(anonymous) 0x00850c…5fb322
bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$195
Unrealized P&L
-$14
Hit rate
50.6%
Resolved
798
Trades
1,756
lifetime
Volume
$12.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$50
14 positions
First seen
2026-03-16
last 09-17 12:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 112 days
Categories
Politics
46% 41% +$43
Other
29% 29% +$222
Crypto
16% 43% -$142
Sports
8% 48% +$64
Tech
1% 67% +$9
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
21 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -17 -$11 78¢ $-13 -$3 05-15 00:11
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -15 -$10 82¢ $-12 -$2 08-04 08:46
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -10 -$9 97¢ $-10 -$1 05-15 16:16
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -9 -$6 86¢ $-8 -$2 05-15 16:17
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -7 -$5 86¢ $-6 -$2 05-15 16:17
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +0 $1 66¢ $0 $0 05-20 13:21
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -8 -$1 1¢ $-0 +$1 05-23 04:05
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes +1 $1 3¢ $0 -$1 05-18 13:46
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +0 $0 88¢ $0 $0 08-15 15:45
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +0 $1 11¢ $0 -$1 06-07 16:25
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +0 $0 97¢ $0 $0 05-15 16:17
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +0 $0 39¢ $0 $0 05-20 12:01
iran charges hormuz fees by october 31 No +0 -$2 98¢ $0 +$2 08-19 04:01
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $4 16¢ $0 -$4 07-31 13:57