Afraid-Mrna — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$30

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.1%

Resolved

Trades

850

lifetime

Volume

$2.38K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-06

last 07-20 03:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

75% 43% $-19

Other

24% 0% $-10

Sports

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Greg Hull win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?	114	$500	183	736	-554	open	—	04-27 18:45
Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	33	$92	1,246	1,464	-218	open	—	03-04 18:19
will turnout in the second round of the 2026 portuguese presidential election be between 48 and 50	9	$84	99	212	-113	open	—	02-09 13:36
will sarah knafo win the paris mayor election	13	$73	37	37	+0	open	—	03-15 19:11
will seguro win all of portugals districts	7	$71	56	50	+6	open	—	02-08 20:11
Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	33	$66	72	54	+18	No	+$5	02-23 16:26
Will Christina Bohannan be the Democratic Nominee for IA-01?	14	$61	37	28	+8	open	—	04-27 18:22
Will Steve Lanier win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?	25	$44	150	46	+104	open	—	02-27 09:52
will turnout in the second round of the 2026 portuguese presidential election be between 52 and 54	24	$43	451	305	+146	open	—	02-09 19:15
rojas guilty in texas illegal abortion case	24	$43	76	20	+56	open	—	02-17 23:20
will juliana stratton be the democratic nominee for senate in illinois	14	$41	50	50	+0	open	—	03-14 05:14
will turnout in the second round of the 2026 portuguese presidential election be less than 46	5	$38	26	14	+12	open	—	02-08 17:38
will spd win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	4	$38	51	51	+0	open	—	03-22 14:14
will rachida dati win the paris mayor election	15	$33	54	45	+9	open	—	03-17 13:17
will seguro win portugals abroad votes	5	$32	68	9	+59	open	—	02-08 21:08
will jasmine crockett be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	4	$31	82	40	+43	open	—	03-03 02:59
Will José Williams finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	5	$31	44	0	+44	open	—	04-02 19:10
tyler robinson convicted of homicide	6	$30	47	0	+47	open	—	06-29 10:59
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	6	$29	39	39	+0	open	—	03-16 06:15
will grgory doucet win the 2026 lyon mayoral election	7	$29	55	33	+22	open	—	03-22 19:42
will the jne certify results of the second round of the 2026 peruvian presidential elections by july 15 20260608233701772	5	$28	16	30	-14	open	—	06-16 13:42
Will Jasmine Crockett lose the 2026 Texas Senate Democratic Primary Election?	8	$28	34	11	+23	open	—	03-04 01:05
Will Wrexham be promoted to the EPL?	3	$25	16	16	+0	open	—	03-11 02:30
will turnout in the second round of the 2026 portuguese presidential election be between 50 and 52	3	$25	26	26	+0	open	—	02-08 21:35
will nicholas plumb be the republican nominee for tx 02	6	$24	19	7	+12	open	—	03-01 23:41
Will Jo Rae Perkins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?	5	$23	31	0	+31	open	—	04-06 20:08
will benot payan win the marseille mayor election	4	$19	35	35	+0	open	—	03-17 11:52
Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?	3	$19	14	14	+0	open	—	02-27 20:27
Will Trump Airport become law this year?	3	$19	38	0	+38	open	—	06-10 04:33
will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	3	$18	22	0	+22	open	—	02-26 18:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-20 03:16:00	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0xa5d85f…
07-20 03:15:54	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0xf63330…
07-20 03:15:51	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0xe4cc33…
07-20 03:15:40	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x4a3047…
07-20 03:15:39	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0xbe8237…
07-20 02:44:43	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0x93c0ed…
07-20 02:44:40	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xc156ba…
07-20 02:44:40	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x7d17c9…
07-20 02:44:39	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xc44ac7…
07-20 02:44:37	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x51a9fd…
07-18 16:12:45	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	2¢	$0	0x1890e3…
07-18 07:14:01	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0xfde6ed…
07-18 07:14:01	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x615414…
07-18 07:14:01	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x512b59…
07-18 07:14:00	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0xee7b55…
07-18 07:14:00	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0xc33f3b…
07-18 07:14:00	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x7feda2…
07-18 07:14:00	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x59078b…
07-18 07:14:00	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x3c02a5…
07-18 07:14:00	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x0eaf9e…
07-18 07:13:58	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x206150…
07-18 06:55:49	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x0e64d0…
07-18 06:55:15	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xb904e9…
07-18 06:55:15	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x56be64…
07-18 06:55:15	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x14b39a…
07-18 06:55:10	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xb15d5a…
07-18 06:55:10	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x19a548…
07-18 06:54:01	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x772570…
07-18 06:53:55	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xc5bd42…
07-18 06:53:52	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x6f0a17…
07-18 06:53:51	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0x630fde…
07-17 02:10:31	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0xe8538a…
07-17 02:09:54	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0xa80c49…
07-17 02:09:51	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x024827…
07-17 02:09:49	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0xdd59ec…
07-17 02:09:49	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x4cd7be…
07-17 02:09:48	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x326a71…
07-17 02:09:48	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x2e483c…
07-17 02:09:46	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0xfbbdfe…
07-17 02:09:46	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x9b327b…
07-17 02:09:45	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0xcc978f…
