Troubled-Lining 0xdbc45d…4f4347
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$39
Unrealized P&L
-$232
Hit rate
72.8%
Resolved
247
Trades
9,407
lifetime
Volume
$63.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$123
24 positions
First seen
2026-04-15
last 07-05 08:25
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Politics
62% 62% $-24
Crypto
26% 77% +$97
Other
10% 25% $-35
Tech
1% — —
Sports
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk • peak 1092 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +449 $61 12¢ $56 $-5 06-21 16:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +30 $22 100¢ $30 +$8 06-15 04:46
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +13 $12 100¢ $13 +$1 06-20 15:09
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -12 $-10 88¢ $-11 $-1 06-01 19:01
US strike on Colombia by December 31? No -8 $-6 80¢ $-7 $-0 06-16 17:04
GTA 6 launch postponed again? Yes -43 $-5 10¢ $-4 +$1 06-29 11:25
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No -1 $1 80¢ $-1 $-2 06-19 21:01
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No +1 $-0 100¢ $1 +$1 06-29 11:26
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +3 $1 16¢ $1 $-0 06-09 14:33
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes +212 $184 0¢ $0 $-184 07-02 21:11
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $1 38¢ $0 $-1 06-19 21:00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +0 $6 24¢ $0 $-6 06-19 20:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +20 $34 0¢ $0 $-34 06-22 14:16
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +0 $-0 88¢ $0 +$0 07-01 06:46
Will Donald Trump visit Turkey in 2026? Yes +0 $1 98¢ $0 $-1 06-19 21:02
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? No +0 $-0 90¢ $0 +$1 06-19 21:00
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +0 $-0 95¢ $0 +$0 06-19 21:00
Will Elon register any party before 2027? No +0 $0 95¢ $0 $-0 06-19 21:00
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +0 $5 72¢ $0 $-5 06-18 23:57
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? Yes +0 $0 24¢ $0 +$0 06-19 21:00
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +0 $6 28¢ $0 $-6 06-19 21:02
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? Yes +0 $0 24¢ $0 $-0 06-29 11:26
Will Elon register any party before 2027? Yes +0 $0 5¢ $0 $-0 06-06 21:28
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? No +0 $-3 0¢ $0 +$3 06-19 23:52