Realized P&L
+$213
Unrealized P&L
-$497
Hit rate
86.6%
Resolved
3,199
Trades
8,753
lifetime
Volume
$1.57M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$180
Open exposure
$408
23 positions
First seen
2026-01-06
last 10-31 06:17
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 278 days
Categories
Sports
62% 83% +$511
Other
34% 84% +$297
Politics
3% 76% -$247
Tech
1% 83% -$441
Crypto
0% 86% +$94
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 63 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +151 $101 72¢ $108 +$7 10-29 00:06
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +102 $101 100¢ $102 +$1 10-28 12:51
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? No +103 $101 98¢ $101 $0 10-08 20:12
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +23 $22 96¢ $22 +$0 09-25 10:03
next white house press secretary announced by december 31 2026 Yes +25 $21 62¢ $16 -$5 10-16 21:52
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31? No +17 $8 86¢ $14 +$7 10-19 09:41
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? Yes +14 $10 80¢ $12 +$2 10-16 23:46
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +16 $10 70¢ $11 +$1 09-28 20:32
Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026? No +7 $1 99¢ $7 +$6 10-28 23:41
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +12 $5 42¢ $5 +$0 09-17 16:41
Will Trump say "Two Percent" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas? Yes +2 -$11 100¢ $2 +$12 10-28 22:05
Kash Patel out by December 31? No +2 $1 82¢ $2 +$1 08-22 05:09
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 +$0 10-05 18:17
Ilhan Omar federally charged by October 31? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 10-18 02:05
Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate? No +1 $1 73¢ $1 +$0 10-23 15:10
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 09-18 14:31
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1 $1 82¢ $1 $0 09-20 02:21
Will Trump say "Two Percent" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas? No +500 $1 0¢ $0 $0 10-28 22:01
Clavicular sentenced to prison? Yes +7 $1 6¢ $0 -$1 07-31 21:06
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? Yes +9 $1 4¢ $0 -$1 09-29 12:24
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +2 $525 14¢ $0 -$525 07-18 10:36
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? Yes +16 $1 1¢ $0 -$1 10-23 08:45
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 Yes +1 $1 5¢ $0 -$1 07-31 14:20