Realized P&L
-$86
Unrealized P&L
-$53
Hit rate
48.6%
Resolved
33
Trades
21,502
lifetime
Volume
$132.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$533
21 positions
First seen
2026-04-01
last 07-02 18:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Other
67% 20% $-35
Politics
29% 69% $-45
Crypto
2% 60% $-6
Sports
1%
Tech
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 5513 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +109 $62 58¢ $64 +$2 05-29 08:40
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No -78 $-55 76¢ $-59 $-4 06-11 06:10
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +129 $60 42¢ $54 $-6 06-07 03:50
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +53 $48 94¢ $49 +$1 06-08 01:59
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? No +37 $32 89¢ $33 +$1 06-06 22:34
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +46 $25 71¢ $33 +$7 07-02 19:44
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +37 $26 84¢ $31 +$5 06-05 10:13
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? Yes +313 $30 $25 $-6 06-11 09:34
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +27 $23 92¢ $25 +$2 06-10 21:49
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No -26 $-29 88¢ $-23 +$6 06-12 12:54
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027? No +22 $20 92¢ $20 +$0 06-09 18:55
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? Yes +21 $20 97¢ $20 +$0 06-18 03:38
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +23 $23 86¢ $20 $-3 06-11 07:48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 $-1 06-27 12:40
Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027? No +24 $20 81¢ $19 $-1 06-27 11:14
Will Elon register any party before 2027? No +16 $15 94¢ $15 $-0 06-06 21:32
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? No +17 $8 60¢ $10 +$2 06-29 16:42
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +40 $13 24¢ $10 $-3 06-02 11:22
US recession by end of 2026? No -2 $-1 88¢ $-1 $-0 06-11 06:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +3 $1 26¢ $1 $-0 06-09 14:33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +225 $57 $1 $-56 06-14 22:41