Realized P&L
+$23.3K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.17K
Hit rate
90.8%
Resolved
344
Trades
2,890
lifetime
Volume
$1.28M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$443
Open exposure
$40.6K
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 09-09 12:23
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 97 days
Categories
Politics
48% 84% +$4,032
Other
47% 90% +$17,255
Sports
3% 77% +$1,470
Tech
1% 100% +$228
Crypto
0% 100% +$361
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
5 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes -24,833 -$23,080 97¢ $-24150 -$1,070 06-07 17:09
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -8,000 -$6,480 82¢ $-6600 -$120 05-07 13:34
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -5,116 -$4,083 81¢ $-4152 -$69 07-01 21:58
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? No -4,026 -$3,382 92¢ $-3704 -$322 09-09 12:23
Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027? No -803 -$787 97¢ $-782 +$5 09-09 10:32
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -1,328 -$637 34¢ $-458 +$179 09-09 10:32
Weed rescheduled by December 31? Yes -3,969 -$691 9¢ $-343 +$348 09-09 10:32
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -1,594 -$134 16¢ $-255 -$121 09-09 10:34
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026? No -190 -$178 95¢ $-181 -$3 09-09 10:33