Realized P&L
-$86
Unrealized P&L
-$12
Hit rate
48.6%
Resolved
33
Trades
22,258
lifetime
Volume
$139.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$692
27 positions
First seen
2026-04-01
last 07-23 06:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Other
66% 20% $-35
Politics
29% 69% $-45
Crypto
2% 60% $-6
Sports
1%
Tech
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 5513 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +109 $62 64¢ $71 +$9 05-29 08:40
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No -78 $-55 78¢ $-61 $-6 06-11 06:10
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +66 $50 88¢ $58 +$8 07-06 01:08
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No +64 $50 84¢ $54 +$4 07-06 09:26
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes +129 $50 40¢ $52 +$2 07-20 13:14
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +77 $50 66¢ $51 +$2 07-06 20:43
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +53 $48 94¢ $50 +$2 06-08 01:59
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +129 $60 36¢ $46 $-14 06-07 03:50
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? No +37 $32 91¢ $34 +$2 06-06 22:34
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +37 $26 74¢ $28 +$1 06-05 10:13
Will Donald Trump visit Pakistan in 2026? No +22 $20 94¢ $21 +$1 07-03 08:47
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027? No +22 $20 93¢ $20 +$0 06-09 18:55
Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027? No +24 $20 85¢ $20 +$0 06-27 11:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +20 $20 99¢ $20 +$0 07-20 01:14
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +27 $30 70¢ $19 $-10 07-23 01:53
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +19 $11 86¢ $16 +$5 07-15 06:18
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? Yes +313 $30 $16 $-15 06-11 09:34
Will Elon register any party before 2027? No +16 $15 97¢ $16 +$0 06-06 21:32
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? No +17 $8 60¢ $10 +$2 06-29 16:42
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +40 $13 22¢ $9 $-4 06-02 11:22
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +13 $10 67¢ $9 $-1 07-17 16:02
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +9 $7 90¢ $8 +$1 07-23 10:39
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? No +2 $2 70¢ $2 $-0 07-22 23:10
US recession by end of 2026? No -2 $-1 88¢ $-1 $-0 06-11 06:10
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +1 $1 89¢ $1 $-0 07-22 13:42
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +0 $2 34¢ $0 $-2 07-16 02:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +3 $1 $0 $-1 06-09 14:33