Skeletal-Potty 0x1f61d6…0d7ea7 Create alert
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Realized P&L
+$14
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
51.2%
Resolved
392
Trades
1,887
lifetime
Volume
$5.93K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$180
24 positions
First seen
2026-02-05
last 11-04 23:08
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 115 days
Categories
Other
70% 58% -$119
Politics
17% 68% +$198
Sports
10% 46% -$68
Crypto
2% 75% +$13
Tech
1% 50% -$10
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
26 active days in 12wk • peak 87 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -230 -$28 18¢ $-40 -$13 06-29 21:51
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +267 $15 12¢ $33 +$18 06-02 14:57
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +22 $13 98¢ $21 +$9 05-01 07:17
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -22 -$14 69¢ $-15 -$2 05-09 12:33
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? Yes +42 $10 22¢ $9 $0 11-04 16:37
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No -8 -$4 97¢ $-8 -$4 07-22 05:25
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -9 -$6 92¢ $-8 -$2 05-09 07:25
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +8 $5 74¢ $6 +$1 05-12 17:01
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? Yes +5 -$3 97¢ $5 +$9 11-04 11:06
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026? Yes +31 $5 16¢ $5 $0 11-04 16:44
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? Yes +124 $5 4¢ $4 $0 11-04 17:40
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? Yes +51 $6 8¢ $4 -$2 11-01 14:36
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31? No +4 $3 95¢ $4 +$0 05-09 13:14
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? Yes +27 $3 12¢ $3 +$0 11-04 23:08
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat? No +9 $2 28¢ $3 +$0 11-04 11:19
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +2 $1 100¢ $2 +$1 11-03 23:14
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? Yes +25 $3 6¢ $2 -$2 07-22 01:32
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes +51 $6 3¢ $1 -$5 07-21 19:54
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +37 $5 4¢ $1 -$3 11-04 12:45
Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat? Yes +4 $3 28¢ $1 -$2 11-04 04:57
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? Yes +10 $2 8¢ $1 -$1 07-01 13:39
US strike on Colombia by December 31? Yes +5 $1 13¢ $1 $0 07-16 21:41
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -15 -$1 3¢ $-0 +$0 06-02 13:13
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026 Yes +10 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 07-04 04:07