Realized P&L
+$303
Unrealized P&L
-$17
Hit rate
88.5%
Resolved
12
Trades
4,263
lifetime
Volume
$54.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$359
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-27
last 07-12 03:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Politics
69% 70% +$305
Other
17% 50% $-2
Crypto
7%
Sports
6%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
65 active days in 12wk • peak 216 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -82 $-67 72¢ $-58 +$8 06-17 05:43
Iran Nuke before 2027? No -40 $-38 95¢ $-38 $-0 07-02 09:51
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31? Yes -33 $-32 100¢ $-33 $-1 06-22 11:19
Trump goes to space in 2026? No -33 $-32 98¢ $-33 $-0 07-02 09:51
NATO dissolves before 2027? No -33 $-31 98¢ $-32 $-1 07-02 09:51
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? Yes -92 $-11 30¢ $-28 $-17 07-02 09:51
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +22 $21 100¢ $22 +$1 06-20 22:16
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +76 $11 29¢ $22 +$11 06-21 16:01
Will Elon register any party before 2027? No -11 $-10 96¢ $-11 $-1 07-02 09:51
Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? No -10 $-9 97¢ $-10 $-0 07-02 09:51
Will Venezuela become 51st state? No -10 $-10 97¢ $-10 $-0 06-22 11:19
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -13 $-7 68¢ $-9 $-2 07-02 09:51
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No -10 $0 78¢ $-8 $-8 06-19 00:00
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026? No -8 $-6 84¢ $-7 $-0 06-22 11:19
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026? No -7 $-6 88¢ $-6 $-0 07-02 09:51
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? Yes -39 $-4 12¢ $-5 $-1 07-02 09:51
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31? Yes -9 $-3 50¢ $-4 $-1 07-02 09:51
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes -20 $-3 22¢ $-4 $-1 07-02 09:51
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? Yes -19 $-4 18¢ $-3 +$0 07-02 09:51
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes -39 $-1 $-3 $-2 07-02 09:51
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026? Yes -6 $-3 41¢ $-3 +$0 07-02 09:51
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? Yes -7 $-3 31¢ $-2 +$1 07-02 09:51
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes -5 $-2 37¢ $-2 +$0 07-02 09:51
GTA 6 launch postponed again? Yes -18 $2 $-2 $-4 07-02 09:51
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? Yes -19 $-0 $-1 $-1 07-02 09:51
Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin before 2027? Yes -24 $-1 $-1 $-0 07-21 22:17
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026? Yes -10 $-0 $-1 $-1 07-02 09:51
Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026? Yes -4 $-1 18¢ $-1 +$0 07-02 09:51
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -1 $-1 96¢ $-1 +$0 07-02 09:51
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No +0 $-3 97¢ $0 +$3 06-06 08:56