Realized P&L
-$84
Unrealized P&L
-$11
Hit rate
23.3%
Resolved
15
Trades
957
lifetime
Volume
$6.59K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$33
7 positions
First seen
2026-04-06
last 07-05 21:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Politics
80% 50% $-49
Other
14% 100% +$0
Crypto
4% 17% $-35
Tech
1%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
66 active days in 12wk • peak 48 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -13 $-11 88¢ $-12 $-1 06-11 20:14
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +7 $6 88¢ $6 +$0 06-30 20:52
Will Elon register any party before 2027? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 06-06 21:36
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +11 $5 40¢ $4 $-1 06-01 17:12
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +15 $5 22¢ $3 $-2 06-01 17:12
Will Elon register any party before 2027? Yes +52 $5 $2 $-3 06-06 21:31
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? No +9 $5 $0 $-5 06-19 23:55