Will the U.S. national debt hit $40 trillion before 2027?
open
Total volume
$2,136
Trades
114
Unique wallets
29
Liquidity
$5,084
Latest YES mid
95¢
Latest NO mid
5¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-06-12
last 08-16 09:26
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 3 | $28 | $1 | +$27 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 5 | $1.9K | $3 | +$1.9K |
| 🐟 Fish | 6 | $63 | $12 | +$51 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 15 | $26 | $7 | +$19 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | $401 | $12 | +$389 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $20 | $1 | +$20 |
| Median | 5 | $1.6K | — | +$1.6K |
| Below median | 8 | $2 | $5 | $3 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $51 | — | +$51 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $2 | $2 |
| unranked | 6 | $14 | $4 | +$10 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Whopping-Mosquito 0xf4d0…4637 | Yes | +1,570 | $1,554 | $1,554 | 21 | 08-16 09:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | No | +412 | $0 | $2 | 25 | 08-16 09:26 |
| Fake-Inn 0x2783…8321 | Yes | +396 | $395 | $395 | 1 | 08-10 08:58 |
| Quick-Witted-Cook 0x7be4…8477 | No | +391 | $2 | $3 | 8 | 08-16 09:26 |
| Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | No | +321 | $1 | $1 | 19 | 08-15 18:08 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | +251 | $8 | $8 | 9 | 07-24 07:14 |
| Improbable-Responsibility 0x7ac8…77cd | No | +200 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 08-10 08:58 |
| Conscious-Leap 0xfc03…4a07 | No | +136 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 08-10 08:58 |
| Likely-Exhibit 0x9868…907e | No | +72 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 07-24 07:18 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +62 | $1 | $1 | 4 | 08-08 02:28 |
| Afraid-Mrna 0x9f44…7470 | No | +60 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 08-15 06:39 |
| (anonymous) 0xa076…cf22 | Yes | +50 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 08-10 08:58 |
| Untimely-Macrofauna 0x403d…b04d | No | +48 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 08-15 18:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x6940…dd43 | No | +30 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 08-16 09:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | No | +25 | $1 | $1 | 6 | 08-06 05:37 |
| Intent-Property 0x57f5…c1c9 | No | +21 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-04 00:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x0085…b322 | No | +10 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 08-15 08:15 |
| Voluminous-Avocado-Hackwork 0x85cb…db4a | Yes | +9 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 07-01 12:19 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +6 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 08-06 05:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x7a61…5383 | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-25 07:18 |
| Linear-Provider 0xf493…5d5e | Yes | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-12 15:10 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-16 09:26:31 | Quick-Witted-Cook 0x7be4…8477 | No | SELL | 79 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdd38c2… |
| 08-16 09:26:31 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | No | BUY | 79 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdd38c2… |
| 08-16 09:03:55 | (anonymous) 0x6940…dd43 | No | BUY | 30 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdfde38… |
| 08-16 09:03:55 | Quick-Witted-Cook 0x7be4…8477 | No | BUY | 470 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdfde38… |
| 08-16 09:03:55 | Whopping-Mosquito 0xf4d0…4637 | Yes | BUY | 500 | 100¢ | $500 | 0xdfde38… |
| 08-15 18:55:13 | Untimely-Macrofauna 0x403d…b04d | No | BUY | 48 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x33e4a6… |
| 08-15 18:55:13 | Quick-Witted-Cook 0x7be4…8477 | No | SELL | 48 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x33e4a6… |
| 08-15 18:08:52 | Quick-Witted-Cook 0x7be4…8477 | No | SELL | 202 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1ee64e… |
| 08-15 18:08:52 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | No | BUY | 32 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1ee64e… |
| 08-15 18:08:52 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | No | BUY | 33 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1ee64e… |
| 08-15 16:26:07 | Quick-Witted-Cook 0x7be4…8477 | No | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb298fe… |
| 08-15 16:26:07 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | No | SELL | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb298fe… |
| 08-15 15:55:42 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | No | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2c7e79… |
| 08-15 15:55:42 | Quick-Witted-Cook 0x7be4…8477 | No | BUY | 244 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x2c7e79… |
| 08-15 15:55:42 | Whopping-Mosquito 0xf4d0…4637 | Yes | BUY | 250 | 100¢ | $249 | 0x2c7e79… |
| 08-15 08:46:03 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | No | BUY | 33 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x15f743… |
