Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$91

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.5%

Resolved

770

Trades

2,118

lifetime

Volume

$3.98K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-11

last 10-13 03:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 189 days

Categories

Politics

43% 57% +$211

Other

42% 68% -$60

Crypto

8% 40% -$55

Sports

5% 70% -$9

Tech

1% 57% +$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

60 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?	4	$146	181	143	+38	No	+$134	08-30 19:25
will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	8	$74	747	63	+684	Yes	+$46	08-12 22:04
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	17	$71	381	381	+0	No	+$43	05-23 09:05
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	48	$57	128	62	+67	No	-$11	06-20 15:15
will trump say mutilation during faith freedom coalition conference 20260626142533762	15	$54	1,361	28	+1,333	No	+$2	06-26 23:37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	8	$52	65	65	+0	open	—	10-13 03:45
iran successfully targets shipping by june 27 20260625215135368	22	$50	146	64	+81	Yes	+$12	06-27 21:51
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	21	$38	158	5	+153	Yes	+$123	06-14 21:52
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	13	$35	47	13	+33	No	+$7	06-03 21:48
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 23 2026 964	53	$34	41	37	+4	No	+$4	03-28 04:40
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?	12	$34	19	19	+0	Yes	+$2	04-09 01:43
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	13	$29	694	690	+4	Yes	+$1	04-08 21:47
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	18	$29	90	13	+77	No	-$1	07-04 01:18
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	11	$29	224	224	+0	open	—	10-13 03:45
will israel take military action in lebanon on march 20 2026	17	$29	179	53	+126	Yes	-$3	03-26 17:26
netanyahu out by march 31 854	9	$28	14	14	+0	No	+$0	03-30 08:59
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	24	$26	22	22	+0	Yes	+$1	04-16 15:38
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	11	$25	25	25	+0	Yes	+$21	09-22 18:58
Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste	13	$25	25	0	+25	Hailey Baptiste	+$0	04-28 22:52
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	35	$25	41	27	+14	No	+$5	05-28 14:43
will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	10	$25	24	22	+2	No	-$1	04-03 01:56
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	4	$25	402	81	+321	No	+$13	05-26 01:21
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	14	$24	72	34	+38	Yes	-$3	04-07 22:16
will trump say where is 3 times during ncaa national champions remarks on april 21	9	$24	12	12	+0	No	+$0	04-22 00:40
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	14	$22	74	44	+29	No	+$2	04-15 21:43
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?	18	$22	16	16	+0	No	+$6	06-14 21:32
Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration before 2027?	7	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	04-02 18:07
Will there be no next Culture Secretary of the UK in 2026?	7	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	$0	07-20 23:57
will warsh say inflation 20 times during september press conference 20260909	4	$20	25	25	+0	No	+$12	09-16 18:59
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers	9	$18	36	0	+36	cancelled	+$0	04-30 02:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-13 03:45:20	Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31?	Yes	SELL	62	5¢	$3	0xff3396…
10-13 03:45:20	Fetterman leaves the Democrats before the midterms?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x879d55…
10-13 03:45:18	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	86¢	$6	0xffd766…
10-13 03:45:18	Iran Nuke before 2027?	Yes	SELL	39	3¢	$1	0xe98ba0…
10-13 03:45:18	Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?	Yes	SELL	7	6¢	$0	0xe5dc9b…
10-13 03:45:18	Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	No	SELL	8	3¢	$0	0xd8baa5…
10-13 03:45:18	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	SELL	12	10¢	$1	0xcc0f77…
10-13 03:45:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	43	85¢	$36	0xc45e3f…
10-13 03:45:18	Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	182	0¢	$0	0xb4e50f…
10-13 03:45:18	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	224	4¢	$9	0x871db8…
10-13 03:45:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	23	14¢	$3	0x869569…
10-13 03:45:18	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	12	17¢	$2	0x63da1f…
10-13 03:45:18	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	13¢	$0	0x5391c1…
10-13 03:45:18	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	60	5¢	$3	0x3aeb1a…
10-13 03:45:18	Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	2¢	$0	0x35d43a…
10-13 03:45:18	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	5¢	$1	0x34e50c…
10-13 03:45:18	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x243063…
10-13 03:45:18	Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?	Yes	SELL	15	28¢	$4	0x2265d0…
10-13 03:45:18	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	92	6¢	$5	0x1d2d67…
10-13 03:45:18	Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week?	Yes	SELL	17	0¢	$0	0x189898…
10-13 03:45:18	Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	7	68¢	$5	0x0539b1…
10-12 21:20:51	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc333ce…
10-12 20:06:56	Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week?	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xa6c0f1…
10-12 19:55:17	Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xadfcd6…
10-12 19:18:00	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x4762e1…
10-12 12:53:36	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 12?	No	BUY	143	1¢	$2	0xb38f8c…
10-11 15:29:37	Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x02df23…
10-11 15:29:34	Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x32b277…
10-11 14:32:55	Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC: Liverpool FC O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x29dc1e…
10-11 12:59:58	Crystal Palace FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x2fe39d…
10-11 12:02:13	Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-2.5)	Crystal Palace FC	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x8272a8…
10-10 19:01:10	3Q Spread: Missouri (-5.5)	Missouri	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xb9fd7f…
10-10 19:00:52	Texas A&M vs. Missouri: 3Q O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x6c3b20…
10-10 14:18:21	Counter-Strike: WBT Academy vs Saint Sinners - Map 1 Winner	Saint Sinners	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x870cf9…
10-10 13:59:07	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-10?	No	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x429083…
10-10 13:51:36	FK Fakel Voronezh vs. FK Lokomotiv Moskva: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa16c1f…
