Realized P&L
-$51
Unrealized P&L
+$44
Hit rate
6.2%
Resolved
8
Trades
1,460
lifetime
Volume
$29.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$20
Open exposure
$501
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-08 08:14
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
77% 0% $-31
Other
16% 50% $-3
Sports
6% 50% $-17
Tech
1%
Crypto
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
50 active days in 12wk • peak 314 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? Yes +53 $50 91¢ $48 $-2 05-31 11:38
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? No -66 $-32 50¢ $-33 $-1 05-28 08:57
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? No +33 $20 80¢ $26 +$7 06-04 18:14
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? No +22 $20 94¢ $21 +$1 06-08 02:16
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting? No +21 $20 97¢ $21 +$1 06-06 17:55
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? Yes +38 $20 50¢ $19 $-1 05-30 15:51
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? Yes +29 $20 66¢ $19 $-1 06-03 23:52
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +32 $20 60¢ $19 $-1 05-28 04:08
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? No +91 $10 20¢ $19 +$9 06-03 23:41
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +26 $18 71¢ $18 +$0 06-05 20:00
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No +24 $19 76¢ $18 $-1 05-28 02:35
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? No +18 $16 96¢ $18 +$2 05-31 23:55
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T No +18 $16 94¢ $17 +$1 06-07 23:52
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +18 $15 88¢ $16 +$1 05-28 12:42
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? No +24 $10 66¢ $16 +$6 06-04 18:14
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? No +15 $10 100¢ $15 +$5 06-01 02:28
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +25 $10 55¢ $14 +$4 06-03 20:29
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? No +34 $10 40¢ $14 +$4 06-04 18:20
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? No +137 $10 $13 +$3 06-05 13:49
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? No +12 $10 93¢ $12 +$2 06-03 11:12
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Yes +145 $10 $11 +$1 05-31 20:36
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +15 $10 74¢ $11 +$1 06-04 22:43
GTA 6 launch postponed again? Yes +48 $10 24¢ $11 +$1 05-30 12:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +12 $10 90¢ $11 +$1 06-05 22:44
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? No +14 $10 77¢ $11 +$1 06-05 23:30
Will Silver (SI) settle over $95 on the final trading day of June 2026? No +11 $10 97¢ $10 +$0 06-01 05:18
Will Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +11 $10 98¢ $10 +$0 06-03 21:45
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +13 $10 80¢ $10 +$0 06-05 16:17
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +11 $10 97¢ $10 +$0 06-05 21:13
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? No +10 $10 98¢ $10 +$0 06-04 13:06