Realized P&L
-$51
Unrealized P&L
+$44
Hit rate
6.2%
Resolved
8
Trades
1,460
lifetime
Volume
$29.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$20
Open exposure
$501
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-08 08:14
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
77%
0%
$-31
Other
16%
50%
$-3
Sports
6%
50%
$-17
Tech
1%
—
—
Crypto
1%
—
—
Pop-Culture
0%
—
—
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
50 active days in 12wk
• peak 314 trades/day
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| will israel strike lebanon on january 4 2026 | 17 | $1.1K | 810 | 648 | +161 | open | — | 01-04 15:34 |
| will israel strike gaza on january 9 2026 | 22 | $961 | 947 | 573 | +374 | open | — | 01-10 17:30 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | 55 | $941 | 728 | 636 | +92 | open | — | 04-29 21:37 |
| us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165 | 23 | $835 | 4,408 | 1,053 | +3,354 | open | — | 01-31 13:56 |
| will israel strike lebanon on january 5 2026 | 11 | $812 | 1,283 | 160 | +1,123 | open | — | 01-05 14:25 |
| will israel strike lebanon on january 22 2026 | 15 | $667 | 1,483 | 1,007 | +476 | open | — | 01-22 13:10 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | 18 | $648 | 1,118 | 677 | +441 | open | — | 02-01 13:15 |
| will israel strike lebanon on january 7 2026 | 9 | $607 | 604 | 200 | +404 | open | — | 01-07 12:50 |
| will israel strike gaza on january 7 2026 | 33 | $562 | 4,101 | 395 | +3,706 | open | — | 01-07 18:39 |
| US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? | 9 | $539 | 761 | 536 | +225 | open | — | 01-13 14:28 |
| will israel strike lebanon on january 16 2026 | 44 | $529 | 8,230 | 1,124 | +7,107 | open | — | 01-20 09:31 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | 32 | $510 | 19,138 | 19,138 | +0 | open | — | 04-29 21:36 |
| will israel strike lebanon on february 1 2026 | 6 | $482 | 450 | 112 | +337 | open | — | 02-01 11:28 |
| Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026? | 25 | $450 | 235 | 225 | +9 | open | — | 04-22 01:38 |
| Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga? | 34 | $437 | 1,897 | 1,468 | +429 | No | $-12 | 04-25 21:52 |
| Iran leadership change by April 30? | 38 | $417 | 2,162 | 1,752 | +410 | open | — | 04-25 17:28 |
| will israel strike gaza on january 4 2026 | 25 | $409 | 1,506 | 506 | +1,000 | open | — | 01-05 09:03 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | 2 | $408 | 263 | 263 | +0 | open | — | 04-03 21:05 |
| ufc jproch car6 2026 04 11 totals 4pt5 | 1 | $400 | 500 | 0 | +500 | open | — | 04-12 02:02 |
| will israel strike gaza on january 26 2026 | 11 | $376 | 610 | 202 | +408 | open | — | 01-26 17:26 |
| Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026? | 21 | $370 | 207 | 176 | +31 | open | — | 04-21 09:44 |
| Will Malta win Eurovision 2026? | 20 | $370 | 192 | 182 | +10 | open | — | 04-21 09:38 |
| us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498 | 7 | $351 | 1,663 | 100 | +1,563 | open | — | 01-16 09:35 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | 2 | $331 | 233 | 233 | +0 | open | — | 01-30 20:52 |
| us strikes iran by january 26 2026 337 214 511 | 6 | $326 | 2,200 | 300 | +1,900 | open | — | 01-26 07:18 |
| us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155 | 11 | $323 | 5,529 | 0 | +5,529 | open | — | 01-23 23:04 |
| will israel strike lebanon on january 2 2026 | 11 | $308 | 35,594 | 0 | +35,594 | open | — | 01-02 12:19 |
| will the us invade venezuela by january 31 2026 | 7 | $294 | 1,122 | 445 | +677 | open | — | 01-03 18:05 |
| will israel strike gaza on january 19 2026 | 8 | $275 | 857 | 183 | +674 | open | — | 01-20 06:57 |
| will khamenei leave iran by march 31 224 161 138 998 | 4 | $274 | 1,010 | 0 | +1,010 | open | — | 01-26 14:22 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | 248 | $2.37M | 40,733 | 06-10 04:59 |
| Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab | 244 | $811.2K | 62,803 | 06-01 05:22 |
| Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | 232 | $45.1M | 68,590 | 06-10 05:15 |
| Vacant-Challenge 0x3078…0389 | 219 | $403.7K | 47,725 | 06-09 20:47 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | 215 | $37.9K | 7,045 | 06-10 03:41 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | 214 | $307.8K | 3,531 | 06-09 14:07 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | 213 | $150.6K | 14,914 | 06-08 05:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | 201 | $29.2K | 14,067 | 06-09 19:14 |