Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$38

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

76.0%

Resolved

3,775

Trades

7,876

lifetime

Volume

$171

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

7 positions

First seen

2026-01-22

last 10-27 10:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 132 days

Categories

Other

68% 32% +$24

Politics

19% 45% +$11

Crypto

8% 36% +$2

Sports

2% 22% +$0

Tech

2% 27% +$0

Pop-Culture

1% 39% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 305 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?	Yes	+5	$0	1¢	$0	+$0	10-22 01:11
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?	Yes	+5	$0	1¢	$0	+$0	09-15 18:00
Will Alexander Volkanovski be the next fighter to be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings in 2026?	Yes	+0	$0	5¢	$0	+$0	09-09 18:46
Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	+5	$0	0¢	$0	$0	10-02 19:38
Will Richard Van De Water win The Bachelorette Season 22?	Yes	+5	$0	0¢	$0	$0	08-25 14:58
Will San Diego FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	+5	$0	0¢	$0	$0	10-12 02:15
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	+0	$0	0¢	$0	+$0	10-20 04:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 11:55:32	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 15°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x5da64e…
10-27 11:23:26	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xa1fff7…
10-27 10:39:45	Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x3454a5…
10-27 10:20:33	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x3cb902…
10-27 08:54:59	Will Nvidia be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xd9ae7c…
10-27 08:51:14	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on October 27?	Yes	SELL	2	4¢	$0	0x0d85ca…
10-27 08:50:14	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on October 27?	Yes	SELL	3	4¢	$0	0xa479a2…
10-27 08:35:24	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xa07c7c…
10-27 08:28:45	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0xb79ad2…
10-27 08:18:06	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xa714c7…
10-27 08:12:17	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x9432f5…
10-27 08:01:54	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x3fff7b…
10-27 06:24:51	Will Vox win the most seats in Girona in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x39ecdf…
10-27 06:23:57	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xa963f8…
10-27 06:07:57	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x29135b…
10-27 05:00:57	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 18°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x9e9476…
10-27 04:45:36	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x95927f…
10-27 04:39:11	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x0dcb5c…
10-27 04:07:23	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x2601ef…
10-27 04:01:08	Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.5% and 1.0%?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x4bb83f…
10-27 02:52:27	Will Podemos win the most seats in Lugo in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x9a0667…
10-27 01:50:08	Will David West win the 2026 Richmond Hill mayoral election?	No	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x3b90e4…
10-27 01:08:14	Will Wesley Jackson win the 2026 Brampton mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xf91da8…
10-27 00:14:05	Will Vox win the most seats in Girona in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x2f94c4…
10-27 00:11:08	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-07 House election?	Yes	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0xb118ac…
10-27 00:00:50	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-02 House election?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xcad767…
10-26 23:52:30	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 26, 2026?	No	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xa8737d…
10-26 23:18:06	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x7c8839…
10-26 22:55:29	Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x05e0e2…
10-26 22:51:26	Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x08321f…
10-26 21:21:44	Will Alexia Putellas win the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0xeb961a…
10-26 21:01:24	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-02 House election?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x6c0652…
10-26 20:49:14	Will Alexia Putellas win the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xc96ca0…
10-26 20:26:23	Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?	No	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x49ccb8…
10-26 20:08:11	Will Ousmane Dembélé attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	No	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xd71301…
10-26 19:59:59	Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x55487d…
10-26 19:55:57	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WV-01 House election?	Yes	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0xf28b0f…
10-26 19:51:51	Will Harry Kane finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x43299a…
10-26 19:44:42	Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?	No	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x3c24a2…
10-26 19:00:26	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x849c0c…
10-26 18:59:35	Will Vozinha attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	No	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x863812…
10-26 18:20:47	Will Jude Bellingham finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x51e232…
10-26 18:11:18	Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released between November 30 and December 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xfc47b5…
10-26 18:11:18	Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released between November 30 and December 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0xc4738d…
10-26 18:11:18	Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x58bb56…
10-26 17:58:29	Will Pau Cubarsi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x649a00…
10-26 17:41:00	Will Bruno Fernandes finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x9cd089…
10-26 17:08:03	Will Mike Newman be the next Premier of New South Wales?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x30a898…
10-26 16:51:11	Will Bruno Fernandes finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xb6f4be…
10-26 16:07:53	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 15°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x883799…
10-26 16:02:21	Will Claudia Pina win the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x785782…
10-26 16:01:59	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x309e6b…
10-26 15:48:51	Will "You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of October 31?	No	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x22e3a1…
10-26 15:27:08	Will Erling Haaland finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x48eab6…
10-26 15:03:54	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 15°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x4ddd61…
10-26 13:35:26	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xacd58c…
