Realized P&L
-$62
Unrealized P&L
+$48
Hit rate
56.8%
Resolved
34
Trades
19,191
lifetime
Volume
$125.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$1.21K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-01
last 06-30 23:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Other
63% 0% $-39
Politics
33% 86% $-17
Crypto
3% 60% $-6
Tech
1%
Sports
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 5340 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +108 $59 100¢ $107 +$48 06-18 17:22
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? No +81 $85 100¢ $81 $-4 06-29 23:16
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No +75 $60 86¢ $64 +$4 06-05 10:49
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +85 $60 74¢ $63 +$3 06-03 13:19
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +141 $65 44¢ $62 $-3 06-07 03:50
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30? No +61 $60 99¢ $60 $-0 06-30 13:08
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +86 $52 67¢ $58 +$6 06-26 11:46
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +58 $53 93¢ $54 +$1 06-08 01:59
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? No -54 $-52 100¢ $-54 $-1 06-13 12:41
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? No +43 $37 89¢ $38 +$1 06-06 22:34
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +152 $49 25¢ $38 $-11 06-02 11:58
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +38 $30 100¢ $37 +$7 05-29 19:48
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +71 $46 50¢ $36 $-10 06-09 14:23
Iran leadership change by June 30? No +34 $33 100¢ $34 +$0 06-30 18:59
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No -31 $-30 100¢ $-31 $-1 06-02 21:00
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? No -31 $-30 100¢ $-31 $-1 06-13 04:00
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30? No +31 $30 99¢ $31 +$1 06-29 11:46
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30? No +31 $30 100¢ $31 +$1 06-22 11:49
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? No +31 $30 100¢ $31 +$1 05-31 11:59
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? No +30 $30 100¢ $30 +$0 06-18 11:43
Will Donald Trump visit India in 2026? No +37 $30 82¢ $30 +$0 06-24 21:25
Katy Perry confirmed pregnant by June 30? No +30 $30 100¢ $30 +$0 06-24 21:24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +30 $31 99¢ $30 $-1 06-27 12:40
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? Yes +31 $30 94¢ $29 $-1 06-18 03:38
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +34 $25 86¢ $29 +$4 06-16 02:21
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No +27 $26 100¢ $27 +$0 06-10 23:26
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026? No +26 $26 100¢ $26 +$0 06-12 11:07
Will Elon register any party before 2027? No +16 $15 96¢ $15 +$0 06-06 21:32
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? No +25 $12 57¢ $15 +$2 06-29 16:42
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No -12 $-11 100¢ $-12 $-1 06-11 06:07