Will the U.S. national debt hit $40 trillion before 2027?
open
Total volume
$454
Trades
50
Unique wallets
18
Liquidity
$5,084
Latest YES mid
95¢
Latest NO mid
5¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-06-12
last 07-25 07:18
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 3 | $23 | $0 | +$23 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 3 | $339 | $2 | +$337 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | $14 | $8 | +$5 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 9 | $26 | $4 | +$21 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $1 | $8 | $7 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $20 | $0 | +$20 |
| Median | 5 | $362 | — | +$362 |
| Below median | 2 | $2 | $2 | $0 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $2 | $2 |
| unranked | 5 | $14 | $2 | +$12 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Whopping-Mosquito 0xf4d0…4637 | Yes | +351 | $339 | $339 | 10 | 07-24 07:18 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | +251 | $8 | $8 | 9 | 07-24 07:14 |
| Likely-Exhibit 0x9868…907e | No | +72 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 07-24 07:18 |
| Intent-Property 0x57f5…c1c9 | No | +21 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-04 00:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | No | +20 | $1 | $1 | 5 | 07-25 07:18 |
| Unknown-Ischemia 0x7a8f…d9ee | No | +11 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-15 05:04 |
| Safe-Miracle 0xa242…cd4b | Yes | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-19 02:20 |
| Voluminous-Avocado-Hackwork 0x85cb…db4a | Yes | +9 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 07-01 12:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x7a61…5383 | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-25 07:18 |
| Linear-Provider 0xf493…5d5e | Yes | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-12 15:10 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +2 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-12 15:10 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-16 02:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | No | +1 | $-1 | $1 | 4 | 07-07 14:05 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-25 07:18:39 | (anonymous) 0x7a61…5383 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x3a6e24… |
| 07-25 07:18:39 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | No | BUY | 0 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x3a6e24… |
| 07-24 07:18:01 | Likely-Exhibit 0x9868…907e | No | BUY | 36 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x70caff… |
| 07-24 07:18:01 | Whopping-Mosquito 0xf4d0…4637 | Yes | BUY | 36 | 97¢ | $35 | 0x70caff… |
| 07-24 07:17:37 | Whopping-Mosquito 0xf4d0…4637 | Yes | BUY | 36 | 97¢ | $35 | 0x5c04aa… |
| 07-24 07:17:37 | Likely-Exhibit 0x9868…907e | No | BUY | 36 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x5c04aa… |
| 07-24 07:14:01 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | BUY | 40 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xb1da73… |
| 07-24 07:14:01 | Whopping-Mosquito 0xf4d0…4637 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 97¢ | $39 | 0xb1da73… |
| 07-24 07:13:57 | Whopping-Mosquito 0xf4d0…4637 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 97¢ | $39 | 0x531362… |
| 07-24 07:13:57 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | BUY | 40 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x531362… |
| 07-24 07:13:43 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | BUY | 40 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x80191d… |
| 07-24 07:13:43 | Whopping-Mosquito 0xf4d0…4637 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 97¢ | $39 | 0x80191d… |
| 07-24 07:13:33 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | BUY | 40 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x70a4fc… |
| 07-24 07:13:33 | Whopping-Mosquito 0xf4d0…4637 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 97¢ | $39 | 0x70a4fc… |
| 07-24 07:13:21 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | BUY | 40 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xbbec3c… |
| 07-24 07:13:21 | Whopping-Mosquito 0xf4d0…4637 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 97¢ | $39 | 0xbbec3c… |
| 07-24 07:09:27 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 22 | 96¢ | $22 | 0x9229ac… |
| 07-24 07:09:27 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | BUY | 40 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x9229ac… |
| 07-24 07:09:27 | Whopping-Mosquito 0xf4d0…4637 | Yes | BUY | 72 | 96¢ | $70 | 0x9229ac… |
| 07-24 07:09:27 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | No | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x9229ac… |
| 07-19 02:20:21 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | BUY | 11 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xa055e9… |
| 07-19 02:20:21 | Safe-Miracle 0xa242…cd4b | Yes | BUY | 11 | 95¢ | $10 | 0xa055e9… |
| 07-16 22:38:13 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | No | BUY | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xb6e246… |
| 07-16 22:38:13 | Whopping-Mosquito 0xf4d0…4637 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0xb6e246… |
| 07-15 05:04:14 | Unknown-Ischemia 0x7a8f…d9ee | No | BUY | 11 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x50e396… |
| 07-15 05:04:14 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 11 | 91¢ | $10 | 0x50e396… |
| 07-12 01:41:47 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x9ecf67… |
| 07-12 01:41:47 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | Yes | SELL | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x9ecf67… |
| 07-11 13:00:02 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | Yes | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x536c5c… |
| 07-11 13:00:02 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | Yes | SELL | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x536c5c… |
| 07-07 20:45:37 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | Yes | SELL | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0xc05225… |
| 07-07 20:45:37 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | Yes | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0xc05225… |
| 07-07 14:05:05 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | No | BUY | 0 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x98ba6c… |
| 07-07 14:05:05 | Colorful-Lyre 0x58fc…704f | No | SELL | 0 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x98ba6c… |
| 07-04 00:01:19 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 6 | 91¢ | $6 | 0xb6b9dd… |
| 07-04 00:01:19 | Intent-Property 0x57f5…c1c9 | No | BUY | 21 | 9¢ | $2 | 0xb6b9dd… |
| 07-04 00:01:19 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | No | SELL | 10 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xb6b9dd… |
| 07-04 00:01:19 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | Yes | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0xb6b9dd… |
| 07-01 12:19:04 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | No | BUY | 9 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x81b16c… |
| 07-01 12:19:04 | Voluminous-Avocado-Hackwork 0x85cb…db4a | Yes | BUY | 9 | 97¢ | $9 | 0x81b16c… |
| 06-22 20:03:46 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | SELL | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xf93435… |
| 06-22 20:03:46 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | No | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xf93435… |
| 06-22 19:59:05 | Wilted-Employ 0x1a96…9797 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x790d29… |
| 06-22 19:59:05 | Whopping-Mosquito 0xf4d0…4637 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x790d29… |
| 06-22 19:57:53 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x49269f… |
| 06-22 19:57:53 | Wilted-Employ 0x1a96…9797 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x49269f… |
| 06-16 02:56:36 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | Yes | SELL | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x505e92… |
| 06-16 02:56:36 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x505e92… |
| 06-12 15:10:07 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 2 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xeb5ace… |
| 06-12 15:10:07 | Linear-Provider 0xf493…5d5e | Yes | BUY | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0xeb5ace… |