10-26 12:11:53	Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.00 and $5.50 on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xce0a2a…
10-26 11:38:36	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x3495a6…
10-26 11:38:36	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x2a489e…
10-26 11:02:06	Will US win less than 35% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x831fae…
10-26 10:23:23	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xfecf58…
10-26 10:18:35	Will Amcha Yisrael win 10 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xda7df6…
10-26 09:59:21	Will Tencent have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x5d1116…
10-26 09:41:51	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xe12df2…
10-26 09:33:02	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xa17d23…
10-26 09:08:26	Will Neil Saravanamuttoo win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xc38673…
10-26 09:04:38	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x02314a…
10-26 08:05:32	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-04 House election?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x28c9f8…
10-26 07:42:20	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xb22521…
10-26 06:45:41	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x83a436…
10-26 06:42:05	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x333f76…
10-26 06:21:47	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x2d7890…
10-26 06:00:41	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xe8e182…
10-26 05:47:03	Will CZ post 60-79 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x605598…
10-26 05:01:03	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x42f7d6…
10-26 04:01:38	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x2d683d…
10-26 03:59:54	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xb46a46…
10-26 03:21:23	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	0	0¢	$0	0x4729c3…
10-26 03:21:21	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xf73bbc…
10-26 03:16:30	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x942925…
10-26 03:02:45	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Espírito Santo?	No	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xcab17f…
10-26 02:56:15	Will Trump endorse Lula da Silva for President of Brazil?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x674abe…
10-26 02:56:05	Will Trump endorse Lula da Silva for President of Brazil?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0xfe806a…
10-26 02:56:00	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Alagoas?	No	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xc24833…
10-26 01:49:11	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xbbae21…
10-26 01:44:27	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x037890…
10-26 01:41:53	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Federal District?	No	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x9b6170…
10-26 01:22:14	Will Dak Prescott win the 2026 NFL MVP?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x28b6b8…
10-26 00:36:17	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xd04db5…
10-26 00:35:51	Will US win 55% or more of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x0b9647…
10-26 00:31:53	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x5c2010…
10-26 00:23:09	Will OpenAI have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x638b26…
10-26 00:01:59	Will US win less than 35% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x0ff345…
10-25 23:45:32	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from São Paulo?	No	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x687f4e…
10-25 23:36:08	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Federal District?	No	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x519254…
10-25 22:49:53	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x9d6570…
10-25 22:12:30	Will Democrats win fewer than 43 House seats in California in the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xfd9b81…
10-25 20:40:11	Will Dak Prescott win the 2026 NFL MVP?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xb46ec6…
10-25 20:39:48	Will United Serbia win the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election by a margin of 2-5%?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x7c95d1…
10-25 20:33:44	Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be less than 76%?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x735045…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	1	$10	11	0	+11	Yes	+$1	02-28 20:58
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on August 31?	4	$5	10	10	+0	Yes	+$5	08-31 10:46
Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	4	$2	10	10	+0	open	—	10-25 03:28
rutopft lyo mon 2026 02 14 lyo	4	$1	10	10	+0	Yes	+$1	02-15 05:25
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be below 49.0 in August?	2	$1	5	5	+0	No	+$1	08-17 15:02
Will Moonshot be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?	3	$1	10	5	+5	No	+$1	08-31 16:06
Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?	3	$1	10	5	+5	No	+$1	08-31 16:34
Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 69%+?	4	$1	10	10	+0	No	+$1	10-15 06:06
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	4	$1	5	5	+0	Yes	+$1	08-04 14:34
will grand theft auto vi launch trailer get between 100 and 120 million views on week 1	4	$1	10	10	+0	No	+$1	10-16 07:04
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-11 House election by 35% or more?	2	$1	5	4	+1	open	—	10-12 03:38
Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be between $1,104,000 and $1,125,000 on December 31?	7	$1	10	10	+0	open	—	10-22 02:46
Will Modena FC win on 2026-08-08?	8	$0	20	20	+0	No	+$0	08-08 12:34
Will Nebraska be the closest Governor's race in 2026?	3	$0	10	10	+0	open	—	10-23 07:05
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on October 27?	4	$0	10	10	+0	open	—	10-27 08:51
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	10	$0	26	26	+0	No	+$0	07-31 18:43
ufc gil3 vcepo 2026 08 01 totals 1pt5	6	$0	26	5	+20	Under	+$0	08-01 20:12
Will London have between 40-50mm of precipitation in August?	3	$0	5	5	+0	No	+$0	08-31 01:31
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 10%?	8	$0	20	20	+0	No	+$0	10-02 21:23
Will Seattle have more than 6 inches of precipitation in October?	3	$0	5	5	+0	open	—	10-08 12:15
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 31, 2026?	2	$0	5	5	+0	No	+$0	08-19 16:08
Will Alexia Putellas win the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?	2	$0	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	10-26 21:21
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 600m and 700m by August 31?	12	$0	31	31	+0	No	+$0	08-09 11:42
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	2	$0	5	5	+0	No	+$0	09-25 08:03
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 5?	3	$0	10	10	+0	No	+$0	10-05 01:36
Will Yanick Godbout win the next Lévis Quebec National Assembly election?	2	$0	5	5	+0	No	+$0	10-05 20:35
Will the lowest Baton Rouge river level be below 3.00 ft by November 30?	6	$0	10	7	+3	open	—	10-25 04:18
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 920m and 940m by August 31?	8	$0	21	21	+0	No	+$0	08-19 22:08
Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win at least 33% of all valid votes?	2	$0	5	5	+0	No	+$0	09-08 22:49
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	13	$0	31	31	+0	open	—	10-20 04:08