…
05-13 10:48:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 13?	No	SELL	2,500	100¢	$2,495	0xca9b43…
05-13 07:38:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	2,500	99¢	$2,480	0xc7007b…
05-10 14:57:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 10?	Yes	SELL	957	100¢	$954	0xb31b96…
05-10 14:57:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 10?	Yes	SELL	1,073	100¢	$1,070	0xd09d5b…
05-10 14:56:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 10?	Yes	SELL	1,044	100¢	$1,041	0x758931…
05-10 14:55:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 10?	Yes	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0xc7c91e…
05-10 13:14:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	644	99¢	$636	0xbca3a8…
05-10 12:36:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	363	99¢	$359	0x41112f…
05-10 12:36:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	43	99¢	$43	0x73c032…
05-10 12:35:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	111	99¢	$110	0x76b597…
05-10 12:31:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x102dde…
05-10 12:31:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x80ae33…
05-10 12:31:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	102	99¢	$101	0x7553a4…
05-10 12:31:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	359	99¢	$354	0x2196a8…
05-10 12:30:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	739	99¢	$730	0xea298f…
05-10 12:30:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	761	99¢	$752	0xaa559b…
05-10 12:25:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10?	Yes	SELL	81	100¢	$81	0xec6d4b…
05-10 12:25:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10?	Yes	SELL	308	100¢	$307	0x7d41cc…
05-10 12:25:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10?	Yes	SELL	227	100¢	$227	0x8b58eb…
05-10 12:25:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10?	Yes	SELL	197	100¢	$197	0x5b7d26…
05-10 12:25:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10?	Yes	SELL	123	100¢	$123	0x05ab2e…
05-10 12:25:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10?	Yes	SELL	334	100¢	$334	0xcd9226…
05-10 12:24:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10?	Yes	SELL	334	100¢	$334	0x5bee8d…
05-10 12:24:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10?	Yes	SELL	178	100¢	$178	0xd0f43a…
05-10 12:24:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xb0a3cf…
05-10 12:22:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10?	Yes	SELL	207	100¢	$206	0x24b82d…
05-10 12:22:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10?	Yes	SELL	127	100¢	$127	0xf53186…
05-10 12:22:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10?	Yes	SELL	118	100¢	$118	0xfa3db2…
05-10 12:22:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10?	Yes	SELL	230	100¢	$229	0xf3a045…
05-10 12:22:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10?	Yes	SELL	273	100¢	$273	0xf56f28…
05-10 12:22:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10?	Yes	SELL	143	100¢	$143	0xa790f2…
05-10 12:21:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10?	Yes	SELL	75	100¢	$75	0xdf994c…
05-10 12:21:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10?	Yes	SELL	110	100¢	$110	0xaf66cf…
05-10 12:21:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10?	Yes	SELL	117	100¢	$117	0x517708…
05-10 05:58:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	461	100¢	$459	0xdc0fdd…
05-10 05:56:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	538	100¢	$536	0x615359…
05-10 05:56:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	788	100¢	$785	0x49102f…
05-10 03:49:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	1,400	100¢	$1,396	0x106154…
05-09 12:25:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 9?	No	SELL	325	100¢	$324	0xae7d5c…
05-09 12:13:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	325	100¢	$324	0x1e87e4…
05-09 12:12:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 9?	No	SELL	401	100¢	$400	0xdca4a6…
05-09 12:12:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 9?	No	SELL	322	100¢	$322	0x5b0964…
05-09 12:12:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 9?	No	SELL	308	100¢	$308	0x152bfe…
05-09 12:12:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 9?	No	SELL	368	100¢	$367	0xa2ac0f…
