Realized P&L (24h)
—
Unrealized P&L
-$50
Hit rate
—
Resolved (24h)
0
Trades (24h)
0
233 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$0
$1.29K lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$86
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-20
last 10-29 22:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 44 days
Categories
Other
42% 50% +$30
Politics
24% 35% -$98
Sports
17% 41% -$32
Crypto
15% 33% -$3
Tech
2% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
8 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +15 $5 69¢ $10 +$5 06-10 10:05
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? No +7 $5 96¢ $6 +$1 05-10 20:15
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +7 $5 88¢ $6 +$1 05-12 01:19
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -126 -$8 4¢ $-6 +$2 09-25 11:10
Will Germany recognize Palestine before 2027? Yes +109 $5 4¢ $5 $0 07-18 14:43
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No +14 $5 30¢ $4 -$1 05-03 21:37
Will BNB dip to $500 by December 31, 2026? No +4 -$3 87¢ $3 +$6 05-31 18:39
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31? No +73 $8 4¢ $3 -$5 05-17 18:24
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes +33 $5 8¢ $3 -$2 05-10 21:19
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +3 -$2 84¢ $3 +$5 06-28 04:15
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes +42 $5 6¢ $3 -$2 07-23 16:02
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? No +3 -$2 87¢ $3 +$5 10-14 08:22
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Yes +139 $5 2¢ $2 -$3 09-14 14:55
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +3 -$1 90¢ $2 +$3 06-19 21:51
Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes +209 $12 1¢ $2 -$10 05-10 20:13
Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027? Yes +73 $8 3¢ $2 -$6 05-17 18:23
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +308 $12 1¢ $2 -$10 05-10 20:48
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? Yes +77 $8 3¢ $2 -$6 06-05 20:29
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027? Yes +88 $5 2¢ $2 -$3 05-11 23:10
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026? No +8 $5 25¢ $2 -$3 05-17 18:55
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? No +2 -$4 88¢ $2 +$6 08-22 18:16
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +147 $8 1¢ $2 -$6 05-11 22:32
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +279 $12 1¢ $2 -$10 05-12 00:14
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +38 $12 4¢ $1 -$11 05-10 21:51
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? Yes +19 $5 8¢ $1 -$4 05-14 03:03
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -38 -$2 4¢ $-1 +$1 05-03 21:06
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? No -19 -$11 6¢ $-1 +$10 06-12 00:46
Will Solana reach $400 by December 31, 2026? Yes +98 $5 1¢ $1 -$4 05-12 14:43
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +62 $8 2¢ $1 -$7 05-10 19:41
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? Yes +29 $5 3¢ $1 -$4 05-12 00:15