Popular-Depth 0x0f1893…145b28
whale bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$86
Unrealized P&L
-$42
Hit rate
48.6%
Resolved
33
Trades
20,992
lifetime
Volume
$126.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$1.17K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-01
last 06-11 00:25
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Other
69% 20% $-35
Politics
28% 69% $-45
Crypto
2% 60% $-6
Sports
1% — —
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
72 active days in 12wk • peak 5513 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? No -110 $-102 98¢ $-108 $-6 06-10 20:40
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No +108 $107 99¢ $107 +$1 06-02 21:00
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +131 $101 82¢ $107 +$5 06-09 12:46
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -76 $-74 98¢ $-75 $-1 06-10 17:41
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +62 $60 97¢ $60 $-0 06-09 23:06
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +64 $48 94¢ $60 +$12 06-10 23:40
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +109 $62 55¢ $60 $-2 05-29 08:40
Iran coup attempt by June 30? No +63 $60 93¢ $59 $-1 05-29 17:52
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +129 $60 46¢ $59 $-1 06-07 03:50
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +70 $30 70¢ $48 +$19 06-07 21:49
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +53 $48 91¢ $48 $-0 06-08 01:59
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? No +37 $32 93¢ $34 +$3 06-06 22:34
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +38 $27 90¢ $34 +$7 06-10 07:13
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Yes +46 $32 68¢ $31 $-1 06-09 00:19
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +30 $20 100¢ $30 +$10 06-07 22:50
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes +191 $60 16¢ $30 $-30 06-05 18:32
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30? No +30 $31 92¢ $28 $-3 06-10 15:17
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No +29 $27 94¢ $27 +$0 06-02 18:21
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +37 $26 70¢ $26 $-0 06-05 10:13
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +27 $23 86¢ $23 +$1 06-10 21:49
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +30 $28 78¢ $23 $-5 06-11 01:58
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027? No +22 $20 88¢ $19 $-1 06-09 18:55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +225 $61 8¢ $17 $-44 06-01 17:44
Will Elon register any party before 2027? No +16 $15 95¢ $15 +$0 06-06 21:32
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +40 $13 29¢ $11 $-1 06-02 11:22
Trump out as President by June 30? No -11 $-11 99¢ $-11 $-0 06-10 15:23
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +11 $8 72¢ $8 $-0 06-02 11:58
Netanyahu out by June 30? No +7 $8 98¢ $7 $-1 06-06 03:26
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No +6 $7 97¢ $6 $-1 06-10 23:26
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? No +2 $2 68¢ $2 $-0 06-10 23:44