Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$138

Unrealized P&L

+$14

Hit rate

10.6%

Resolved

Trades

470

lifetime

Volume

$9.76K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

$406

6 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 06-16 12:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

49% 100% +$0

Politics

47% 0% $-138

Sports

4% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	+100	$98	99¢	$99	+$2	06-08 14:09
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	+100	$92	99¢	$99	+$7	06-16 12:13
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?	No	+100	$92	97¢	$97	+$5	06-16 12:27
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	+76	$75	100¢	$76	+$0	06-05 04:02
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	+25	$25	100¢	$25	+$0	06-04 01:24
Will Venezuela become 51st state?	No	-10	$-10	97¢	$-10	+$0	05-30 22:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the us invade venezuela by january 31 2026	16	$857	541	605	-64	open	—	01-21 20:11
will bruno mars have the greatest number of monthly spotify listeners this month	12	$490	250	250	+0	open	—	02-28 17:38
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	12	$386	200	200	+0	open	—	03-04 16:07
will the 2026 bad bunny super bowl halftime show video get between 75m and 100m views in its first 7 days	21	$301	210	210	+0	open	—	02-15 08:00
another us strike on venezuela by january 31 867	5	$198	100	100	+0	open	—	01-31 02:13
will the us next strike iran on january 22 2026 et 837	4	$198	100	100	+0	open	—	01-23 10:09
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	6	$192	100	100	+0	open	—	04-23 01:40
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	7	$186	100	100	+0	open	—	04-28 00:13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	8	$178	100	100	+0	open	—	04-25 07:10
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	7	$155	165	0	+165	open	—	01-23 22:40
will the us next strike iran on january 20 2026 et 992	3	$152	76	76	+0	open	—	01-21 05:36
us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	3	$146	162	0	+162	open	—	01-16 08:18
will the us invade venezuela by march 31 2026 255	3	$145	20	138	-118	open	—	02-18 03:58
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	6	$143	74	74	+0	open	—	02-25 12:57
will ukraine join the board of peace	11	$142	75	75	+0	open	—	03-27 13:59
US strike on Cuba by March 31?	7	$140	125	25	+100	open	—	03-10 19:24
us strikes iran by february 1 2026	2	$138	150	0	+150	open	—	02-01 01:58
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	7	$132	125	25	+100	open	—	03-10 18:16
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	6	$118	60	60	+0	open	—	03-04 16:08
us strikes iran by january 11 2026 946	4	$115	121	0	+121	open	—	01-11 09:15
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	7	$111	85	75	+10	open	—	03-08 02:44
will the 2026 bad bunny super bowl halftime show video get between 125m and 150m views in its first 7 days	10	$106	54	54	+0	open	—	02-14 03:13
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	4	$103	60	50	+10	open	—	02-22 07:51
bknbl mel bri 2026 01 21	2	$100	51	51	+0	open	—	01-21 09:32
us strikes iran by january 18 2026 991	1	$100	101	0	+101	open	—	01-18 07:37
will the us next strike iran on january 21 2026 et 774	5	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	01-22 08:24
us strikes iran by january 17 2026 625	1	$99	100	0	+100	open	—	01-17 23:29
will gta 6 cost 100	3	$99	50	50	+0	open	—	02-16 12:55
us strikes iran by january 30 2026 273 584 555 114 476	3	$99	100	0	+100	open	—	01-31 04:10
us strikes iran by january 24 2026 318	2	$98	50	50	+0	open	—	01-25 06:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-16 12:27:31	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xdb2cd0…
06-16 12:13:21	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x99957d…
06-11 17:42:36	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	25	93¢	$23	0xc5089a…
06-08 15:34:19	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	25	87¢	$22	0x1a5f48…
06-08 14:09:54	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0x0d7143…
06-07 13:54:58	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?	No	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0xb236a6…
06-07 09:17:28	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x3fdd77…
06-07 06:48:01	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0x7ccf4d…
06-06 10:54:39	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0x10043a…
06-06 10:41:40	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0xea9567…
06-05 04:02:33	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xd3b28b…
06-05 00:57:04	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0x97739f…
06-04 21:45:33	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?	No	BUY	25	91¢	$23	0x8f19b9…
06-04 01:24:42	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x69d9cf…
06-04 01:12:00	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?	No	BUY	9	91¢	$8	0xc80980…
06-03 16:10:57	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?	No	BUY	9	91¢	$8	0xadf4c3…
06-03 12:01:59	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?	No	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0xf83e0e…
06-03 11:28:52	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x62443b…
06-02 08:43:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	25	94¢	$24	0xc2f54f…
06-01 16:14:35	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?	No	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x81bcca…
05-31 14:44:20	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x604ade…
05-30 22:24:41	Will Venezuela become 51st state?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0xa044be…
05-28 22:30:37	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	35	88¢	$31	0x853a77…
05-28 04:09:17	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	88¢	$13	0x64d348…
05-10 21:53:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x76abd1…
05-09 22:45:29	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	25	85¢	$21	0x2b59bc…
