Realized P&L
+$303
Unrealized P&L
-$159
Hit rate
88.5%
Resolved
12
Trades
4,137
lifetime
Volume
$50.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$866
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-27
last 06-30 18:09
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Politics
74% 70% +$305
Other
18% 50% $-2
Crypto
8%
Tech
1%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
77 active days in 12wk • peak 216 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -333 $-329 100¢ $-333 $-4 06-13 20:20
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No +103 $102 94¢ $97 $-5 06-22 15:18
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -82 $-67 86¢ $-70 $-3 06-17 05:43
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +46 $43 94¢ $43 +$0 06-30 00:37
Will Donald Trump visit Turkey in 2026? Yes +42 $42 99¢ $42 +$0 06-30 20:13
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? No +40 $38 95¢ $38 $-0 06-22 15:18
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31? Yes -33 $-32 100¢ $-33 $-1 06-22 11:19
NATO dissolves before 2027? No -32 $-30 96¢ $-31 $-0 06-22 11:19
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +24 $22 93¢ $22 +$0 06-22 15:18
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +22 $21 100¢ $22 +$1 06-20 22:16
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? Yes +76 $25 26¢ $20 $-5 06-30 06:16
Will Iran legalize gay marriage? No +15 $15 98¢ $15 $-0 06-22 15:18
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No -14 $-15 100¢ $-14 +$1 06-22 11:19
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +76 $11 15¢ $11 +$0 06-21 16:01
Will Venezuela become 51st state? No -10 $-10 96¢ $-10 $-0 06-22 11:19
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +11 $8 74¢ $8 $-0 06-25 22:42
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No -10 $0 70¢ $-7 $-7 06-19 00:00
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026? No -8 $-6 84¢ $-7 $-0 06-22 11:19
US strike on Colombia by December 31? Yes +31 $6 20¢ $6 +$0 06-29 17:06
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? No +6 $6 90¢ $5 $-0 06-22 14:01
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026? No -6 $-5 89¢ $-5 $-0 06-12 18:06
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +4 $3 100¢ $4 +$1 06-15 01:32
Bill Clinton divorce by June 30? No -4 $-4 100¢ $-4 $-0 06-22 11:19
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? Yes +15 $5 26¢ $4 $-1 06-30 03:04
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes +50 $13 $4 $-9 06-30 17:00
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +38 $6 $3 $-3 06-22 17:39
Will Elon register any party before 2027? No +3 $3 96¢ $3 $-0 06-24 11:31
GTA 6 launch postponed again? Yes +17 $5 11¢ $2 $-3 06-22 15:18
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +387 $122 $2 $-120 06-30 02:59
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? No +14 $1 $1 $-0 06-25 20:19