Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$138

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

10.6%

Resolved

Trades

508

lifetime

Volume

$11.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 08-02 22:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

54% 100% +$0

Politics

40% 0% $-138

Sports

5% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the us invade venezuela by january 31 2026	16	$857	541	605	-64	open	—	01-21 20:11
will bruno mars have the greatest number of monthly spotify listeners this month	12	$490	250	250	+0	open	—	02-28 17:38
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	12	$386	200	200	+0	open	—	03-04 16:07
will the 2026 bad bunny super bowl halftime show video get between 75m and 100m views in its first 7 days	21	$301	210	210	+0	open	—	02-15 08:00
another us strike on venezuela by january 31 867	5	$198	100	100	+0	open	—	01-31 02:13
will the us next strike iran on january 22 2026 et 837	4	$198	100	100	+0	open	—	01-23 10:09
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	5	$198	100	100	+0	open	—	06-26 08:08
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	6	$192	100	100	+0	open	—	04-23 01:40
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	7	$186	100	100	+0	open	—	04-28 00:13
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	3	$179	200	0	+200	open	—	07-18 21:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	8	$178	100	100	+0	open	—	04-25 07:10
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	3	$175	76	100	-24	open	—	06-27 09:05
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	7	$155	165	0	+165	open	—	01-23 22:40
will the us next strike iran on january 20 2026 et 992	3	$152	76	76	+0	open	—	01-21 05:36
will wti reach 120 in july 2026	3	$148	100	50	+50	open	—	07-30 16:33
us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	3	$146	162	0	+162	open	—	01-16 08:18
will the us invade venezuela by march 31 2026 255	3	$145	20	138	-118	open	—	02-18 03:58
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	6	$143	74	74	+0	open	—	02-25 12:57
will ukraine join the board of peace	11	$142	75	75	+0	open	—	03-27 13:59
US strike on Cuba by March 31?	7	$140	125	25	+100	open	—	03-10 19:24
us strikes iran by february 1 2026	2	$138	150	0	+150	open	—	02-01 01:58
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	7	$132	125	25	+100	open	—	03-10 18:16
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	6	$118	60	60	+0	open	—	03-04 16:08
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	3	$116	100	100	+0	open	—	07-14 19:25
us strikes iran by january 11 2026 946	4	$115	121	0	+121	open	—	01-11 09:15
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	7	$111	85	75	+10	open	—	03-08 02:44
will the 2026 bad bunny super bowl halftime show video get between 125m and 150m views in its first 7 days	10	$106	54	54	+0	open	—	02-14 03:13
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	4	$103	60	50	+10	open	—	02-22 07:51
bknbl mel bri 2026 01 21	2	$100	51	51	+0	open	—	01-21 09:32
us strikes iran by january 18 2026 991	1	$100	101	0	+101	open	—	01-18 07:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-02 22:04:26	will wti dip to 55 in august 2026	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x8fd260…
07-30 16:33:15	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xd7a509…
07-30 06:57:57	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	BUY	80	89¢	$71	0xf96580…
07-30 06:33:56	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x88a0ac…
07-28 16:33:02	will wti reach 130 in july 2026	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x8cc5c2…
07-27 05:05:34	ex cuba leader raul castro in us custody by december 31	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0xd0bc72…
07-26 14:21:25	will wti dip to 70 in july 2026 from july 20	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xab81e0…
07-23 17:50:22	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0xac700f…
07-23 03:41:31	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	BUY	50	85¢	$42	0x045bb2…
07-20 00:45:36	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xb6d406…
07-18 21:53:33	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	England	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0xa3323a…
07-18 21:37:51	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	England	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0xa4e278…
07-18 21:22:28	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	England	BUY	50	72¢	$36	0x0ebad3…
07-17 13:43:30	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x3cff76…
07-15 19:33:19	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	100	81¢	$81	0x1d3e7c…
07-14 19:25:53	Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	100	60¢	$60	0xfd66ce…
07-13 18:47:49	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	40	91¢	$36	0x1c74f6…
07-12 16:23:37	will wti dip to 55 in july 2026	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xbd0fea…
07-12 14:57:35	Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x2ffbaa…
07-12 00:00:32	Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x79ee90…
07-11 22:29:10	Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0x75eb01…
07-11 16:33:22	ex cuba leader raul castro in us custody by december 31	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x226a59…
07-11 12:55:52	ex cuba leader raul castro in us custody by december 31	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xf7bb9c…
07-11 06:02:20	Will Venezuela become 51st state?	No	SELL	15	97¢	$15	0x7fffdc…
07-09 06:21:05	Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	50	53¢	$26	0x7d2b2b…
07-07 17:30:07	ex cuba leader raul castro in us custody by december 31	No	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0xcf05d3…
07-06 21:19:40	ex cuba leader raul castro in us custody by december 31	No	BUY	9	91¢	$8	0xaa7286…
07-06 04:37:04	ex cuba leader raul castro in us custody by december 31	No	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0x0a2069…
07-04 21:56:58	ex cuba leader raul castro in us custody by december 31	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x916c6e…
