Realized P&L
-$7
Unrealized P&L
-$5
Hit rate
54.9%
Resolved
4
Trades
1,087
lifetime
Volume
$6.10K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$140
8 positions
First seen
2026-03-16
last 07-22 01:15
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Crypto
31%
Politics
28% 100% +$6
Other
27% 0% $-13
Sports
12%
Tech
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
43 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? No +58 $55 94¢ $54 $-0 07-13 05:03
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31? No +43 $41 94¢ $40 $-1 07-19 06:16
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026? No +24 $22 88¢ $22 $-1 07-14 04:32
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -24 $-5 30¢ $-7 $-2 07-13 19:15
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +66 $6 10¢ $6 +$0 07-19 06:40
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026? Yes -18 $-4 28¢ $-5 $-1 07-23 15:41
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? No -10 $-5 50¢ $-5 +$0 06-05 16:05
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes -0 $0 36¢ $-0 $-0 06-28 11:02