Popular-Depth 0x0f1893…145b28
whale bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$86
Unrealized P&L
+$26
Hit rate
48.6%
Resolved
33
Trades
21,046
lifetime
Volume
$127.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$1.21K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-01
last 06-11 21:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Other
68% 20% $-35
Politics
29% 69% $-45
Crypto
2% 60% $-6
Sports
1% — —
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
72 active days in 12wk • peak 5513 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? No -116 $-108 98¢ $-114 $-6 06-11 09:55
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +131 $101 82¢ $107 +$5 06-09 12:46
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -76 $-74 98¢ $-75 $-1 06-10 17:41
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes +154 $48 48¢ $75 +$27 06-11 21:25
Iran coup attempt by June 30? No +63 $60 97¢ $61 +$2 05-29 17:52
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +109 $62 56¢ $61 $-1 05-29 08:40
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +62 $60 96¢ $60 $-0 06-09 23:06
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +70 $30 84¢ $59 +$29 06-07 21:49
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +64 $48 92¢ $58 +$11 06-10 23:40
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +129 $60 44¢ $58 $-2 06-07 03:50
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No -78 $-55 72¢ $-56 $-1 06-11 06:10
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +53 $48 91¢ $48 $-0 06-08 01:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +225 $61 20¢ $44 $-17 06-01 17:44
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Yes +46 $32 76¢ $35 +$3 06-09 00:19
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? No +37 $32 93¢ $34 +$3 06-06 22:34
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? No +87 $60 36¢ $31 $-29 06-11 15:17
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +30 $20 100¢ $30 +$10 06-07 22:50
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? Yes +313 $30 9¢ $29 $-2 06-11 09:34
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +37 $26 76¢ $28 +$2 06-05 10:13
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +27 $23 88¢ $24 +$1 06-10 21:49
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No -22 $-22 99¢ $-21 +$1 06-11 06:14
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027? No +22 $20 90¢ $20 $-0 06-09 18:55
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +23 $23 82¢ $19 $-4 06-11 07:48
Will Elon register any party before 2027? No +16 $15 95¢ $15 +$0 06-06 21:32
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +40 $13 29¢ $11 $-1 06-02 11:22
Trump out as President by June 30? No -11 $-11 99¢ $-11 $-0 06-10 15:23
Netanyahu out by June 30? No +7 $8 98¢ $7 $-1 06-06 03:26
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No +7 $6 96¢ $7 +$0 06-11 06:09
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No +6 $7 98¢ $6 $-1 06-10 23:26
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +3 $1 44¢ $1 +$0 06-09 14:33