Realized P&L
-$51
Unrealized P&L
+$55
Hit rate
6.2%
Resolved
8
Trades
1,608
lifetime
Volume
$31.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$19
Open exposure
$549
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-20 19:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
74% 0% $-31
Other
17% 50% $-3
Sports
7% 50% $-17
Tech
1%
Crypto
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
56 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? No -66 $-32 50¢ $-33 $-1 05-28 08:57
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +32 $15 78¢ $25 +$10 06-19 21:05
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? No +27 $20 84¢ $23 +$3 06-16 16:27
SHEIN IPO before 2027? Yes +24 $7 88¢ $21 +$14 07-10 09:54
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No +24 $19 90¢ $21 +$3 05-28 02:35
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +32 $20 66¢ $21 +$1 05-28 04:08
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting? No +21 $20 100¢ $21 +$1 06-06 17:55
Anduril Industries IPO before 2027? No +22 $20 92¢ $20 +$0 07-05 02:16
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? Yes +40 $20 50¢ $20 +$0 07-07 09:39
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? Yes +38 $20 50¢ $19 $-1 05-30 15:51
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No +23 $18 85¢ $19 +$1 06-26 16:54
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +21 $20 90¢ $19 $-1 07-14 11:50
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +23 $10 80¢ $19 +$9 06-13 01:16
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +26 $18 70¢ $18 $-0 06-05 20:00
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? No +20 $17 91¢ $18 +$1 07-15 22:14
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +37 $20 48¢ $18 $-2 07-05 08:25
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +18 $15 94¢ $17 +$2 05-28 12:42
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? No +19 $17 91¢ $17 +$0 06-28 23:23
Will Unit launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +17 $16 96¢ $17 +$0 07-13 10:34
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? Yes +18 $16 88¢ $16 +$0 06-17 16:43
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? No +17 $16 94¢ $16 $-0 07-01 06:28
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +17 $16 92¢ $16 +$0 06-19 06:38
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +17 $15 92¢ $15 $-0 06-30 04:41
Trump out as President before GTA VI? No +30 $15 50¢ $15 +$0 07-14 19:31
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? No +16 $15 94¢ $15 +$0 07-01 10:36
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No +28 $10 55¢ $15 +$5 06-03 01:24
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +25 $10 60¢ $15 +$5 06-03 20:29
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +16 $10 86¢ $14 +$4 06-13 17:18
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? Yes +57 $12 22¢ $13 +$1 07-04 09:11
Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes +13 $12 98¢ $13 +$0 07-19 18:49