Realized P&L
+$129
Unrealized P&L
-$500
Hit rate
86.6%
Resolved
3,206
Trades
8,819
lifetime
Volume
$1.57M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$179
Open exposure
$615
25 positions
First seen
2026-01-06
last 11-01 04:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 279 days
Categories
Sports
61% 83% +$521
Other
34% 84% +$191
Politics
3% 76% -$234
Tech
1% 83% -$441
Crypto
0% 86% +$94
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 69 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +151 $101 72¢ $109 +$8 10-29 00:06
Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? Yes +114 $102 91¢ $103 +$1 11-01 05:03
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31? Yes +104 $101 98¢ $103 +$2 11-01 01:43
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? No +102 $101 100¢ $102 +$1 10-31 19:33
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? No +103 $101 98¢ $101 $0 10-08 20:12
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +23 $22 96¢ $22 +$0 09-25 10:03
next white house press secretary announced by december 31 2026 Yes +25 $21 64¢ $16 -$5 10-16 21:52
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31? No +17 $8 86¢ $14 +$7 10-19 09:41
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? Yes +14 $10 81¢ $12 +$2 10-16 23:46
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +16 $10 72¢ $12 +$2 09-28 20:32
Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026? No +7 $1 100¢ $7 +$6 10-28 23:41
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +12 $5 43¢ $5 +$0 09-17 16:41
Kash Patel out by December 31? No +2 $1 82¢ $1 +$1 08-22 05:09
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +1 $1 91¢ $1 +$0 10-05 18:17
Ilhan Omar federally charged by October 31? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 10-18 02:05
Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate? No +1 $1 74¢ $1 +$0 10-23 15:10
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 09-18 14:31
Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026? Yes +1 -$3 100¢ $1 +$4 10-31 18:41
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1 $1 82¢ $1 $0 09-20 02:21
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +2 $525 27¢ $1 -$525 07-18 10:36
Clavicular sentenced to prison? Yes +7 $1 6¢ $0 -$1 07-31 21:06
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? Yes +9 $1 4¢ $0 -$1 09-29 12:24
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 Yes +1 $1 6¢ $0 -$1 07-31 14:20
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? Yes +16 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 10-23 08:45
Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026? No +1 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 10-31 22:17