Realized P&L
-$3.41K
Unrealized P&L
+$275
Hit rate
39.7%
Resolved
495
Trades
2,292
lifetime
Volume
$38.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$17
Open exposure
$878
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 09:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 153 days
Categories
Politics
66% 41% -$1,433
Other
21% 48% -$820
Sports
10% 42% -$1,088
Tech
2% 47% -$50
Crypto
1% 40% -$17
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +55 $30 94¢ $52 +$22 07-24 15:06
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -51 -$43 86¢ $-44 -$1 08-04 14:44
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No +43 $27 92¢ $40 +$13 05-18 00:07
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +53 $20 70¢ $37 +$17 05-29 17:32
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +88 $10 40¢ $36 +$26 07-07 14:28
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +188 $30 19¢ $35 +$5 06-05 23:26
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +36 $20 97¢ $35 +$15 05-06 13:31
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +33 $10 97¢ $32 +$22 05-20 19:50
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? No +32 $30 100¢ $32 +$2 06-28 19:06
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +34 $20 92¢ $32 +$12 06-15 08:12
Trump out as President before 2027? No +32 $27 97¢ $31 +$4 04-29 18:36
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +32 $15 93¢ $29 +$14 06-19 21:05
Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026? No +32 $20 90¢ $29 +$9 07-30 16:22
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +29 $20 98¢ $29 +$9 05-28 19:37
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +39 $17 72¢ $28 +$11 06-16 04:59
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +39 $17 72¢ $28 +$11 06-14 14:03
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? No +27 $20 99¢ $27 +$7 06-16 16:27
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes +26 $10 100¢ $26 +$16 05-12 16:58
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +26 $20 100¢ $26 +$6 05-25 11:00
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +25 $20 99¢ $25 +$5 05-27 14:15
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No +25 $20 98¢ $24 +$4 05-31 15:25
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No +28 $10 88¢ $24 +$14 06-03 01:24
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +32 $20 76¢ $24 +$4 05-28 04:08
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No +24 $19 97¢ $23 +$4 05-28 02:35
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +23 $10 97¢ $22 +$12 06-13 01:16
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +23 $20 96¢ $22 +$2 05-04 00:17
New pandemic in 2026? No +22 $20 97¢ $22 +$2 06-15 10:25
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +24 $20 90¢ $21 +$1 07-30 14:53
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? No +23 $20 92¢ $21 +$1 07-29 05:52
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No +23 $18 94¢ $21 +$3 06-26 16:54