Realized P&L
-$84
Unrealized P&L
-$10
Hit rate
23.3%
Resolved
15
Trades
853
lifetime
Volume
$5.93K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$84
15 positions
First seen
2026-04-06
last 06-12 19:04
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Politics
85% 50% $-49
Other
10% 100% +$0
Crypto
4% 17% $-35
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
58 active days in 12wk • peak 48 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +25 $7 78¢ $20 +$13 06-07 19:51
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes -22 $-7 54¢ $-12 $-5 06-11 18:11
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -13 $-11 84¢ $-11 $-1 06-11 20:14
Will Donald Trump visit France in 2026? Yes +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 06-03 19:43
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +11 $5 46¢ $5 +$0 06-01 17:12
Will Elon register any party before 2027? No +5 $5 94¢ $5 $-0 06-06 21:36
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +8 $5 62¢ $5 $-0 06-12 02:38
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +15 $5 30¢ $5 $-0 06-01 17:12
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? Yes +200 $5 $4 $-1 06-02 21:24
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes -10 $4 38¢ $-4 $-8 06-09 21:00
Will Elon register any party before 2027? Yes +52 $5 $3 $-2 06-06 21:31
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? Yes +80 $4 $3 $-1 06-05 22:04
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +8 $5 22¢ $2 $-3 06-07 19:05
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? No +6 $2 20¢ $1 $-0 06-12 04:10
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes +10 $3 $1 $-2 06-11 20:19