Realized P&L
-$10
Unrealized P&L
-$5
Hit rate
57.3%
Resolved
34
Trades
1,724
lifetime
Volume
$4.03K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$53
19 positions
First seen
2026-04-12
last 07-03 06:08
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 12 days
Categories
Politics
48% 33% $-4
Other
40% 42% $-11
Sports
7% 42% +$5
Tech
3%
Crypto
2%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
62 active days in 12wk • peak 60 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? Yes -10 $-7 82¢ $-8 $-2 06-30 11:54
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? No -15 $-6 48¢ $-7 $-1 06-30 11:54
US recession by end of 2026? No -8 $-6 89¢ $-7 $-1 06-02 21:25
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? No -10 $-6 64¢ $-6 $-1 06-30 11:54
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No -7 $-6 86¢ $-6 $-0 06-30 11:56
Arc FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +6 $4 54¢ $3 $-1 06-24 14:36
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -2 $-2 90¢ $-2 +$0 06-10 16:01
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -2 $-2 74¢ $-1 +$0 06-30 11:55
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -1 $-1 80¢ $-1 $-0 06-30 11:56
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026? No -1 $-1 84¢ $-1 $-0 06-30 11:56
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? No -1 $-1 96¢ $-1 $-0 06-30 11:56
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? No -1 $-1 89¢ $-1 +$0 06-30 11:56
New pandemic in 2026? No -1 $-1 94¢ $-1 $-0 06-30 11:56
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? No -1 $-1 94¢ $-1 $-0 05-31 08:10
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay No -1 $-1 88¢ $-1 $-0 06-14 13:07
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 06-26 06:42
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -1 $-1 95¢ $-1 +$0 06-30 11:56
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +2 $1 46¢ $1 $-0 06-05 13:56
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -10 $-1 $-1 +$0 06-30 11:54