07-03 20:25:17	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x1af6b9…
07-03 19:59:02	will wti reach 130 in july 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xbbc124…
07-03 03:43:37	fifwc che alg 2026 07 02 team to advance	Switzerland	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0xc8112c…
06-27 15:42:19	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x267092…
06-27 09:05:23	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x364553…
06-26 08:08:11	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xe07b54…
06-21 12:59:55	Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xcefd90…
06-20 12:36:46	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x8a0c0b…
06-19 22:29:34	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xb49aa2…
06-16 12:27:31	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xdb2cd0…
06-16 12:13:21	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x99957d…
06-11 17:42:36	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	25	93¢	$23	0xc5089a…
06-08 15:34:19	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	25	87¢	$22	0x1a5f48…
06-08 14:09:54	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0x0d7143…
06-07 13:54:58	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?	No	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0xb236a6…
06-07 09:17:28	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x3fdd77…
06-07 06:48:01	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0x7ccf4d…
06-06 10:54:39	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0x10043a…
06-06 10:41:40	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0xea9567…
06-05 04:02:33	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xd3b28b…
06-05 00:57:04	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0x97739f…
06-04 21:45:33	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?	No	BUY	25	91¢	$23	0x8f19b9…
06-04 01:24:42	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x69d9cf…
06-04 01:12:00	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?	No	BUY	9	91¢	$8	0xc80980…
06-03 16:10:57	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?	No	BUY	9	91¢	$8	0xadf4c3…
06-03 12:01:59	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?	No	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0xf83e0e…
06-03 11:28:52	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x62443b…
06-02 08:43:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	25	94¢	$24	0xc2f54f…
06-01 16:14:35	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?	No	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x81bcca…
05-31 14:44:20	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x604ade…
05-30 22:24:41	Will Venezuela become 51st state?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0xa044be…
05-28 22:30:37	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	35	88¢	$31	0x853a77…
05-28 04:09:17	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	88¢	$13	0x64d348…
05-10 21:53:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x76abd1…
05-09 22:45:29	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	25	85¢	$21	0x2b59bc…
05-06 11:44:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	11	84¢	$9	0x599afb…
05-06 11:43:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	14	84¢	$12	0xc2a6db…
05-03 23:54:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0xf39b5f…
05-03 20:56:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xbd7f84…
05-03 20:49:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0x103663…
05-03 13:33:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0xa845fc…
05-03 12:42:28	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	44	94¢	$41	0xe3094a…
05-03 12:37:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x87e396…
05-03 11:55:38	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0xb4768f…
05-02 14:29:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	25	77¢	$19	0x88b7f7…
05-02 13:34:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0xcc8b69…
05-02 04:06:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x12a2bd…
05-01 11:25:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	BUY	15	93¢	$14	0xe31af7…
05-01 11:14:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xfa8819…
05-01 10:46:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x55ee31…
05-01 10:06:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0xeefc68…
05-01 08:14:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xef3892…
04-30 07:49:50	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x42faf6…
04-29 13:16:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xf25477…
04-29 11:31:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xf8de43…
04-28 00:13:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x9b84e7…
04-27 23:45:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x8740c8…
04-27 10:55:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x31af4c…
04-27 10:45:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	No	BUY	25	88¢	$22	0x017a89…
04-27 10:37:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x5ec240…
04-25 07:10:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0xabd1ca…
04-25 05:01:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	No	BUY	25	70¢	$18	0x47cac9…
04-24 11:08:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	BUY	46	86¢	$39	0x4ef734…
04-24 11:08:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	BUY	4	86¢	$4	0x6944e7…
04-24 11:05:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	No	BUY	25	74¢	$18	0x489b8a…
04-24 08:43:20	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xd50da9…
04-23 23:22:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	No	BUY	25	64¢	$16	0xd7b5db…
04-23 12:01:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	BUY	30	77¢	$23	0x03f9d2…
04-23 01:40:50	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x1594a1…
04-21 23:05:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x68a619…
04-20 05:30:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x1dced3…