Large-Ecology 0x428208…f93455
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Realized P&L
-$21
Unrealized P&L
-$52
Hit rate
49.5%
Resolved
24
Trades
14,294
lifetime
Volume
$31.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$238
27 positions
First seen
2026-02-28
last 06-10 00:30
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Politics
77% 67% +$10
Other
15% 25% $-20
Crypto
7% 40% $-11
Sports
0% — —
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 744 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +106 $49 46¢ $48 $-1 06-09 23:54
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +55 $46 84¢ $47 +$1 06-09 13:58
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +285 $55 10¢ $27 $-28 06-08 01:21
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +130 $30 16¢ $20 $-10 06-09 21:11
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No +16 $15 94¢ $15 $-0 06-03 08:54
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +43 $14 28¢ $12 $-2 06-02 11:58
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +166 $11 4¢ $7 $-4 06-07 19:17
GTA 6 launch postponed again? Yes +29 $5 24¢ $7 +$1 06-09 00:04
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +7 $6 91¢ $6 $-0 06-08 01:59
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes +32 $10 18¢ $6 $-4 06-05 18:32
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 06-01 21:33
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +5 $4 100¢ $5 +$1 06-07 22:50
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes +50 $5 10¢ $5 +$0 06-02 21:20
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? Yes +20 $5 24¢ $5 +$0 06-04 21:56
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes +37 $8 12¢ $4 $-3 06-09 17:31
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +6 $1 76¢ $4 +$3 06-07 19:50
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? No +3 $3 92¢ $3 +$0 06-06 22:34
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +3 $2 82¢ $2 $-0 05-31 16:48
Will Elon register any party before 2027? No +2 $2 95¢ $2 +$0 06-06 21:32
US strike on Colombia by December 31? Yes +9 $2 18¢ $2 $-0 06-10 02:44
Will Donald Trump visit France in 2026? Yes +2 $2 98¢ $2 $-0 06-03 19:35
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +6 $4 24¢ $1 $-3 06-07 19:16
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? Yes +50 $1 2¢ $1 $-0 06-02 21:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +4 $1 30¢ $1 +$0 06-09 14:33
Will Elon register any party before 2027? Yes +11 $1 5¢ $1 $-1 06-06 21:26
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No -0 $-0 94¢ $-0 $-0 06-04 07:14
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? No +5 $2 0¢ $0 $-2 06-07 23:03