07-17 01:54:54	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x2862cb…
07-17 01:49:25	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xcd0f4c…
07-17 01:49:22	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xb3584f…
07-17 01:49:18	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x9c61e4…
07-17 01:49:16	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xd95d8b…
07-17 01:49:16	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x26fe32…
07-17 01:49:15	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xd5ce05…
07-17 01:49:15	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xb0fa2e…
07-17 01:49:15	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x2f82d1…
07-16 01:36:53	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x1e38cb…
07-16 01:36:40	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x977e5a…
07-16 01:36:35	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x5bec8c…
07-16 01:36:31	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x8e07da…
07-16 01:36:23	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x8d2221…
07-15 03:52:41	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0x75382d…
07-15 03:22:34	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0xd8444d…
07-15 03:22:22	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x5c25f5…
07-15 03:22:22	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x510ade…
07-15 03:22:20	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x62cd81…
07-15 03:22:20	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x2a7675…
07-14 04:43:29	will franois asselineau advance to the second round of the next french presidential election	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xc9a201…
07-13 12:48:02	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	Yes	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x9fa1ab…
07-13 12:05:46	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	Yes	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x4b87a4…
07-13 03:17:14	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xfd7a05…
07-13 03:17:14	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x26c7d8…
07-10 10:55:11	will franois asselineau advance to the second round of the next french presidential election	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x18c427…
07-07 11:46:37	Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?	No	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0x46c522…
07-06 21:43:10	Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?	No	BUY	2	79¢	$1	0xdae726…
07-06 21:42:56	Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x98c644…
07-01 13:43:41	will gavin solomon advance from the ak al primary election	Yes	BUY	26	24¢	$6	0x39a2a9…
06-29 10:59:01	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	No	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x1fc9c4…
06-29 10:55:19	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	No	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x406775…
06-29 10:44:56	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	No	BUY	9	63¢	$6	0x93e9c6…
06-29 10:44:08	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	No	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0xebb2e4…
06-29 10:43:01	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	No	BUY	9	66¢	$6	0xb3fdc4…
06-29 10:32:02	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x96e843…
06-28 14:28:10	will franois asselineau advance to the second round of the next french presidential election	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xc5748c…
06-27 20:47:05	Will Matt Claman advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?	No	SELL	12	80¢	$10	0xd05e19…
06-27 20:47:05	Will Matt Claman advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?	No	SELL	3	80¢	$3	0x64b867…
06-27 20:47:04	Will Matt Claman advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?	No	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0xe71e92…
06-25 22:53:28	will marine tondelier advance to the second round of the next french presidential election	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xe92b53…
06-25 20:07:47	Will Iran legalize gay marriage?	Yes	SELL	78	2¢	$2	0xf7a718…
06-25 10:59:34	Will Iran legalize gay marriage?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x8b2e61…
06-25 10:49:32	Will Iran legalize gay marriage?	Yes	BUY	79	2¢	$2	0xe86679…
06-25 00:46:20	will franois asselineau advance to the second round of the next french presidential election	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0xb0b25c…
06-25 00:46:19	will clmentine autain advance to the second round of the next french presidential election	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x3872c4…
06-25 00:46:14	will franois asselineau advance to the second round of the next french presidential election	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x2a6c54…
06-25 00:45:38	will sgolne royal advance to the second round of the next french presidential election	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xdc93d6…
06-25 00:45:19	will fabien roussel advance to the second round of the next french presidential election	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x1d996a…
06-25 00:45:01	will marine tondelier advance to the second round of the next french presidential election	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x0a4e53…
06-25 00:44:38	will franois ruffin advance to the second round of the next french presidential election	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xa0fb58…
06-25 00:43:58	will xavier bertrand advance to the second round of the next french presidential election	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xd776a2…
06-24 18:18:56	Will Donald Trump visit South Dakota in 2026?	No	BUY	9	65¢	$6	0x12c12a…
06-18 00:03:43	will the announcers say nutmeg meg during the canada vs qatar fifa world cup match 20260616212316354	No	SELL	6	75¢	$4	0x290274…
06-17 23:45:29	will the announcers say nutmeg meg during the canada vs qatar fifa world cup match 20260616212316354	No	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0x585aea…
06-17 19:41:35	Will Laurent Wauquiez be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0xd5aa11…
06-17 02:06:13	will jared kushner attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204741	Yes	SELL	3	68¢	$2	0x79565b…
06-17 01:28:32	will jared kushner attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204741	Yes	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x38364a…
06-17 01:22:13	Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x2ad86a…