Realized P&L
-$10
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
57.3%
Resolved
34
Trades
1,722
lifetime
Volume
$4.02K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$72
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-12
last 06-30 12:34
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 12 days
Categories
Politics
48% 33% $-4
Other
40% 42% $-11
Sports
7% 42% +$5
Tech
3%
Crypto
2%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
74 active days in 12wk • peak 85 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No -9 $-7 99¢ $-9 $-1 05-28 09:49
US recession by end of 2026? No -8 $-6 88¢ $-7 $-1 06-02 21:25
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? Yes -10 $-7 67¢ $-7 $-0 06-30 11:54
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? No -15 $-6 43¢ $-6 $-1 06-30 11:54
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? No -10 $-6 60¢ $-6 $-0 06-30 11:54
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No -7 $-6 86¢ $-6 $-0 06-30 11:56
U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31? Yes -5 $-4 85¢ $-4 $-0 06-30 11:55
Arc FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +6 $4 38¢ $2 $-2 06-24 14:36
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -2 $-2 88¢ $-2 +$0 06-10 16:01
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -2 $-2 70¢ $-1 +$1 06-30 11:55
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026? No -1 $-1 84¢ $-1 $-0 06-30 11:56
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30? No -1 $-1 99¢ $-1 $-0 06-26 08:16
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No -1 $-1 100¢ $-1 $-0 06-14 13:07
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No -1 $-1 100¢ $-1 $-0 06-30 11:56
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -1 $-1 74¢ $-1 $-0 06-30 11:56
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? No -1 $-1 94¢ $-1 $-0 06-30 11:56
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? No -1 $-1 100¢ $-1 $-0 06-14 13:07
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? No -1 $-1 94¢ $-1 $-0 05-31 08:10
New pandemic in 2026? No -1 $-1 90¢ $-1 $-0 06-30 11:56
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? No -1 $-1 100¢ $-1 $-0 06-18 00:47
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? No -1 $-1 100¢ $-1 $-0 06-12 11:28
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -1 $-1 96¢ $-1 $-0 06-30 11:56
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? No -1 $-1 85¢ $-1 +$0 06-30 11:56
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? No -1 $-1 100¢ $-1 $-0 06-12 11:27
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay No -1 $-1 86¢ $-1 $-0 06-14 13:07
Solana all time high by June 30, 2026? No -1 $-1 100¢ $-1 +$0 06-30 11:57
Will Tim Walz resign by June 30? No -1 $-1 100¢ $-1 +$0 06-30 11:57
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? No -1 $-1 100¢ $-1 +$0 06-30 11:57
Trump out as President by June 30? No -1 $-1 100¢ $-1 +$0 06-30 11:57
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027? No +1 $1 95¢ $1 +$0 06-26 06:42