| 08-15 08:46:03 | Quick-Witted-Cook 0x7be4…8477 | No | SELL | 200 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x15f743… |
| 08-15 08:46:03 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | No | BUY | 35 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x15f743… |
| 08-15 08:15:40 | (anonymous) 0x0085…b322 | No | BUY | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfc06dd… |
| 08-15 08:15:40 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | No | SELL | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfc06dd… |
| 08-15 08:13:10 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | No | SELL | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8b7868… |
| 08-15 08:13:10 | (anonymous) 0x0085…b322 | No | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8b7868… |
| 08-15 06:39:31 | Afraid-Mrna 0x9f44…7470 | No | BUY | 58 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x94a5a2… |
| 08-15 06:39:31 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | No | BUY | 9 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x94a5a2… |
| 08-15 06:39:31 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | No | BUY | 9 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x94a5a2… |
| 08-15 06:39:31 | Whopping-Mosquito 0xf4d0…4637 | Yes | BUY | 76 | 100¢ | $76 | 0x94a5a2… |
| 08-15 06:38:45 | Whopping-Mosquito 0xf4d0…4637 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x747f2c… |
| 08-15 06:38:45 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | No | BUY | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x747f2c… |
| 08-15 06:38:45 | Afraid-Mrna 0x9f44…7470 | No | BUY | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x747f2c… |
| 08-15 06:38:10 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | No | BUY | 17 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0ed08f… |
| 08-15 06:38:10 | Whopping-Mosquito 0xf4d0…4637 | Yes | BUY | 240 | 100¢ | $239 | 0x0ed08f… |
| 08-15 06:38:10 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | No | BUY | 12 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0ed08f… |
| 08-15 06:38:10 | Quick-Witted-Cook 0x7be4…8477 | No | BUY | 200 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x0ed08f… |
| 08-10 08:58:34 | (anonymous) 0xa076…cf22 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 99¢ | $50 | 0x602ca4… |
| 08-10 08:58:34 | Conscious-Leap 0xfc03…4a07 | No | BUY | 136 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x602ca4… |
| 08-10 08:58:34 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | No | SELL | 8 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x602ca4… |
| 08-10 08:58:34 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | No | SELL | 7 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x602ca4… |
| 08-10 08:58:34 | Whopping-Mosquito 0xf4d0…4637 | Yes | BUY | 55 | 99¢ | $54 | 0x602ca4… |
| 08-10 08:58:33 | Improbable-Responsibility 0x7ac8…77cd | No | BUY | 200 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x4beb60… |
| 08-10 08:58:33 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | No | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4beb60… |
| 08-10 08:58:33 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | No | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4beb60… |
| 08-10 08:58:33 | Fake-Inn 0x2783…8321 | Yes | BUY | 396 | 100¢ | $395 | 0x4beb60… |
| 08-09 22:40:36 | Whopping-Mosquito 0xf4d0…4637 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 100¢ | $14 | 0x7efe8e… |
| 08-09 22:40:36 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | No | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7efe8e… |
| 08-09 22:40:36 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | No | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7efe8e… |
| 08-08 02:28:13 | Safe-Miracle 0xa242…cd4b | Yes | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x290543… |
| 08-08 02:28:13 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x290543… |
| 08-07 15:23:27 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | No | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf87383… |
| 08-07 15:23:27 | (anonymous) 0x861e…36f6 | No | SELL | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf87383… |
| 08-07 15:23:27 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | No | BUY | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf87383… |
| 08-07 08:23:37 | Whopping-Mosquito 0xf4d0…4637 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0xc4d7c2… |
| 08-07 08:23:37 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc4d7c2… |
| 08-07 08:23:31 | Whopping-Mosquito 0xf4d0…4637 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0xdbd5f0… |
| 08-07 08:23:31 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xdbd5f0… |
| 08-07 08:20:28 | Whopping-Mosquito 0xf4d0…4637 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x53952a… |
| 08-07 08:20:28 | (anonymous) 0x861e…36f6 | No | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x53952a… |
| 08-06 21:53:11 | Safe-Miracle 0xa242…cd4b | Yes | SELL | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0xaa156a… |
| 08-06 21:53:11 | (anonymous) 0x861e…36f6 | No | SELL | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xaa156a… |