05-06 11:44:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	11	84¢	$9	0x599afb…
05-06 11:43:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	14	84¢	$12	0xc2a6db…
05-03 23:54:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0xf39b5f…
05-03 20:56:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xbd7f84…
05-03 20:49:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0x103663…
05-03 13:33:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0xa845fc…
05-03 12:42:28	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	44	94¢	$41	0xe3094a…
05-03 12:37:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x87e396…
05-03 11:55:38	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0xb4768f…
05-02 14:29:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	25	77¢	$19	0x88b7f7…
05-02 13:34:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0xcc8b69…
05-02 04:06:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x12a2bd…
05-01 11:25:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	BUY	15	93¢	$14	0xe31af7…
05-01 11:14:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xfa8819…
05-01 10:46:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x55ee31…
05-01 10:06:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0xeefc68…
05-01 08:14:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xef3892…
04-30 07:49:50	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x42faf6…
04-29 13:16:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xf25477…
04-29 11:31:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xf8de43…
04-28 00:13:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x9b84e7…
04-27 23:45:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x8740c8…
04-27 10:55:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x31af4c…
04-27 10:45:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	No	BUY	25	88¢	$22	0x017a89…
04-27 10:37:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x5ec240…
04-25 07:10:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0xabd1ca…
04-25 05:01:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	No	BUY	25	70¢	$18	0x47cac9…
04-24 11:08:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	BUY	46	86¢	$39	0x4ef734…
04-24 11:08:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	BUY	4	86¢	$4	0x6944e7…
04-24 11:05:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	No	BUY	25	74¢	$18	0x489b8a…
04-24 08:43:20	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xd50da9…
04-23 23:22:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	No	BUY	25	64¢	$16	0xd7b5db…
04-23 12:01:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	BUY	30	77¢	$23	0x03f9d2…
04-23 01:40:50	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x1594a1…
04-21 23:05:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x68a619…
04-20 05:30:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x1dced3…
04-20 05:18:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	No	BUY	24	76¢	$18	0xf8de32…
04-18 10:21:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	No	BUY	25	68¢	$17	0xf4d8c5…
04-18 03:46:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	No	BUY	50	82¢	$41	0x79b16a…
04-14 05:42:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	No	BUY	25	85¢	$21	0x7e9700…
04-13 23:16:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	No	BUY	15	85¢	$13	0xd3d9c0…
04-13 19:08:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	No	BUY	25	93¢	$23	0x55e78d…
04-13 12:02:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x4e7d3c…
04-12 23:33:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	1	61¢	$0	0xb852d5…
04-12 23:14:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	28	61¢	$17	0xf4c187…
04-12 23:02:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x720657…
04-12 23:00:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0xc1687d…
04-12 22:39:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	6	61¢	$4	0x837897…
04-12 12:55:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	25	82¢	$20	0x8d6324…
04-12 12:08:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	25	57¢	$14	0x40cc3e…
04-12 09:17:11	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xb0c9ac…
04-12 09:01:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	3	83¢	$3	0xb55c3a…
04-12 09:01:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	22	83¢	$18	0xbf1e97…
04-12 04:43:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x2944d3…
04-11 15:15:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x67d8bb…
04-11 12:16:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	15	77¢	$12	0x9b9a21…
04-10 20:12:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x9f7998…
04-10 10:13:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	No	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0x79caf4…
04-10 09:46:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x3d7ea9…
04-10 09:40:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	15	79¢	$12	0x5c8030…
04-10 09:26:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x1fe751…
04-10 07:59:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x0d8c55…
04-10 04:57:07	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xfa4c88…
04-09 16:04:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0xcc236e…
04-09 09:54:13	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x6567d7…
04-09 05:19:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x0f4986…
04-08 12:19:29	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x3dec13…
04-06 15:59:09	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	30	93¢	$28	0x2cbbea…
04-05 11:27:11	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xfcc8bf…
04-03 13:30:05	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x8d2796…
04-03 07:58:35	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0x0c395d…
04-03 02:18:31	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0x626a91…
04-02 08:15:13	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0x063f19…
04-02 07:40:01	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0x9064ec…