05-09 12:12:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 9?	No	SELL	338	100¢	$338	0x7bdf1b…
05-09 12:07:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 9?	No	SELL	385	100¢	$384	0x32aab7…
05-09 12:05:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 9?	No	SELL	150	100¢	$150	0xe88e9d…
05-09 12:03:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 9?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xdd18f7…
05-09 11:57:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 9?	No	SELL	890	100¢	$886	0x968ba2…
05-09 11:28:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	890	99¢	$885	0xe841b3…
05-09 11:00:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	556	99¢	$551	0x316126…
05-09 10:32:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	81	99¢	$80	0xcaff35…
05-09 10:25:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	31	99¢	$31	0x0fffa3…
05-09 09:20:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	500	99¢	$494	0x59a8af…
05-09 08:37:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	206	99¢	$204	0xddd470…
04-22 17:31:28	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xea1447…
04-17 13:14:30	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x4e7cb0…
04-06 12:56:29	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xec27f7…
04-05 12:10:17	bitcoin above 62k on april 6	Yes	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xeb28e5…
04-02 14:00:07	will bitcoin dip to 63k on april 2	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xff6251…
04-01 04:07:05	bitcoin above 62k on april 6	Yes	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0xac7feb…
03-29 17:14:04	will ethereum dip to 1900 on march 29	No	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x404830…
03-27 13:12:55	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xfa3b8c…
03-26 17:28:25	ethereum above 1800 on march 29	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x365be6…
03-26 02:06:39	bitcoin above 74k on march 26	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x0f3b82…
03-21 05:51:51	bitcoin above 64k on march 24	Yes	SELL	849	98¢	$833	0xe42caa…
03-21 05:35:23	bitcoin above 64k on march 24	Yes	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0x91dfa5…
03-21 04:53:37	bitcoin above 64k on march 24	Yes	SELL	2,881	98¢	$2,826	0xb3f3d6…
03-21 04:49:35	bitcoin above 64k on march 24	Yes	BUY	3,835	98¢	$3,762	0xc6af44…
03-21 04:19:21	bitcoin above 64k on march 22	Yes	SELL	75	100¢	$75	0x05021a…
03-21 04:19:19	bitcoin above 64k on march 22	Yes	SELL	106	100¢	$106	0xc04fc0…
03-21 04:15:55	bitcoin above 64k on march 22	Yes	SELL	3,174	100¢	$3,168	0xd3e234…
03-21 04:11:37	bitcoin above 64k on march 22	Yes	SELL	103	100¢	$103	0x1b0e5f…
03-21 04:02:51	bitcoin above 64k on march 22	Yes	SELL	101	100¢	$101	0x750fa8…
03-21 03:53:31	bitcoin above 64k on march 22	Yes	SELL	110	100¢	$109	0xe7d3db…
03-21 03:53:27	bitcoin above 64k on march 22	Yes	SELL	107	100¢	$106	0x361e1a…
03-21 03:35:01	bitcoin above 64k on march 22	Yes	BUY	3,780	100¢	$3,772	0x907cf8…
03-21 03:20:55	bitcoin above 62k on march 22	Yes	SELL	3,524	100¢	$3,517	0x8976d9…
03-21 03:20:43	bitcoin above 62k on march 22	Yes	SELL	107	100¢	$107	0x6409be…
03-21 03:20:27	bitcoin above 62k on march 22	Yes	SELL	106	100¢	$106	0xde10fa…
03-21 03:19:23	bitcoin above 62k on march 22	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x908247…
03-21 03:15:23	bitcoin above 62k on march 22	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x0a2e94…
03-21 03:14:47	bitcoin above 62k on march 22	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x5d3bb3…
03-21 03:14:47	bitcoin above 62k on march 22	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x4c6cba…
03-21 03:14:45	bitcoin above 62k on march 22	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xc4b0eb…
03-21 03:14:15	bitcoin above 62k on march 22	Yes	BUY	3,782	100¢	$3,774	0x1a2fdd…
03-21 02:48:41	bitcoin above 64k on march 23	Yes	SELL	936	99¢	$925	0xe3939c…
03-21 02:38:09	bitcoin above 64k on march 23	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x7fd054…
03-21 02:36:27	bitcoin above 64k on march 23	Yes	SELL	431	99¢	$426	0x7be092…
03-21 02:31:39	bitcoin above 64k on march 23	Yes	BUY	701	98¢	$688	0x284475…