Troubled-Lining 0xdbc45d…4f4347
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Realized P&L
-$504
Unrealized P&L
+$4
Hit rate
63.7%
Resolved
941
Trades
13,919
lifetime
Volume
$91.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$345
18 positions
First seen
2026-04-15
last 10-10 12:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 122 days
Categories
Politics
60% 54% -$384
Crypto
20% 69% +$288
Other
17% 53% -$331
Sports
2% 53% +$1
Tech
1% 55% -$78
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
21 active days in 12wk • peak 243 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -411 -$348 82¢ $-335 +$13 08-26 09:39
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? Yes -9 -$4 82¢ $-7 -$4 05-27 17:37
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes -13 -$7 20¢ $-3 +$5 05-27 17:37
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 +$0 05-27 17:37
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? No +0 $1 97¢ $0 -$1 07-25 16:32
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +0 $0 97¢ $0 +$0 05-27 17:37
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +0 $2 74¢ $0 -$2 06-19 21:01
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +0 $0 90¢ $0 +$0 07-01 06:46
US strike on Colombia by December 31? No +0 $0 80¢ $0 +$0 06-16 17:04
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? No +0 $0 92¢ $0 +$1 06-19 21:00
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? No +0 $0 96¢ $0 +$0 05-07 13:33
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? Yes +0 $0 44¢ $0 +$0 06-19 21:00
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +0 $0 96¢ $0 +$0 06-19 21:00
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +0 $5 87¢ $0 -$5 06-18 23:57
will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128 Yes +0 -$3 94¢ $0 +$3 08-11 01:02
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +0 -$1 10¢ $0 +$1 05-27 17:37
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +0 $6 13¢ $0 -$6 06-19 21:02
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes +0 $0 2¢ $0 $0 05-27 17:37