| 08-06 05:37:12 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xa95b2e… |
| 08-06 05:37:12 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | No | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xa95b2e… |
| 08-04 06:31:56 | Whopping-Mosquito 0xf4d0…4637 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0xc0a996… |
| 08-04 06:31:56 | (anonymous) 0x861e…36f6 | No | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xc0a996… |
| 07-30 16:09:45 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | No | BUY | 11 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x26e2c7… |
| 07-30 16:09:45 | Unknown-Ischemia 0x7a8f…d9ee | No | SELL | 11 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x26e2c7… |
| 07-25 07:18:39 | (anonymous) 0x7a61…5383 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x3a6e24… |
| 07-25 07:18:39 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | No | BUY | 0 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x3a6e24… |
| 07-24 07:18:01 | Whopping-Mosquito 0xf4d0…4637 | Yes | BUY | 36 | 97¢ | $35 | 0x70caff… |
| 07-24 07:18:01 | Likely-Exhibit 0x9868…907e | No | BUY | 36 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x70caff… |
| 07-24 07:17:37 | Whopping-Mosquito 0xf4d0…4637 | Yes | BUY | 36 | 97¢ | $35 | 0x5c04aa… |
| 07-24 07:17:37 | Likely-Exhibit 0x9868…907e | No | BUY | 36 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x5c04aa… |
| 07-24 07:14:01 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | BUY | 40 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xb1da73… |
| 07-24 07:14:01 | Whopping-Mosquito 0xf4d0…4637 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 97¢ | $39 | 0xb1da73… |
| 07-24 07:13:57 | Whopping-Mosquito 0xf4d0…4637 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 97¢ | $39 | 0x531362… |
| 07-24 07:13:57 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | BUY | 40 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x531362… |
| 07-24 07:13:43 | Whopping-Mosquito 0xf4d0…4637 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 97¢ | $39 | 0x80191d… |
| 07-24 07:13:43 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | BUY | 40 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x80191d… |
| 07-24 07:13:33 | Whopping-Mosquito 0xf4d0…4637 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 97¢ | $39 | 0x70a4fc… |
| 07-24 07:13:33 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | BUY | 40 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x70a4fc… |
| 07-24 07:13:21 | Whopping-Mosquito 0xf4d0…4637 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 97¢ | $39 | 0xbbec3c… |
| 07-24 07:13:21 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | BUY | 40 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xbbec3c… |
| 07-24 07:09:27 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | BUY | 40 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x9229ac… |
| 07-24 07:09:27 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 22 | 96¢ | $22 | 0x9229ac… |
| 07-24 07:09:27 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | No | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x9229ac… |
| 07-24 07:09:27 | Whopping-Mosquito 0xf4d0…4637 | Yes | BUY | 72 | 96¢ | $70 | 0x9229ac… |
| 07-19 02:20:21 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | BUY | 11 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xa055e9… |
| 07-19 02:20:21 | Safe-Miracle 0xa242…cd4b | Yes | BUY | 11 | 95¢ | $10 | 0xa055e9… |
| 07-16 22:38:13 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | No | BUY | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xb6e246… |
| 07-16 22:38:13 | Whopping-Mosquito 0xf4d0…4637 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0xb6e246… |
| 07-15 05:04:14 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 11 | 91¢ | $10 | 0x50e396… |
| 07-15 05:04:14 | Unknown-Ischemia 0x7a8f…d9ee | No | BUY | 11 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x50e396… |
| 07-12 01:41:47 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | Yes | SELL | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x9ecf67… |
| 07-12 01:41:47 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x9ecf67… |
| 07-11 13:00:02 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | Yes | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x536c5c… |
| 07-11 13:00:02 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | Yes | SELL | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x536c5c… |
| 07-07 20:45:37 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | Yes | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0xc05225… |
| 07-07 20:45:37 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | Yes | SELL | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0xc05225… |
| 07-07 14:05:05 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | No | BUY | 0 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x98ba6c… |
| 07-07 14:05:05 | Colorful-Lyre 0x58fc…704f | No | SELL | 0 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x98ba6c… |
| 07-04 00:01:19 | Intent-Property 0x57f5…c1c9 | No | BUY | 21 | 9¢ | $2 | 0xb6b9dd… |
| 07-04 00:01:19 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | No | SELL | 10 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xb6b9dd… |