(anonymous) 0x35df17…adcf97
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Realized P&L (7d)
+$2
Unrealized P&L
-$55
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved (7d)
1
Trades (7d)
1
232 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$12
$1.28K lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$103
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-20
last 10-26 17:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 42 days
Categories
Other
42% 50% +$28
Politics
24% 36% -$82
Sports
17% 41% -$32
Crypto
15% 33% -$3
Tech
2% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
9 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026? No +75 $15 23¢ $17 +$2 05-19 19:47
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -126 -$8 5¢ $-6 +$1 09-25 11:10
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? No +7 $5 95¢ $6 +$1 05-10 20:15
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +7 $5 82¢ $6 +$1 05-12 01:19
Will Germany recognize Palestine before 2027? Yes +109 $5 5¢ $5 +$0 07-18 14:43
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Yes +139 $5 4¢ $5 $0 09-14 14:55
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +15 $5 33¢ $5 $0 06-10 10:05
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes +33 $5 13¢ $4 -$1 05-10 21:19
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026? No +8 $5 40¢ $3 -$2 05-17 18:55
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +38 $12 8¢ $3 -$9 05-10 21:51
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes +42 $5 7¢ $3 -$2 07-23 16:02
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +3 -$2 86¢ $3 +$5 06-28 04:15
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? No +3 -$2 91¢ $3 +$5 10-14 08:22
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +308 $12 1¢ $3 -$9 05-10 20:48
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027? Yes +88 $5 3¢ $3 -$2 05-11 23:10
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +3 -$1 89¢ $2 +$3 06-19 21:51
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31? No +73 $8 3¢ $2 -$6 05-17 18:24
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? Yes +19 $5 12¢ $2 -$3 05-14 03:03
Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes +209 $12 1¢ $2 -$10 05-10 20:13
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? Yes +77 $8 3¢ $2 -$6 06-05 20:29
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +279 $12 1¢ $2 -$10 05-12 00:14
Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? No +2 -$8 96¢ $2 +$10 07-22 18:54
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? No +2 -$4 90¢ $2 +$6 08-22 18:16
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +28 $8 6¢ $2 -$6 05-10 20:14
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? Yes +29 $5 6¢ $2 -$3 05-12 00:15
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? No +19 $5 8¢ $2 -$3 05-17 18:24
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +62 $8 3¢ $2 -$6 05-10 19:41
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -38 -$2 4¢ $-2 +$0 05-03 21:06
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +147 $8 1¢ $2 -$6 05-11 22:32
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +25 $5 6¢ $1 -$4 05-10 21:18