Large-Ecology 0x428208…f93455
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Realized P&L
-$21
Unrealized P&L
-$12
Hit rate
49.5%
Resolved
24
Trades
16,423
lifetime
Volume
$35.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$110
18 positions
First seen
2026-02-28
last 07-20 23:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Politics
77% 67% +$10
Other
15% 25% $-20
Crypto
7% 40% $-11
Sports
1% — —
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 318 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +91 $69 74¢ $67 $-3 07-20 14:26
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No -15 $-9 60¢ $-9 $-1 07-13 10:03
Trump goes to space in 2026? No -8 $-8 98¢ $-8 $-0 07-13 10:03
US strike on Colombia by December 31? No +6 $5 82¢ $5 +$0 06-16 17:03
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes -17 $-3 22¢ $-4 $-0 07-13 10:03
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? No +3 $3 92¢ $3 +$0 06-06 22:34
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? Yes +14 $3 21¢ $3 $-0 07-15 15:07
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No -3 $-2 80¢ $-2 $-1 07-13 10:03
Will Elon register any party before 2027? No +2 $2 97¢ $2 +$0 06-06 21:32
US strike on Colombia by December 31? Yes +9 $2 18¢ $2 $-0 06-10 02:44
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? Yes +10 $1 15¢ $1 +$0 07-18 13:56
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No +3 $1 46¢ $1 +$0 07-19 02:29
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31? Yes +2 $1 42¢ $1 +$0 06-23 06:16
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +1 $1 89¢ $1 +$0 07-21 04:07
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -10 $-1 6¢ $-1 $-0 07-13 10:03
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No -1 $-1 96¢ $-1 $-0 06-22 14:01
GTA 6 launch postponed again? Yes -6 $6 8¢ $-0 $-6 07-13 10:03
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +1 $2 26¢ $0 $-2 07-13 18:49