Large-Ecology 0x428208…f93455
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Realized P&L
-$21
Unrealized P&L
-$34
Hit rate
49.5%
Resolved
24
Trades
15,786
lifetime
Volume
$34.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$178
28 positions
First seen
2026-02-28
last 06-30 21:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Politics
77% 67% +$10
Other
14% 25% $-20
Crypto
7% 40% $-11
Tech
0% — —
Sports
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 744 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +51 $39 99¢ $51 +$12 06-15 04:27
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +77 $36 44¢ $34 $-2 06-29 08:30
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No +16 $15 100¢ $16 +$1 06-03 08:54
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? Yes +15 $14 100¢ $15 +$1 06-29 18:18
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +13 $10 74¢ $10 $-0 06-16 15:10
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +7 $6 93¢ $6 +$0 06-08 01:59
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +9 $5 70¢ $6 +$1 06-12 17:44
GTA 6 launch postponed again? Yes +57 $9 11¢ $6 $-3 06-22 16:52
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +6 $1 100¢ $6 +$4 06-07 19:50
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? Yes +20 $5 26¢ $5 +$0 06-04 21:56
Will Donald Trump visit Turkey in 2026? Yes +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 06-17 19:47
US strike on Colombia by December 31? No +6 $5 80¢ $5 +$0 06-16 17:03
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? No +3 $3 90¢ $3 +$0 06-06 22:34
Will Elon register any party before 2027? No +2 $2 95¢ $2 +$0 06-06 21:32
US strike on Colombia by December 31? Yes +9 $2 20¢ $2 +$0 06-10 02:44
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +4 $1 30¢ $1 +$0 06-09 14:33
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31? Yes +2 $1 50¢ $1 +$0 06-23 06:16
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -1 $-1 86¢ $-1 +$0 06-14 21:45
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? No +12 $1 7¢ $1 $-0 06-25 20:18
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No -1 $-1 94¢ $-1 +$0 06-22 14:01
Will Elon register any party before 2027? Yes +11 $1 5¢ $0 $-1 06-06 21:26
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +84 $38 1¢ $0 $-38 06-30 20:21
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +1 $2 15¢ $0 $-1 06-21 16:04
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes +43 $8 0¢ $0 $-8 06-15 18:25
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +35 $-5 0¢ $0 +$5 06-16 13:26
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30? Yes +28 $1 0¢ $0 $-1 06-17 17:39
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? Yes +50 $1 0¢ $0 $-1 06-02 21:20
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +6 $4 0¢ $0 $-4 06-07 19:16