Realized P&L
-$62
Unrealized P&L
-$14
Hit rate
56.8%
Resolved
34
Trades
19,748
lifetime
Volume
$134.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$781
20 positions
First seen
2026-04-01
last 07-21 10:22
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Other
62% 0% $-39
Politics
32% 86% $-17
Crypto
3% 60% $-6
Sports
1%
Tech
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 5340 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +85 $60 78¢ $67 +$7 06-03 13:19
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No +75 $60 88¢ $66 +$6 06-05 10:49
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No +76 $60 84¢ $65 +$5 07-06 09:26
Will Donald Trump visit Pakistan in 2026? No +66 $59 94¢ $62 +$3 07-12 23:48
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes +153 $60 40¢ $61 +$1 07-14 13:34
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +86 $53 66¢ $57 +$4 07-17 12:42
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +86 $60 66¢ $57 $-3 07-13 03:13
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +58 $53 95¢ $55 +$2 06-08 01:59
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +141 $65 36¢ $50 $-15 06-07 03:50
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? No +43 $37 90¢ $39 +$2 06-06 22:34
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +71 $46 54¢ $38 $-8 06-09 14:23
Will Donald Trump visit India in 2026? No +37 $30 92¢ $34 +$4 06-24 21:25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +30 $30 99¢ $30 +$0 07-20 01:14
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +152 $49 18¢ $27 $-22 06-02 11:58
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +34 $30 72¢ $24 $-6 07-19 22:54
Will Elon register any party before 2027? No +16 $15 97¢ $16 +$0 06-06 21:32
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? No +25 $12 60¢ $15 +$3 06-29 16:42
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +16 $11 82¢ $13 +$2 06-04 19:18
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +9 $5 64¢ $6 +$1 06-04 19:23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +3 $1 $0 $-1 06-09 14:33