Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.5% or lower before 2027?
open
Total volume
$120
Trades
21
Unique wallets
8
Liquidity
$3,647
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 06-12 03:56
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $3 | $3 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | $1 | $57 | $56 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 4 | — | $4 | $4 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median | 1 | — | $1 | $1 |
| Below median | 2 | $1 | $3 | $2 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | — | $14 | $14 |
| unranked | 3 | — | $46 | $46 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | No | +49 | $46 | $46 | 2 | 06-09 06:47 |
| Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | +20 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-09 06:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x02f7…dd8f | No | +11 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-28 22:44 |
| Unlucky-Comparison 0xd883…4fd7 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 06-08 00:47 |
| (anonymous) 0xff32…dc40 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-12 03:56 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-12 03:56:13 | (anonymous) 0xff32…dc40 | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xb61f03… |
| 06-12 03:56:13 | Twin-Detention 0x7f82…c446 | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xb61f03… |
| 06-09 06:47:36 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | No | BUY | 29 | 95¢ | $27 | 0x66b0fc… |
| 06-09 06:47:36 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x66b0fc… |
| 06-09 06:47:36 | (anonymous) 0x0814…1f30 | No | SELL | 9 | 95¢ | $9 | 0x66b0fc… |
| 06-08 07:50:28 | (anonymous) 0x0814…1f30 | No | SELL | 20 | 95¢ | $19 | 0xc370c9… |
| 06-08 07:50:28 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | No | BUY | 20 | 95¢ | $19 | 0xc370c9… |
| 06-08 00:50:34 | (anonymous) 0x0814…1f30 | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xe5d651… |
| 06-08 00:50:34 | Twin-Detention 0x7f82…c446 | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xe5d651… |
| 06-08 00:47:54 | Twin-Detention 0x7f82…c446 | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xb765af… |
| 06-08 00:47:54 | Unlucky-Comparison 0xd883…4fd7 | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xb765af… |
| 06-07 12:47:36 | Twin-Detention 0x7f82…c446 | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x196892… |
| 06-07 12:47:36 | (anonymous) 0x0814…1f30 | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x196892… |
| 06-07 12:45:34 | Twin-Detention 0x7f82…c446 | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xd7faaf… |
| 06-07 12:45:34 | Unlucky-Comparison 0xd883…4fd7 | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xd7faaf… |
| 06-07 00:45:31 | Twin-Detention 0x7f82…c446 | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x844ef0… |
| 06-07 00:45:31 | (anonymous) 0x0814…1f30 | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x844ef0… |
| 05-28 22:44:39 | (anonymous) 0x69a8…97bd | No | SELL | 11 | 93¢ | $11 | 0xf55b47… |
| 05-28 22:44:39 | Unlucky-Comparison 0xd883…4fd7 | No | BUY | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0xf55b47… |
| 05-28 22:44:25 | (anonymous) 0x02f7…dd8f | No | BUY | 11 | 95¢ | $11 | 0xf949f4… |
| 05-28 22:44:25 | (anonymous) 0x0814…1f30 | No | SELL | 11 | 95¢ | $11 | 0xf949f4… |