Realized P&L
-$51
Unrealized P&L
+$41
Hit rate
6.2%
Resolved
8
Trades
1,541
lifetime
Volume
$30.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$20
Open exposure
$548
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 07:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
75% 0% $-31
Other
16% 50% $-3
Sports
7% 50% $-17
Tech
1%
Crypto
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
56 active days in 12wk • peak 314 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Netanyahu out by June 30? No -54 $-53 100¢ $-54 $-0 06-20 18:51
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? No -66 $-32 48¢ $-32 $-0 05-28 08:57
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? No +27 $20 82¢ $22 +$2 06-16 16:27
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +32 $15 70¢ $22 +$7 06-19 21:05
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? No +22 $20 100¢ $22 +$2 06-08 02:16
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +26 $18 84¢ $22 +$3 06-05 20:00
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No +24 $19 91¢ $22 +$3 05-28 02:35
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +32 $20 66¢ $21 +$1 05-28 04:08
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting? No +21 $20 98¢ $21 +$1 06-06 17:55
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +23 $20 86¢ $20 $-0 06-28 04:51
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? Yes +38 $20 52¢ $20 $-0 05-30 15:51
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No +23 $18 82¢ $19 +$0 06-26 16:54
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? No +18 $16 100¢ $18 +$2 05-31 23:55
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +23 $10 74¢ $17 +$7 06-13 01:16
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +18 $15 90¢ $17 +$1 05-28 12:42
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? No +19 $17 89¢ $17 $-0 06-28 23:23
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +17 $15 92¢ $16 +$0 06-30 04:41
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30? No +16 $15 100¢ $16 +$1 06-17 17:41
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? Yes +18 $16 84¢ $15 $-1 06-17 16:43
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +17 $16 86¢ $15 $-1 06-19 06:38
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30? No +14 $13 99¢ $14 +$1 06-17 17:02
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +43 $18 31¢ $13 $-4 06-29 09:37
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +25 $10 52¢ $13 +$3 06-03 20:29
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +16 $10 80¢ $13 +$3 06-13 17:18
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? No +12 $10 100¢ $12 +$2 06-03 11:12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +12 $10 99¢ $12 +$2 06-05 22:44
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +15 $10 74¢ $11 +$1 06-04 22:43
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? No +12 $10 92¢ $11 +$1 06-01 02:51
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +11 $10 100¢ $11 +$1 06-05 10:09
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +13 $10 84¢ $11 +$1 06-05 16:17