Afraid-Mrna 0x9f4446…b97470
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$305
Unrealized P&L
+$27
Hit rate
48.6%
Resolved
191
Trades
1,638
lifetime
Volume
$4.07K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$127
19 positions
First seen
2026-02-06
last 10-23 09:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 86 days
Categories
Politics
74% 42% -$401
Other
25% 44% +$95
Sports
1% 75% -$5
Tech
0% 100% +$6
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
32 active days in 12wk • peak 51 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
tyler robinson convicted of homicide No +47 $30 90¢ $43 +$12 06-29 10:59
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +53 $4 29¢ $15 +$11 08-23 20:12
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No -15 -$9 82¢ $-13 -$4 09-07 09:25
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -51 -$11 18¢ $-10 +$1 06-12 18:57
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +11 $6 68¢ $7 +$1 08-14 22:42
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes -10 -$7 72¢ $-7 +$0 07-12 07:50
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +18 $6 28¢ $5 -$1 06-14 16:39
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +10 $6 45¢ $4 -$2 06-07 02:29
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +12 $1 33¢ $4 +$3 07-10 07:22
Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? No -21 -$5 20¢ $-4 +$1 05-20 04:44
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026? Yes -155 -$3 3¢ $-4 -$1 10-23 09:56
Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026? No -60 -$16 6¢ $-4 +$12 07-07 03:13
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? Yes +17 $6 14¢ $2 -$4 06-08 21:26
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +209 $7 1¢ $2 -$5 05-16 00:26
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -49 -$2 3¢ $-2 +$0 05-08 18:46
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +171 $6 1¢ $1 -$4 07-07 19:59
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? No -5 -$1 8¢ $-0 +$1 05-09 18:28
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes -43 -$5 0¢ $-0 +$5 09-11 13:34
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes -4 -$1 0¢ $-0 +$1 06-01 21:10