Sardonic-Cue 0x8a7b57…d8782f Create alert
whale hot 13W streak
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Realized P&L (90d)
+$3.57K
Unrealized P&L
+$4.18K
Hit rate
99.4%
Resolved (90d)
125
Trades (90d)
3,882
18,748 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$370.1K
$1.62M lifetime
Avg / trade
$87
Open exposure
$15.9K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-09 15:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 146 days
Categories
Other
71% 79% +$10,844
Politics
28% 72% +$1,292
Tech
1% 71% +$67
Crypto
0% 51% +$61
Sports
0% 100% +$15
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 149 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? Yes +4,010 $88 78¢ $3.1K +$3,036 11-05 15:52
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? No +3,281 $2,715 84¢ $2.7K +$24 10-29 00:09
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? No +1,377 $390 98¢ $1.4K +$962 11-08 14:42
Record crypto liquidation in 2026? No -1,113 -$1,025 97¢ $-1083 -$58 10-12 20:22
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? No +1,072 $1,045 99¢ $1.1K +$16 11-06 23:30
Trump out as President before 2027? No +1,000 $849 97¢ $974 +$124 11-09 11:35
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? No -913 -$1,000 93¢ $-852 +$148 11-02 14:10
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? No +3,646 $1,319 22¢ $820 -$498 10-13 16:26
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026? No -436 -$447 98¢ $-429 +$18 06-25 19:42
Obama arrested before 2027? No -413 -$393 99¢ $-408 -$15 06-23 17:24
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +320 $256 92¢ $293 +$37 11-07 12:26
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +300 $282 96¢ $289 +$7 10-18 13:44
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? No -293 -$263 99¢ $-289 -$25 06-04 20:45
Major CEX insolvent in 2026? No +209 $188 97¢ $203 +$14 07-01 01:14
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027? No -208 -$189 96¢ $-201 -$11 10-27 13:01
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +200 $188 98¢ $196 +$8 10-24 20:43
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No -200 -$187 97¢ $-195 -$7 10-09 17:39
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? No +200 $186 97¢ $194 +$8 10-24 18:47
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027? No +175 $156 98¢ $171 +$15 10-13 05:44
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +200 $138 80¢ $159 +$21 11-02 10:49
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? No +159 $4 84¢ $133 +$129 11-09 01:40
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2027 meeting? Yes +400 $123 33¢ $132 +$9 11-09 15:54
Will Dogecoin reach $0.48 by December 31, 2026? No -100 -$99 98¢ $-98 +$1 11-06 04:23
Fed abolished before 2027? No -95 -$102 99¢ $-94 +$8 06-22 18:47
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027? No -94 -$109 98¢ $-93 +$17 07-07 12:54
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +500 $84 16¢ $81 -$2 10-22 02:45
Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)? Yes +1,997 $80 4¢ $72 -$8 11-06 14:00
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027? No -71 -$68 98¢ $-69 -$1 10-09 18:25
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026? Yes -324 -$269 20¢ $-66 +$204 10-15 05:41
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026? No -63 -$63 100¢ $-63 $0 10-08 21:54