Realized P&L
+$48.4K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.23K
Hit rate
82.8%
Resolved
98
Trades
1,309
lifetime
Volume
$640.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$489
Open exposure
$93.7K
16 positions
First seen
2026-03-01
last 10-28 14:17
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 33 days
Categories
Other
69% 71% +$8,595
Sports
21% 61% +$37,499
Tech
5% 80% +$1,011
Politics
4% 73% +$1,313
Crypto
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
43 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +70,285 $65,978 98¢ $68.6K +$2,584 07-27 20:28
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +7,415 $5,120 96¢ $7.2K +$2,032 09-13 15:39
will bitcoin dip to 70000 by december 31 2026 from august 24 Yes +8,780 $5,816 48¢ $4.3K -$1,557 08-26 23:45
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? Yes +7,079 $4,855 54¢ $3.8K -$1,068 08-24 17:37
nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512 No +3,181 $2,966 92¢ $2.9K -$24 09-12 13:14
Plague pandemic in 2026? No +1,672 $1,615 98¢ $1.6K +$21 10-06 18:24
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +8,000 $1,200 16¢ $1.3K +$120 10-20 12:10
Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +8,000 $1,200 14¢ $1.1K -$120 09-08 12:52
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +8,000 $1,200 12¢ $1.0K -$200 09-08 16:41
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? Yes +792 $610 84¢ $662 +$51 10-05 11:21
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes +385 $278 100¢ $384 +$106 07-05 12:28
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? Yes +1,004 $168 31¢ $316 +$148 10-28 14:17
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +576 $114 44¢ $256 +$141 06-02 08:06
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? Yes +200 $192 97¢ $194 +$2 10-10 19:05
No one announced as next James Bond? Yes +467 $109 22¢ $105 -$5 09-24 14:02
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? Yes +100 $91 90¢ $90 $0 10-06 16:15