10-10 12:37:22	Counter-Strike: WBT Academy vs Saint Sinners - Map 1 Winner	Saint Sinners	SELL	1	62¢	$0	0x1d22fb…
10-10 12:31:25	Counter-Strike: WBT Academy vs Saint Sinners - Map 1 Winner	Saint Sinners	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xad81f4…
10-10 10:43:13	Arsenal FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x3588d1…
10-10 10:33:09	Arsenal FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xd5e387…
10-10 10:32:27	Arsenal FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x1c8431…
10-09 21:11:44	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 9?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x922544…
10-09 19:47:13	Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x5a53fb…
10-09 09:01:25	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x374bf9…
10-09 01:01:36	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x415794…
10-09 00:48:09	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	17¢	$2	0xe85b44…
10-09 00:44:21	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x413841…
10-09 00:42:45	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x245a30…
10-08 21:01:03	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Science Summit remarks?	No	BUY	249	1¢	$2	0xe51cbf…
10-08 18:06:11	Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Science Summit remarks?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x583f14…
10-08 17:10:56	Will Trump say "Golden Age" during his Science Summit remarks?	No	BUY	23	9¢	$2	0x671a8e…
10-08 00:26:16	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9?	Yes	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x1e5d1d…
10-07 23:14:37	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9?	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x43572d…
10-07 23:10:04	Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs largadosypelados (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #3 Playoffs	largadosypelados	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xaab509…
10-07 09:52:11	Will Michael Grätzel win the Nobel Prize in Chemistry in 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x7f2d6b…
10-07 09:48:47	Will Craig Crews win the Nobel Prize in Chemistry in 2026?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xb8c8ac…
10-06 12:12:30	0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by September 30?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xe44ba3…
10-06 09:08:24	Will Kenya have an Ebola case in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	95¢	$2	0x3cd6e0…
10-06 08:24:07	Will Kenya have an Ebola case in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x5ee24f…
10-05 22:05:08	Will Saba Lobzhanidze be in Georgia's Starting 11?	No	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xd13ee6…
10-05 18:22:35	bnb up or down on october 5 2026	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x33b449…
10-05 18:17:38	BNB Up or Down on October 5?	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x441130…
10-05 17:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xcdc416…
10-05 17:59:02	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x9f49aa…
10-05 17:59:02	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x9ec42a…
10-05 17:57:43	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xc21588…
10-05 17:50:16	bitcoin up or down on october 5 2026	Down	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xae9b8f…
10-05 17:36:29	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x4d1ec9…
10-05 17:35:16	bitcoin up or down on october 5 2026	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x67c63c…
10-05 12:49:46	Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31?	Yes	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x881321…
10-05 12:49:22	Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31?	Yes	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0xa71736…
10-05 01:56:28	Lions vs. Panthers: 1H Moneyline	Panthers	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x307d4c…
10-04 18:00:56	Will Trump not announce his AI czar pick by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xc115c1…
10-04 16:00:37	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on October 4?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x1455ee…
10-03 17:58:51	CD Leganés leading at halftime?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x796854…
10-03 05:00:45	Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x69f8dd…
10-03 01:05:36	Will Trump name an AI czar by October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x028bc9…
10-02 02:27:18	Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x929f9f…
10-02 00:40:00	any of the cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x70f526…
10-01 21:27:59	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x6c30c7…
10-01 17:59:09	Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x02aeff…
10-01 04:47:21	Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	4¢	$2	0x70d8f3…
10-01 04:26:39	Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x5f1755…
10-01 04:23:26	Will the US announce a diesel export ban by September 30?	Yes	BUY	667	0¢	$2	0xe18dc9…
10-01 04:00:03	Will Trump name an AI czar by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x81483e…
10-01 03:54:00	pakistan military action against afghanistan by september 30 2026 20260925	Yes	BUY	7	23¢	$2	0x9187e5…
09-30 23:02:23	itf robert4 pisari1 2026 09 30 set handicap home 1pt5	Charlie Robertson	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x7fc3cd…
09-30 21:36:38	Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?	Yes	BUY	35	6¢	$2	0x8bdf9b…
09-30 19:09:05	Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?	Yes	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0x6f9de8…
09-30 16:40:53	Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?	Yes	BUY	28	7¢	$2	0x088589…
09-30 07:07:53	Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?	Yes	BUY	25	6¢	$1	0x53a6b2…
09-29 21:18:09	trump renames ai by september 30	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x35e22b…
09-29 19:27:56	Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0xe385e7…
09-29 18:37:00	Trump renames AI by September 30?	Yes	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x1ba365…
09-29 18:36:54	Trump renames AI by September 30?	Yes	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x407cf8…
09-29 18:36:53	Trump renames AI by September 30?	Yes	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x0afb65…
09-29 18:36:47	Trump renames AI by September 30?	Yes	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0xbf1d5a…
09-29 14:47:00	trump renames ai by september 30	Yes	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0x565f6e…
09-29 14:46:42	trump renames ai by september 30	Yes	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0x2d2cfd…
09-29 14:42:44	trump renames ai by september 30	Yes	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x5c3b7f…