Realized P&L
-$11
Unrealized P&L
-$5
Hit rate
53.3%
Resolved
649
Trades
2,587
lifetime
Volume
$5.79K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$23
11 positions
First seen
2026-04-12
last 09-17 06:17
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 111 days
Categories
Politics
48% 50% +$152
Other
39% 43% -$181
Sports
9% 42% +$14
Tech
2% 50% +$19
Crypto
1% 33% -$11
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -9 -$6 92¢ $-8 -$2 05-19 02:01
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No -5 -$4 98¢ $-5 -$1 05-06 05:27
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -62 -$2 5¢ $-3 $0 05-06 05:25
Will Tom Aspinall be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? No -2 -$2 100¢ $-2 $0 09-17 06:17
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 05-18 06:33
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 05-18 06:34
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 $0 05-18 06:34
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 $0 05-18 06:32
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +1 $1 74¢ $1 $0 05-18 06:33
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +0 $1 88¢ $0 $0 06-18 15:21
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? No +1 $1 14¢ $0 -$1 05-18 06:34